{"id":92359,"date":"2026-03-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/?p=92359"},"modified":"2026-03-02T15:16:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T15:16:24","slug":"today-how-is-the-regional-war-disrupting-logistics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2026\/03\/02\/today-how-is-the-regional-war-disrupting-logistics\/","title":{"rendered":"TODAY: How is the regional war disrupting logistics?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, nice people. <\/strong>Wherever you are in the region, we hope you are safe and sound. The regional security landscape took a turn after a sweeping attack by the US and Israel on Iran over the weekend, prompting a drone and missile strike retaliation from Tehran on Israel and several Arab countries.<\/p>\n

What does this mean for us? <\/strong>We explore below both immediate and long-term implications for regional trade and logistics in our news well below. But first\u2026<\/p>\n

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From The Dept. of Minor Inconveniences<\/p>\n

Our website is down: <\/strong>EnterpriseAM.com<\/a> is one of the many, many services hosted on Amazon Web Services out of the UAE. The data center that hosts our site \u2014 and the apps and websites of dozens of other brands you know \u2014 was damaged after \u201cobjects hit\u201d it, reportedly starting a fire and leading to a power outage. Our site has been down since mid-afternoon on Sunday and we're yet to hear from Amazon about when we can expect it to be back up.<\/p>\n

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Watch this space<\/p>\n

<\/a> M&A \u2014<\/strong> Adnoc eyes Shell\u2019s Australian LNG stake. <\/strong>Adnoc\u2019s investment arm XRG is in preliminary talks with Shell to acquire a stake in the North West Shelf liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Australia, sources told Bloomberg<\/a> last week. While discussions are at an early stage and Shell is speaking with other potential buyers, the agreement would involve a slice of Australia\u2019s oldest and second-largest LNG export facility. Shell first floated the sale of a USD 3 bn stake in the plant back in September<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Adnoc is not the only regional heavyweight eyeing the asset.<\/strong> MidOcean Energy \u2014 backed by Saudi Aramco \u2014 is also in the running for the Shell stake, Bloomberg reports. Through MidOcean, Saudi Aramco already holds<\/a> indirect stakes in several Australian LNG projects, including Gorgon, Queensland Curtis, and Pluto<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Why it matters:<\/strong> Following its acquisition of a stake in the Rio Grande LNG project in the US last year<\/a>, a move into Australia would give the UAE state energy giant a strategic foothold in the Asian market \u2014 the world\u2019s primary destination for LNG. With Argentinian LNG<\/a> also on the horizon, the move signals that Adnoc is expanding its presence in the global gas market, competing directly with global peers for long-term supply security.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s next:<\/strong> Watch for the valuation and the size of the stake. The North West Shelf project is a complex joint venture with multiple partners \u2013\u2013 including Woodside Energy and BP \u2013\u2013 so any Adnoc entry will require navigating a sophisticated web of existing shareholder agreements.<\/p>\n

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Market watch<\/p>\n

Oil<\/strong> prices surged this morning as regional wear threatened global recovery and rising<\/strong> inflation<\/strong>, Reuters<\/a> reports. Brent crude futures gained 6.4% to trade at USD 76.57 \/ bbl, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) increased 6.2% to USD 71.17 \/ bbl.<\/p>\n

<\/a> Meanwhile, Opec+ is adding barrels to global supply in April: <\/strong>Opec+ agreed to resume production increases next month, with key members agreeing to 206k bbl \/ d after pausing hikes in 1Q, according to a statement<\/a>. This comes as turmoil rattles the Middle East, regional output faces threats, traffic in Hormuz is halted, and talk of oil reaching triple digits surfaces. Middle Eastern leaders have warned the US that a war on Iran could push oil prices above USD 100 \/ bbl, RBC\u2019s Helima Croft told Reuters<\/a>, with Barclays analysts penciling in the same level.<\/p>\n

The move comes as oil flirts with triple-digit talk:<\/strong> Middle Eastern leaders have warned the US that a war on Iran could push prices above USD 100 per barrel, RBC\u2019s Helima Croft told Reuters<\/a>, with Barclays analysts flagging the same level. <\/p>\n

A supply flex (with limits):<\/strong> The Kingdom, alongside Iraq, Kuwait, and the UAE, had already begun boosting exports from last month to multi-year highs, in anticipation of the attacks. The group\u2019s spare capacity sits largely with Saudi Arabia and the UAE, totaling some 2.5 mn bbl \/ d.<\/p>\n

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The<\/strong> Baltic Index rebounds: <\/strong>The Baltic Exchange\u2019s dry bulk sea freight index \u2014 which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments \u2014 rose<\/a><\/a> 1.1% to 2,140 points on Friday, ending a two-session slide. The capesize edged up 0.2% to 3,056 points, and the panamax index added 1.4% to 1,942, while the smaller supramax index gained 3% to 1,338 points.<\/p>\n

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The<\/strong> Drewry World Container Index decreased by 1% to USD 1,899 per 40-ft container last <\/strong>week<\/strong>, according to the latest index readings<\/a>. The decline is driven by a drop across the transpacific and Asia-Europe rates, especially the Shanghai-Genoa (2%), Shanghai-New York (1%), and Shanghai-Rotterdam (1%) routes, with gradual return to full production after Lunar New Year factory shutdowns. <\/p>\n

A further decline is expected over the next few weeks<\/strong>, according to Drewry. A decline is in line with forecasts of a supply glut<\/a> in 2026 and 2027 that could drive a sharp dip in shipping prices, as the potential full return to the Suez Canal meets a record-breaking wave of new ship deliveries, shipowner association Bimco previously said in a report seen by EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n

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The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

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***<\/strong>YOU\u2019RE READING EnterpriseAM Logistics, the essential MENA publication for senior <\/strong>execs who care about the industry that connects producers and retailers to global markets. <\/strong>We\u2019re out Monday through Thursday by 9:15am in Cairo and Riyadh and 11:15am in the UAE.<\/p>\n

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Want to send us a story idea<\/strong>, request coverage, ask for a correction, or otherwise get in touch? Reach out to us on logistics@enterprisemea.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

DID YOU KNOW <\/strong>that we also cover Egypt<\/a>, Saudi Arabia<\/a>, and the UAE<\/a><\/a> ***<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What we\u2019re tracking this morning regionally and around the world<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92360,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[980],"tags":[183,17,137,32,129,16],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-92359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today-2","tag-adnoc","tag-enterprise-logistics","tag-ma-watch","tag-trade","tag-uae","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"db2edca9-497d-4bde-a069-4b2fb3dd8af3","order":"2","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/75.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"TODAY: 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