{"id":93971,"date":"2026-03-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/?p=93971"},"modified":"2026-03-24T06:43:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T06:43:10","slug":"today-whats-left-when-gulf-crude-disappears","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/03\/24\/today-whats-left-when-gulf-crude-disappears\/","title":{"rendered":"TODAY: What\u2019s left when Gulf crude disappears?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, nice people, and welcome back. <\/strong>Reserves can buy time, but if the war drags on, the question becomes: where do replacement barrels come from? <\/p>\n

Plus: <\/strong>Disruption remains the throughline \u2014 Riyadh is stress-testing a USD 180 oil scenario, while Tehran pivots to selective access in Hormuz, redrawing regional flows. <\/p>\n

^^ We have more in the news well, below.<\/p>\n

The big story abroad <\/p>\n

The US-Israel war on Iran has not slowed down yet<\/strong>, but US President Donald Trump did announce a five-day pause in strikes and indicate a resumption of talks with Tehran. Trump notably walked back his threat to target the Islamic Republic\u2019s power grid after being urged by US allies and Gulf states, unnamed sources told Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n

But Tehran has denied that it agreed to talk to Washington. <\/strong>\u201cNo negotiations have been held with the US, and fakenews is used to manipulate the financial and oil markets and escape the quagmire in which the US and Israel are trapped,\u201d Iran\u2019s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Watch to watch: <\/strong>There are two things we\u2019ll be watching closely in the days to come: Whether Washington and Tehran will sit at the negotiating table, and whether Trump will stick to his decision not to target Iran\u2019s energy infrastructure. Iranian media claims<\/a> he already failed to follow through, reporting what so far appear to us to be limited attacks on the country\u2019s gas facilities earlier today. <\/p>\n

Oil prices eased on the news: <\/strong>Crude prices fell 11% yesterday<\/a> following Trump\u2019s decision to delay airstrikes on Iran\u2019s energy facilities and his contested reference to resumed negotiations. Brent crude tumbled USD 12.25 \u2014 a 10.9% drop \u2014 to close at USD 99.94 per barrel.<\/p>\n

Also making headlines is the <\/strong>collision<\/a><\/strong> between an Air Canada Express jet and a fire <\/strong>truck at New York\u2019s LaGuardia airport.<\/strong> Both pilots were killed and dozens were injured. Aviation safety experts said that air traffic staffing levels \u2014 an encroaching issue in US aviation \u2014 will be a part of the ensuing investigation.<\/p>\n

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Watch this space<\/p>\n

<\/a> <\/strong> <\/strong>ENERGY \u2014 Repairs to Qatar\u2019s LNG facilities after this month\u2019s <\/strong>missile strikes<\/strong> could \u201ctake up to five years<\/strong>,\u201d Qatar Energy CEO Saad Sherida Al Kaabi said in a statement<\/a>. Two liquefaction trains \u2014 roughly 12.8 mtpa, or 17% of total exports \u2014 have been knocked offline, forcing QatarEnergy to declare force majeure on long-term contracts with buyers in Europe and Asia.<\/p>\n

Plus: <\/strong>QatarEnergy has put five April slots<\/a> for unloading, storage, and regasification at Belgium\u2019s Fluxys Zeebrugge terminal last week through the secondary market, even though the terminal usually receives up to three Qatari cargoes a month under long-term contracts. <\/p>\n

Why it matters:<\/strong> The decision means Qatar is freeing up booked terminal capacity that it cannot use \u2014 suggesting it expects the disruption to last longer<\/a> than a short-term cargo delay.<\/p>\n

