{"id":92695,"date":"2026-03-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/?p=92695"},"modified":"2026-03-09T06:18:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T06:18:42","slug":"today-fertilizer-supply-under-pressure-from-hormuz-disruption","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/03\/09\/today-fertilizer-supply-under-pressure-from-hormuz-disruption\/","title":{"rendered":"TODAY: Fertilizer supply under pressure from Hormuz disruption"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, nice people. <\/strong>We\u2019re in the second week of the regional war, and the escalation shows no signs of slowing. Energy and maritime infrastructure continue to take the hardest hits, and global supply chains are on edge.<\/p>\n

We have a confession <\/strong>\u2014 we\u2019ve been too focused on oil and gas, but in our big story today, we\u2019re shining a spotlight on other commodities at risk. Fertilizer supply is under pressure as tightening Hormuz traffic sends ripples through global markets, with knock-on effects potentially far larger than expected.<\/p>\n

ALSO-<\/strong> Last week, we flagged Saudi Arabia\u2019s Red Sea energy pivot. Don't miss our follow-up: can the plan survive massive storage limits?<\/p>\n

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Watch this space<\/p>\n

<\/a> STORAGE<\/strong> \u2014 Egypt opens Red Sea oil storage to int\u2019l players amid Hormuz <\/strong>closure: <\/strong>Egypt has offered 10 crude and petroleum storage facilities for lease in the Red Sea, a senior government official tells EnterpriseAM. Egypt aims to attract oil deliveries from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and Qatar, while doubling storage capacity at its Sumed- and Ras Badran-associated facilities, the source said.<\/p>\n

The news follows Egypt <\/strong>offering its Sumed pipeline<\/a><\/strong> from Ain Sokhna to Sidi Kerir to <\/strong>facilitate the transfer of <\/strong>Saudi crude oil <\/strong>from the Red Sea\u2019s Yanbu Port to the Mediterranean as a workaround to the Hormuz Strait being effectively closed due to ongoing hostilities, as well as rising ins. premiums. Egypt already has existing contracts with Saudi Arabia\u2019s Aramco, as well as Kuwaiti and Qatari companies, for the pipeline\u2019s operation, the source added.<\/p>\n

Why this<\/strong> matters<\/strong>: <\/strong>Today is day T-minus 18 out of a 25-day countdown<\/a> before GCC oil producers run out of storage space, according to analysts at JPMorgan. If the strait remains closed beyond this window, producers may have to stop output entirely because there will be nowhere left to store the oil.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> <\/strong>LNG \u2014 <\/strong>Qatar is parking part of its LNG fleet on the charter market<\/strong> as the shutdown<\/a> of its major export facility continues. Around 10 carriers tied to QatarEnergy cargo flows have now been offered<\/a> for hire. Eight vessels were offered on the spot market, and the other two had sailed earlier and are currently positioned off the west coast of Africa. <\/p>\n

Why this matters:<\/strong> This is a rare signal that vessels that move Qatari gas now have nothing to load. For LNG shipping, the sudden availability of multiple Qatar-linked vessels is a visible ripple from a supply disruption upstream.<\/p>\n

Hire costs for carriers that move the super-chilled gas have jumped sharply in recent days as <\/strong>traders scramble for available vessels<\/strong>, with some modern ships reportedly<\/a> costing near USD 300k per day, several multiples above normal levels.<\/p>\n

Background:<\/strong> Qatar normally ships some 77-80 mn tons of LNG annually, roughly 20% of the global LNG supply, with cargoes typically lifted from Ras Laffan under long-term contracts and coordinated vessel schedules. We did a deep dive<\/a> into how Qatar\u2019s LNG halt impacts global markets.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> <\/strong>TRADE \u2014 South Korea is getting more than <\/strong>6 mn barrels<\/strong> of crude from the UAE. <\/strong>Two South Korean tankers will head<\/a> to an Emirati port that does not require passage through Hormuz to lift some 4 mn barrels directly. The remaining 2 mn barrels will come from a joint UAE-South Korea stockpile stored inside the Asian country. <\/p>\n

