{"id":85273,"date":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/india-us-trade-agreement-to-conclude-by-year-end-e-commerce-giants-to-offer-loans\/"},"modified":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","slug":"india-us-trade-agreement-to-conclude-by-year-end-e-commerce-giants-to-offer-loans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/mena-india\/2025\/12\/01\/india-us-trade-agreement-to-conclude-by-year-end-e-commerce-giants-to-offer-loans\/","title":{"rendered":"India + US trade agreement to conclude by year-end; E-commerce giants to offer loans"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Good morning<\/strong><strong>, friends,<\/strong><strong> and happy Monda<\/strong><strong>y to you all.<\/strong> We have a light issue for you this morning led by India\u2019s roaring GDP growth, signaling the country\u2019s ability to weather the global trade storm thanks to both strong growth momentum and the ongoing reform cycle. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>And the central bank looks set to lend a helping hand: <\/strong>It\u2019s withdrawing or consolidating as many as 9.4k old regulatory circulars in favor of 244 so-called \u201cmaster directions\u201d that aim to make it easier for banks (and everyone else) to do business. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The IMF is taking notice: <\/strong>India got a clean bill of health as so-called Article IV consultations wrapped last week, projecting 6.6% growth for FY2025-2026 The fund is explicitly baking-in a baseline of \u201cprolonged 50% US tariffs.\u201d With inflation cooling thanks to GST reforms and benign food prices, the Fund suggests the RBI may even have room to ease policy if those tariffs persist. <strong>The catch:<\/strong> Fiscal discipline remains the watchword, and the leap to \u201cadvanced economy\u201d status hinges on structural reforms \u2014 getting more women into the workforce, tightening up labor markets, and investing in R&D and innovation, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/news\/articles\/2025\/11\/24\/pr-25392-india-imf-executive-board-concludes-2025-article-iv-consultation\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">the IMF said in a statement<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>ALSO THIS MORNING-<\/strong> India and the <strong>US<\/strong> are eyeing a <strong>trade agreement<\/strong> by year-end, if all goes well. <strong>Avaada Group<\/strong> says it will invest INR 1 tn (USD 11.2 bn) in the <strong>green energy sector<\/strong>. <strong>Adani <\/strong>is planning a USD 5 bn investment in AI infrastructure owned by <strong>Google<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>AND-<\/strong> E-commerce giants are set to challenge banks on their turf. The IT sector, however, may have to wait until 2027 for recovery.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">^^ We have all of that and more, below.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>MEANWHILE- It\u2019s quiet in the GCC this morning <\/strong>as the UAE observes a four-day weekend in honor of its national day. Folks across the Emirates will be back to work on Wednesday, 3 December. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Have your eye on opportunities in Saudi Arabia?<\/strong> Riyadh is the place to be, EnterpriseAM Saudi reports this morning:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Gigaproject spending is pivoting to Riyadh<\/strong> as spending on Neom and The Line slows. But at USD 1.65 tn, the project pipeline in Saudi still remains nearly equal to the rest of the region combined. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Analysts see the Saudi economy growing c. 5% in 2026<\/strong> and <strong>consumer sentiment <\/strong>remained high in November, signaling continued optimism. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\"> HAPPENING TODAY-<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The w<\/strong><strong>inter<\/strong><strong> session of parliament kicks off today <\/strong>and concludes on Friday, 19 December in New Delhi. Lawmakers will take up 19 bills during the session, including key <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/mena-india\/en\/news\/story\/2252f67e-d0b5-4703-acc9-5a1c85e7a42e\/modi-government-sets-up-major-policy-push-for-the-next-parliament-session\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">business-friendly reforms<\/a> on which we had the rundown last week.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">WATCH THIS SPACE- <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <a id=\"wwtt1\"><\/a> <strong>#1-<\/strong> <strong>India<\/strong><strong> and the US are looking to finalize a trade agreement by <\/strong><strong>year-end<\/strong>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/economy\/foreign-trade\/india-us-hold-virtual-trade-talks-deal-to-be-locked-before-year-end-report\/articleshow\/125633979.cms\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Economic Times<\/a> reports, citing Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agarwal. The two countries have resolved most issues and can settle remaining gaps at the political level, he said, as India awaits Washington\u2019s formal response on the first phase of the trade package.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Tariffs are also on the table: <\/strong>Parallel negotiations are ongoing to unwind tariffs imposed under the Trump administration, including 25% duties and a further 25% levy linked to Russian crude purchases. New Delhi is seeking lower tariffs for textiles, leather, gems and jewelry, plastics, chemicals, shrimps, oilseeds, grapes, and bananas, while Washington reportedly wants concessions on industrial goods, EVs, petrochemicals, wines, dairy, and genetically modified crops. