{"id":93797,"date":"2026-03-17T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/?p=93797"},"modified":"2026-03-17T06:50:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T06:50:51","slug":"war-risk-premiums-up-tenfold-for-vessels-transiting-hormuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/03\/17\/war-risk-premiums-up-tenfold-for-vessels-transiting-hormuz\/","title":{"rendered":"War risk premiums up tenfold for vessels transiting Hormuz"},"content":{"rendered":"

S<\/strong>even-day war risk cover for vessels transiting the Gulf was <\/strong>up tenfold<\/a><\/strong> at the <\/strong>end of last week<\/strong> \u2013\u2013 <\/strong>more than doubling over the past week alone. Maritime analysts tracked a wide spectrum of pricing \u2014 with lower-risk vessels securing cover at about 1% of hull value or less, while higher-risk ships are being quoted rates between 7.5% and 10%. Premiums are expected to climb further following the string of attacks on vessels in the Arabian Gulf late last week.<\/p>\n

When it comes to war risk contracts, every quote is bespoke \u2013\u2013 <\/strong>vessels with a perceived US, British and, or Israeli association are regarded as top targets, and inevitably have higher tickets. Meaning, if a five-year-old VLCC on charter to US players is currently valued at USD 138 mn, ins. could be charging up to USD 14 mn to cover a single voyage through the strait.<\/p>\n

The tipping point<\/p>\n

Attacks tally rise<\/strong>: Incidents impacting vessels in the Arabian Gulf total to 16 over the last fortnight. Of these, six vessels have been struck across Gulf waters, including three ships<\/a> hit in a single day. Two additional ships were struck<\/a> off the coast of Iraq causing a fire onboard both vessels. Another ship \u2014 operated by Hapag-Lloyd \u2014 was hit<\/a> off the coast of the UAE.<\/p>\n

Where do we stand?<\/strong> \u201cThere remains approximately 1k vessels, about half of which are oil and gas tankers, with an aggregate hull value exceeding USD 25 bn in the Persian\/Arabian Gulf and surrounding waters,\u201d Lloyd\u2019s Market Association\u2019s CEO Sheila Cameron said<\/a> last week.<\/p>\n

Why this matters<\/p>\n

\u201cThe risk calculus for shipping has changed,\u201d<\/strong> Lloyds List Editor Richard Meade said on a call attended by EnterpriseAM. Shipowners who \u201chad been planning to exit their vessels\u201d now questioned that decision, as \u201cthe assumption that certain flags or affiliations were low risk enough to get through \u2013\u2013 that has been proven fatally wrong in some cases.\u201d<\/p>\n

Despite the obvious risks, \u201cinterest in getting vessels through the Strait of Hormuz had <\/strong>picked up significantly this week,\u201d<\/strong> according to maritime analytic firm Lloyds List. Nevertheless, \u201ctrade has been halted, not by a lack of available ins., but by obvious safety concerns. The market for marine war risks is operating in the manner we would expect,\u201d chief executive of the International Underwriting Association Chris Jones added.<\/p>\n

Traffic still holds \u2014 much of it dark.<\/strong> Around 77 transits were recorded since the beginning of this month, Lloyd\u2019s data analyst Bridget Diakun said, with 17 of those deemed as dark transits by both sanctioned shadow tankers and mainstream ships hoping to avoid detection. Over half of the vessels transiting the strait are shadow ships, which are already used to disruptions and have a \u201chigh risk appetite.\u201d While \u201ca lot of [the transits are] linked to Iran, around half, unsurprisingly,\u201d Diakun clarified, adding that some 12% are linked to China or China-affiliated vessels.<\/p>\n

Disruption is trickling down to the consumer level<\/p>\n

Blockade begins to bite downstream:<\/strong> Basmati shipments to core Middle Eastern markets \u2013\u2013 Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, and the UAE \u2014 are effectively halted in transit due to the Hormuz blockade. An estimated 400k mt is currently stuck \u2014 leaving exporters uncertain about when cargo will be unloaded or when payments will be received.<\/p>\n

Indian rice <\/strong>exports slow<\/a><\/strong> as freight and ins. costs soar. <\/strong>New export agreements for Indian rice have hit a significant bottleneck due to the halt of movement through the strait. India is experiencing its worst gas crisis in decades as the Strait is a critical energy lifeline for New Delhi, with 40% of its crude imports passing through the waterway.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s next?<\/p>\n

Some flags could get a green light:<\/strong> Two Indian-flagged LPG carriers sailed through the strait on Friday in a rare exception to the blockade, four sources told<\/a> Reuters. The first LPG tanker \u2014 named Shivalik \u2014 passed through the waterway under escort from the Indian Navy.<\/p>\n

A signal<\/strong> that the<\/strong> potential for diplomatic negotiations to negotiate safe passage is not <\/strong>entirely off the cards. <\/strong>India\u2019s government is locked in<\/a> negotiations with Iran to ensure the safe passage for six LPG tankers through the strait, sources told Bloomberg. The vessels are hauling a combined 270k tons \u2013\u2013 of which India is experiencing an acute shortage of in the country.<\/p>\n

Could we be seeing a pattern<\/strong>?<\/strong> Ships are beginning to call between Larak and Qeshm, before gaining Iran\u2019s approval to transit via the strait, as EOS maritime analyst Martin Kelly flagged<\/a> Pakistan-flagged tanker Karachi as doing. While we cannot confirm if this is a pattern or a one-off exit, Kelly has stated \"multiple ships [are] doing this.\u201d<\/p>\n

We\u2019re waiting to hear more about the US\u2019 grand plan:<\/strong> US ins. giant Chubb was selected as<\/a>lead underwriter<\/a> for US the International Development Finance Club (IDFC)\u2019s USD 20 bn plan to relaunch commercial shipping<\/a> in the strait last week. However, confidence in the US\u2019 plan was further shaken last week<\/a> when they pedaled back on its proposed plan to safeguard vessel transits through the strait \u2014 fulfilling shipping analysts' expectations.<\/p>\n

Trump is seeking naval backup: <\/strong>US President Donald Trump called on China, France, Japan, South Korea, and the UK over the weekend to send warships to force open the Strait of Hormuz along with US naval forces. So far, Australia has said<\/a> it will not be sending vessels, while the other nation states are said to still be deliberating.<\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When it comes to war risk contracts, every quote is 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war risk premiums jump tenfold","related_issue":[93789],"teaser":"When it comes to war risk contracts, every quote is bespoke","photo_link":"","related_sponsor":"","voice_url":"","en_translation_ref_id":"","section_story_id":""},"yoast_head":"\nWar risk premiums up tenfold for vessels transiting Hormuz - Logistics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/03\/17\/war-risk-premiums-up-tenfold-for-vessels-transiting-hormuz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"War risk premiums up tenfold for vessels transiting Hormuz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"When it comes to war risk contracts, every quote is bespoke\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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