{"id":93043,"date":"2026-02-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/02\/11\/us-tariffs-on-irans-trade-partners-threaten-to-shake-up-gcc-supply-chains\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T00:00:00","slug":"us-tariffs-on-irans-trade-partners-threaten-to-shake-up-gcc-supply-chains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/02\/11\/us-tariffs-on-irans-trade-partners-threaten-to-shake-up-gcc-supply-chains\/","title":{"rendered":"US tariffs on Iran\u2019s trade partners threaten to shake up GCC supply chains"},"content":{"rendered":"

The <\/strong>era <\/strong>of pragmatic trade with Iran could soon be coming to an end. <\/strong>Iran\u2019s top trading partners are bracing for a supply chain shock as they prepare for possible secondary tariffs from the US after US President Donald Trump signed an executive order<\/a> enabling up to<\/a>25<\/a>%<\/a> tariffs on countries that continue to trade with Iran.<\/p>\n

Who\u2019s bracing for impact?<\/strong> \u201cWhile the US tariff threat introduces uncertainty, Iran\u2019s major diversified export partners \u2014 China, UAE, Turkey \u2014 are likely more well-positioned to absorb the shock by switching suppliers,\u201d Nasser Saidi, president of UAE-based advisory firm Nasser Saidi and Associates<\/a> and former Lebanese economic minister, told The National<\/a>. \u201cThe pain will be felt primarily by Iran and Iraq,\u201d he clarified.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s break it down:<\/strong> Iran\u2019s top trade partners were China at USD 14.5 bn, Iraq at USD 10.5 bn, and the UAE at USD 7.5 bn between January and October last year. For operators in the UAE, this is a procurement and lead-time challenge. For those in Iraq, it\u2019s a fundamental threat to the power required to keep businesses running.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s next? <\/p>\n

The Emirates\u2019 logistics pivot:<\/strong> The UAE is a major importer of Iranian fresh fruit, vegetables, and livestock due to short shipping times. If tariffs are enforced, logistics operators should prepare for a shift toward suppliers in Pakistan, India, or Europe. While this adds miles to the supply chain, the inflationary impact is expected to be contained.<\/p>\n

Hold your horses \u2014 they\u2019re still weighing pros and cons:<\/strong> \u201cWe have to see, is this going to affect the supply of the food products, or some of the products that come from Iran? Is this going to affect the prices on the consumer and how much they\u2019re paying to have the alternative?\u201d UAE Foreign Trade Minister Thani Al Zeyoudi said (watch, runtime: 02:37<\/a>) last month.<\/p>\n

Iraq is set to take the biggest hit. <\/strong>Unlike the UAE, Iraq is logistically tethered to Iran for electricity and gas. Cutting these ties wouldn't just affect food prices, it could trigger energy blackouts and drive up local operational costs across the board.<\/p>\n

Regional players could stand to gain from Iran\u2019s loss:<\/strong> China accounted for over 90% of Iran\u2019s oil exports last October, primarily through independent Chinese refineries. That being said, it would be \u201crelatively simple for China to source [oil] from other trade partners, including from the GCC,\u201d Saidi noted.<\/p>\n

\n

We\u2019re on the lookout<\/p>\n

Countries may not stay above board when circumventing tariffs. <\/strong>Analysts suggest that squeezed formal trade could trigger an uptick in informal trade routes \u2014 small vessels and land crossings moving consumer goods and food off the books. The UAE and Iraq have yet to clarify how these tariffs will affect specific commodity prices or the feasibility of alternative supply routes.<\/p>\n

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links<\/strong> to our background and outside sources.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The UAE is expected to shield the impact, while Iraq will be the hardest hit<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93044,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[249],"tags":[248,17,119,35,124,32,129,54],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-93043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-supply-chains","tag-china","tag-enterprise-logistics","tag-iran","tag-iraq","tag-supply-chains","tag-trade","tag-uae","tag-us","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"99e4b383-3728-4fca-b6d0-373da8832680","order":"5","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/1\/573.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"US 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