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <a id=\"wwtt2\"><\/a> <strong>#2- <\/strong><strong>Amazon<\/strong><strong> + Flipkart are coming for India\u2019s banks: <\/strong>E-commerce giants Amazon and Walmart-backed Flipkart are preparing to offer direct loans to small businesses and consumers in a move that challenges the country\u2019s traditional lenders, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/finance\/amazon-flipkart-take-aim-indias-banks-with-new-consumer-loan-offerings-2025-11-28\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The details:<\/strong> After acquiring Bengaluru-based non-bank lender Axio earlier this year, Amazon is now pivoting the unit to offer credit and liquidity management solutions to small businesses. Flipkart registered its own lending arm \u2014 Flipkart Finance \u2014 in March and is awaiting final approval from the Reserve Bank of India. The Walmart subsidiary will offer buy now, pay later services to its customers. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Why now?<\/strong> The expansion follows a regulatory green light from the RBI earlier this year allowing foreign-backed tech firms to lend directly to customers through wholly-owned units.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>#3- Indian conglomerate <\/strong><strong>Adani<\/strong><strong> Group plans to invest as much as USD 5 bn <\/strong><strong>in Google\u2019s upcoming AI infrastructure hub in southern India<\/strong>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-11-28\/adani-to-invest-5-billion-in-google-data-centers-cfo-says?srnd=phx-india-v2\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a> reports, quoting CFO Jugeshinder Singh. The investment, still being finalized, builds on a partnership <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adani.com\/newsroom\/media-releases\/adani-and-google-partner-to-build-indias-largest-data-centre-campus-in-visakhapatnam\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">announced last month<\/a> between Adani Enterprises \u2014 via joint venture AdaniConneX \u2014 and Google parent company Alphabet Inc.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>#4- <\/strong><strong>Tokyo<\/strong><strong>-based <\/strong><strong>Sumitomo<\/strong><strong> Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) is looking to expand its <\/strong><strong>lending and staff size in India<\/strong> after deploying roughly USD 5 bn over the last four years to secure positions in fast-growing financial segments, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-11-28\/smfg-accelerates-india-expansion-after-5-billion-buying-blitz?srnd=phx-india-v2\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a> reports. The Japanese lender has assembled stakes across retail and wholesale platforms, including a controlling interest in Fullerton India (now SMFG India Credit) and a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.smfg.co.jp\/news_e\/pdf\/e20250917_02.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">20% holding<\/a> in Yes Bank in September.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>India\u2019s commercial banking industry is the \u201clast missing piece\u201d in SMFG\u2019s <\/strong><strong>\u201cmulti-franchise\u201d strategy across Asia<\/strong>, India division head Rajeev Kannan told the news outlet. The bank is investing in operational capacity with a new global capability center in Chennai. It\u2019s also targeting growth in financing for infrastructure projects and has appetite to lend to private equity firms for acquisitions and leverage. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Context:<\/strong> SMFG\u2019s push comes as the institution faces sharp global competition from banks like FAB and HSBC \u2014 and as <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/mena-india\/en\/news\/story\/23fe96c0-db9a-4956-84fc-68ab25be1026\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Emirates NBD pushes into the Indian market<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>REMEMBER- <\/strong>Last year, Emirates NBD and a Sumitomo subsidiary were <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/deals\/indias-sbi-aims-sell-its-yes-bank-stake-worth-22-bln-by-end-march-sources-say-2024-08-13\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">in the race<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/deals\/indias-sbi-aims-sell-its-yes-bank-stake-worth-22-bln-by-end-march-sources-say-2024-08-13\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">to acquire<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/deals\/indias-sbi-aims-sell-its-yes-bank-stake-worth-22-bln-by-end-march-sources-say-2024-08-13\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">a majority stake in Yes Bank<\/a> from India\u2019s largest lender, State Bank of India. The agreement later fell through.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><a id=\"wwtt3\"><\/a> <strong>#5- Gift City mulls longer tax holiday for jet lessors:<\/strong> India is considering extending its tax holiday for aircraft-leasing firms operating in Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (Gift City) to 15 years, up from the current 10, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-11-28\/india-plans-more-incentives-for-aircraft-leasing-in-tax-oasis?srnd=phx-india-v2\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a> reports. The extension is expected to appear in February\u2019s budget proposals and aims to attract a larger share of the USD 187 bn global aircraft-leasing industry, currently dominated by Ireland. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Gift City is home to 33 aircraft lessors<\/strong>, collectively leasing over 60 aircraft and a similar number of engines as of 31 January, according to a KPMG <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/assets.kpmg.com\/content\/dam\/kpmgsites\/in\/pdf\/2025\/03\/aviation-leasing-and-financing-ecosystem-at-gift-ifsc-india.