{"id":85557,"date":"2025-12-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/?p=85557"},"modified":"2025-12-23T13:05:55","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T13:05:55","slug":"why-india-will-not-pivot-away-from-russian-crude-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/2025\/12\/23\/why-india-will-not-pivot-away-from-russian-crude-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Why India will not pivot away from Russian crude"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>As<\/strong><strong> Washington sharpens its posture around Russian energy, New Delhi has doubled down on its strategic autonomy.<\/strong> India views Western pressure as a catalyst to strengthen local industry and deepen ties with Middle East partners. In this context, Indian refiners are expected to continue buying Russian crude, despite sanctions on firms including Lukoil and Rosneft, India\u2019s leading energy expert Narendra Taneja told EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The view from New Delhi: <\/strong>Taneja, a distinguished research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, notes that Russian crude itself is not under sanctions. \u201cIf they sanction Russian oil, it will be a massive disruption to the global oil supply system, driving prices to USD 120 per barrel,\u201d he observed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>When Indian refiners began buying from Russia, there was no government directive<\/strong>; it was a \u201cpurely commercial decision\u201d driven by discounts that were \u201csometimes as high as USD 20 per barrel.\u201d While some refiners have slowed purchases to mitigate risk, Taneja emphasizes that no firm government directive exists to stop.<\/p>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Buying continues-<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>India\u2019s crude oil purchases from Russia jumped to a five-month high in November <\/strong>to 1.77 mn bpd, according to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/industry\/energy\/oil-gas\/indias-russian-crude-oil-imports-jump-to-five-month-high-in-november\/articleshow\/125931521.cms?from=mdr\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Economic Times<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/indias-russian-oil-imports-show-resilience-despite-sanctions-sources-say-2025-12-17\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a> reports. This followed a brief downturn in October as US sanctions on Lukoil and Roseneft came in. \u201cIf Russian exporters can deliver oil to Indian refiners, they will continue to buy,\u201d Taneja said, adding that refiners still find the barrels commercially attractive.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>To navigate sanctions on specific firms<\/strong>, refiners may use specialized intermediaries in Dubai and Singapore. \u201cThese companies are highly specialized and competent... manned by experts from all over the world,\u201d Taneja said, adding that they maintain long-standing relationships with Indian refiners. He described this as \u201clegal business,\u201d reiterating that sanctions are unilateral rather than UN-imposed. \u201cOnce the oil comes into the international system, it loses its nationality,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The energy partnership with Russia is anchored by significant capital flows. <\/strong>Indian firms have invested USD 18 bn in Russian oil and gas assets. Russian firms have invested USD 13 bn in the Indian oil sector.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">The MENA-India energy partnership is strong and long term-<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>India\u2019s approach remains to diversify supply<\/strong>, even as discounted Russian barrels help manage near-term price sensitivity, Taneja said. He famed this as a demand-supply interdependence: \u201cFor India, energy security is securing supply. But for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq, energy security is securing demand.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>India\u2019s demand is projected to reach 10 mn bpd by 2050<\/strong>, and Gulf producers are increasingly positioning themselves as long-term partners and investors in India\u2019s refining ecosystem to \u201clock in\u201d demand.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">What to watch in 2026- <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The Ukraine peace agreement: <\/strong>A breakthrough would lead to a \u201ccomplete recalibration\u201d of global supply, potentially lowering prices and reopening Western Europe to Russian flows. In this scenario, Middle East suppliers may offer more competitive deals to attract big importers like India.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Continued sanctions:<\/strong> If the war persists, the US policy stance would remain a key market variable. India will maintain a \u201cdynamic approach,\u201d purchasing from any geography \u2014 including the US and Russia \u2014 where it finds better commercial terms.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The Middle East floor:<\/strong> Simultaneously, India's core strategy is to ensure it never \"drastically\" cuts imports from Middle East partners. Maintaining these flows is a fundamental part of the national energy doctrine.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Refining role-<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>India is positioning itself as the world\u2019s \u201crefining superpower,\u201d <\/strong>importing crude from around 40 countries and exporting petroleum products to roughly 100 nations. Despite external pressure, New Delhi signals that it \"cannot afford to completely stop buying\" oil because of pressure from \"country X or country Y.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While India hunts for \"dynamic\" deals from any geography, its core doctrine remains anchored in the Middle East supplies<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85558,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2723],"tags":[2402,2450,2404,2707,2722],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-85557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-big-story-today","tag-enterpriseam-india","tag-india-russia","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-russian-crude","tag-the-big-story-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"3dbceb7d-26fe-416a-abb0-643a563c9f38","order":"3","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/12\/756.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"India will not pivot away from Russian crude but energy ties with MENA strategically unbeatable","related_issue":[85553],"teaser":"While India hunts for \"dynamic\" deals from any geography, its core doctrine remains anchored in the Middle East supplies"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why India will not pivot away from Russian crude - MENA India Corridors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/2025\/12\/23\/why-india-will-not-pivot-away-from-russian-crude-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why India will not pivot away from Russian crude\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" 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