Alternative to Hormuz: <\/strong>Transiting crude via the Habshan-Fujairah oil pipeline to the Port of Fujairah is currently the most viable alternative for UAE crude exports. <\/p>\n

Background:<\/strong> Korea National Oil Corp (KNOC) has a storage agreement<\/a> with Adnoc that allows the Abu Dhabi-based company to store crude in Korean strategic reserves. The agreement allows Adnoc storage access in Northeast Asia, while South Korea gets priority access to the barrels during emergencies. KNOC also has a similar agreement with Aramco<\/a>. <\/p>\n

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Market watch<\/p>\n

Oil prices surged 25% to a two-year high this morning as the regional war tightened energy supplies and lowered hopes of interest cuts, <\/strong>Reuters<\/a> reports. Brent crude futures increased to trade at USD 119.50 \/ bbl, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was up to USD 119.48 \/ bbl.<\/p>\n

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The<\/strong> Baltic Index extends its decline: <\/strong>The Baltic Exchange\u2019s dry bulk sea which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments \u2014 fell<\/a><\/a> 6% to 2,010 points on Friday, marking a third straight session of losses. The capesize dropped 10.8% to 2,631 points, and the panamax index slipped 1.8% to 1,962, while the smaller supramax index went down 0.4% to 1,386 points.<\/p>\n

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The Drewry World Container Index increased by 3% to USD 1,958 per 40-ft container last <\/strong>week<\/strong>, according to the latest index readings<\/a>. The rise is driven by an increase across the transpacific and Asia-Europe rates, especially the Shanghai-Los Angeles (10%) and Shanghai-New York (7%) with gradual return to full production after Lunar New Year factory shutdowns. <\/p>\n

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Data point<\/p>\n

The UAE\u2019s non-oil private sector hit a 12-month high in February<\/strong>, with the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers\u2019 index rising to 55.0 from 54.9 in January, according to the S&P Global UAE PMI (pdf)<\/a>. The reading remains well above the 50.0 neutral threshold, signaling a robust growth trajectory fueled by strong domestic demand and significant activity in the construction, real estate, logistics, and tech sectors.<\/p>\n

The breakdown: <\/strong>Business activity surged at its fastest pace since April 2024. While export sales remained modest, domestic orders were buoyed by increased tourism, e-commerce expansion, and a spike in demand for AI-related products. Supply chains also remained resilient, with firms reporting rapidly improving lead times that allowed for a strategic rebuilding of inventories.<\/p>\n

It was a different story in Dubai<\/strong>, where the PMI momentum decoupled from the national trend, slipping to 54.6 from 55.9 in January. While the expansion of output and new orders in the emirate lost some steam, it remained sharp overall. Crucially, the labor market showed significant strength, with job creation in Dubai reaching a two-year high in February as firms aggressively expanded capacity to manage future workloads.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s next?<\/strong> \u201cThe outlook is also positive, as demand has continued to pressurise business capacity, suggesting additional expansions in output and employment may be necessary,\u201d said David Owen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. The lack of friction in input supply chains has \u201callowed companies to rebuild stocks, putting them in a better position to meet client demand,\u201d Owen added.<\/p>\n

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PSA<\/p>\n

MSC introducing emergency fuel surcharge<\/strong>: <\/strong>Shipping giant MSC will impose an emergency fuel surcharge<\/a> from 16 March on cargo from the Mediterranean and Black Sea to the Indian subcontinent, Red Sea, and East Africa. Rates for Red Sea shipments will be USD 30 per TEU for dry containers and USD 50 for reefers, rising to USD 60 and USD 90 for East Africa. Cargo to the Indian subcontinent will incur USD 40 per TEU for dry boxes and USD 60 for refrigerated containers. <\/p>\n

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DID YOU KNOW <\/strong>that we also cover Egypt<\/a>, Saudi Arabia<\/a>, and the UAE<\/a><\/a> ***<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What we\u2019re tracking this morning regionally and around the 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