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">report (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Growth outlook: <\/strong>India\u2019s commercial aircraft-leasing market was valued at INR 392 bn (USD 4.7 bn) in 2023 and is expanding at 11.8% annually, according to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cognitivemarketresearch.com\/regional-analysis\/asia-pacific-commercial-aircraft-leasing-market-report\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Cognitive Market Research<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-md-12 subscribe-box-panel\">\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"title\">\n<h4 class=\"fw-lighter mb-10\">   Get <b style=\"font-weight: 700\">Enterprise<\/b> daily   <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-10\">The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>  <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"\/egypt\/en\/user\/NewsLetters\" type=\"button \" class=\"btn-green px-3 d-flex align-items-center\" rel=\"noopener\">Subscribe here<\/a>  <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">YOU\u2019RE READING EnterpriseAM MENA <> India, your C-suite briefing on the movement of trade, investment, people, and ideas along one of the world\u2019s most exciting corridors. Every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 9am UAE, we dive deep into the business, finance, economy, and policy headlines and trendlines that will move markets and set the tone for your day. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Were you forwarded this briefing? <\/strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sub.ent.news\/mena-india\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Tap or click here to sign up without charge for your own<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sub.ent.news\/mena-india\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">copy.<\/a> <\/p>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">DATA POINTS- <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>#1-<\/strong><strong>India<\/strong><strong> clinched the <\/strong><strong>38th<\/strong><strong> spot among <\/strong><strong>139<\/strong><strong> economies on the Global Innovation Index <\/strong><strong>(GII) <\/strong><strong>2025<\/strong>, climbing from 81 in 2015, according to the World Intellectual Property Organization\u2019s latest <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wipo.int\/web-publications\/global-innovation-index-2025\/assets\/80937\/2000EN%20Global%20Innovation%20Index%202025%20-%20Full%20-%20v8.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">GII report (pdf)<\/a>. This is the country\u2019s strongest ranking yet as it leads both the Central and Southern Asia region and the lower-middle-income group. Bengaluru was India\u2019s top-ranked innovation cluster, coming in at 21 among global peers, followed by Delhi at 26.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>#2- <\/strong><strong>India\u2019s<\/strong><strong> food-services market is forecast to exceed USD 125 bn by 2030<\/strong>, with the organized segment projected to grow at twice the pace of the unorganized sector, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.business-standard.com\/economy\/news\/india-s-food-market-to-surpass-125-billion-by-2030-says-report-125112701003_1.html\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Business Standard<\/a> reports, citing Swiggy\u2019s How India Eats report. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\"> THE BIG STORY ABROAD- <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>It\u2019s a quiet Monday morning in the global business press<\/strong>, with no single story dominating the headlines. Here\u2019s what you need to know:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wants a presidential pardon in his <\/strong><strong>ongoing corruption trial<\/strong>, citing the \u201cpublic interest\u201d in ending the case. (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/netanyahu-officially-asks-israeli-president-pardon-2025-11-30\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a>) <\/li>\n<li><strong>OpenAI\u2019s lead is under pressure<\/strong> as rivals including Google and Anthropic start to close the gap. (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/8881062d-ff4f-4454-8e9d-d992e8e2c4e3\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Financial Times<\/a>)<\/li>\n<li><strong>OPEC+ plans to pause output hikes in 1Q 2026<\/strong> amid growing signs there\u2019s surplus oil in global markets. (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-11-30\/opec-sticks-with-plan-to-pause-supply-increases-delegates-say\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a>)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>And India\u2019s \u201cbiggest labor law shake-up in decades\u201d is getting the front-page treatment <\/strong><strong>in the <\/strong><strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/2f8fec1e-4f83-4bde-a11a-329a4ed0541c\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Financial Times<\/a><\/strong> in a piece largely anchored in the concerns of labor leaders and small businesses. Check out <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/mena-india\/en\/news\/story\/d8356a4e-d2ba-46c0-b339-d018af312fa5\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">our rundown<\/a> for more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plus: Japan\u2019s Sumitomo plans to expand its lending activity in India<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85274,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2403],"tags":[2639,2402,2644,2643,2394,2645,2401],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-85273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-e-commerce","tag-enterpriseam-india","tag-gift-city","tag-india-us-relations","tag-macroeconomics","tag-telcos","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"d4a50d1e-7527-4cb1-9274-9cce5a25f60a","order":"2","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/12\/15.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"THIS MORNING: India + US trade agreement to conclude by year-end; 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