While Egypt isn\u2019t on the list of buyers directly affected, further LNG shortages on the<\/strong> global market will continue to push prices up<\/strong>, especially as each additional month of disruption removes around 1.5% from annual global LNG availability, intensifying competition for a shrinking pool of flexible supply. Countries with weaker financing capacities like Egypt will struggle to compete with Asia or Europe\u2019s premiums, Wideangle LNG Consulting Director Jean-Christian Heintz tells EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> INVESTMENT \u2014 <\/strong>Marsa<\/strong> Maroc plots MAD 21 bn expansion: <\/strong>Morocco's port operator Marsa Maroc is planning to invest<\/a> nearly MAD 21 bn in port expansion projects through 2030 after closing 2025 with 16% increase in revenue to MAD 5.8 bn, and 25% surge in net income to MAD 1.6 bn.<\/p>\n

Why<\/strong> it matters: <\/strong>The investment plan is meant to reinforce the group\u2019s ambition to rank among the region\u2019s leading port operators by the end of the decade, which is part of a MAD 4.4 bn investment plan that aims to modernize and expand port capacity at the port of Casablanca and Jorf Lasfar, according to the group\u2019s annual financial release (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n

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<\/a> MARITIME \u2014 TGA announces war-related license requirement exemption:<\/strong> The Transport General Authority (TGA) has suspended the requirement for valid maritime licenses and work permits for 30 days for vessels in the Arabian Gulf, according to a statement<\/a>. The exemption is subject to renewal if necessary and aims to ensure maritime activity continues uninterrupted while enabling vessels to continue their work safely.<\/p>\n

Supporting logistics in the east: <\/strong>The Saudi Ports Authority launched<\/a> an initiative this week to supply ships in the Arabian Gulf with fuel, water, and food, as the waterway falls under pressure of a near-total closure of the Strait of Hormuz. <\/p>\n

\n

Market watch<\/p>\n

Oil prices rose this morning on supply fears after Iran denied US talks, contradicting <\/strong>Trump\u2019s claim of a near agreement, <\/strong>Reuters<\/a> reports. Brent crude futures increased USD 4 to USD 103.94 \/ bbl by 04.00 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained USD 3.49 to USD 91.62 \/ bbl.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile close to home: <\/strong>Oil pricing in the Middle East is being rewritten in real time \u2014 and it is happening inside one of the market\u2019s most important benchmarks. The Dubai crude benchmark has been tweaked again as flows through the Strait of Hormuz stall, forcing pricing bodies to adapt to a market that\u2019s no longer functioning normally, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. <\/p>\n

What changed this time: <\/strong>S&P Global (via Platts) has suspended a pricing offset that normally applies to Abu Dhabi\u2019s flagship Murban crude, which will keep Murban from dropping below Dubai\u2019s level during daily assessments. Crucially, this makes it more attractive to deliver into the benchmark at a time when supply options are shrinking.<\/p>\n

Why this matters: <\/strong>The Dubai benchmark underpins pricing for a huge share of Middle East crude exports. But right now, the system is under stress \u2014 with only a limited pool of crude grades (mainly Murban and Oman) still able to participate due to shipping disruptions. <\/p>\n

\n

\n

The<\/strong> Baltic Index slips again: <\/strong>The Baltic Exchange\u2019s dry bulk index \u2014 which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments \u2014 fell 0.9%<\/a> to 2,037 points on Monday. The capesize declined 1.1% to 2,937 points, while the panamax index slipped 0.8% to 1,888. The smaller supramax index edged down 0.5% to 1,218 points.<\/p>\n

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What we\u2019re tracking this morning regionally and around the world<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93972,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[980],"tags":[49,17,227,150,983,37,31,32,16],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-93971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today-2","tag-egypt","tag-enterprise-logistics","tag-lng","tag-morocco","tag-oil-gas","tag-ports","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-trade","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"3e926169-2bf3-4de4-a0a2-bc6b4da84db7","order":"2","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/238.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"TODAY: What\u2019s left when Gulf crude disappears?","related_issue":[93969],"teaser":"What we\u2019re tracking this morning regionally and around the world"},"yoast_head":"\nTODAY: What\u2019s left when Gulf crude disappears? 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