{"id":91475,"date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-31T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/?p=91475"},"modified":"2025-12-31T06:23:01","modified_gmt":"2025-12-31T06:23:01","slug":"a-year-of-the-regions-aviation-reset","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/12\/31\/a-year-of-the-regions-aviation-reset\/","title":{"rendered":"A year of the region\u2019s aviation reset"},"content":{"rendered":"

2025 was a turbulent year for the region\u2019s aviation sector<\/strong>, driven by tension between strategic ambition and a broken global supply chain<\/a>. The year began with hopes for a rebound in Boeing and Airbus deliveries, but as those targets slipped, regional players refused to idle. Instead, they shifted their purchasing power to boost local manufacturing and maintenance capabilities to mitigate the delays. <\/p>\n

Where we stand on a global scale<\/p>\n

Regional carriers are forecasted to deliver the <\/strong>highest<\/a><\/strong>net income<\/a><\/strong>margin<\/a><\/strong> globally at <\/strong>9.3% <\/strong>\u2014 well above the world average of 3.9%. The airlines\u2019 NPs are projected to reach USD 6.9 bn in 2026, driven by strategic investments and policy frameworks.<\/p>\n

Beyond the GCC, however, the picture was mixed. <\/strong>Geopolitical instability, blocked funds, and uneven infrastructure held us down in 2025. The Middle East and Africa (MEA) region currently accounts for 93%<\/a> of the world\u2019s blocked airline funds, with Algeria topping the list.<\/p>\n

Unlike its robust passenger outlook, the Middle East\u2019s air cargo traffic is expected to <\/strong>contract by 1.5% in 2025.<\/strong> This decline is primarily driven by geopolitical tensions and easing ocean freight disruptions in the Red Sea. For 2026, the region's air cargo traffic growth is expected to stagnate.<\/p>\n

Despite the volume dip, yields remain resilient. <\/strong>Air cargo rates \u2014 which escalated beyond natural patterns due to the shift away from commercial Red Sea shipping \u2014 are now normalizing to match global growth trends. Capacity constraints also played a role, with geopolitical hurdles and sporadic airport closures keeping supply tight.<\/p>\n

\n

The supply crunch drove market behavior<\/p>\n

What changed?<\/strong> The retrofit market surged as airlines ramped up capacity amid industry-wide delivery delays, with the backlog of unfilled aircraft orders stalling at over 17k jets in 2025<\/a>. Emirates alone enacted a USD 5 bn retrofitting plan<\/a> earlier this year, aiming to extend the operational life of existing jets as it waits for delayed deliveries. <\/p>\n

Freighters on the brain:<\/strong> Mammoth Freighters, a Boeing licensee launched in 2020, specializes in converting passenger 777s<\/a> into cargo aircraft. Qatar Airways has signed on as the launch customer<\/a> for Mammoth\u2019s converted 777-200ER model, ordering five jets earlier this year.<\/p>\n

Etihad is set to follow suit next year.<\/strong> The Abu Dhabi carrier plans on retrofitting<\/a> its older Boeing 777 and 787 widebodies effective 2026.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a different story for Riyadh Air:<\/strong> While the newly launched carrier took off in October, the operational narrative focused on how it managed to launch without its own metal \u2014 instead leasing a 787-9<\/a> for the inaugural London flight and training. The airline finalized an order<\/a> for 120 engines from CFM International to power its upcoming A321neo fleet.<\/p>\n

\n

Delivery drought drove the rise of MRO <\/p>\n

At USD 10 bn and rising<\/strong>, the region\u2019s maintenance market has become a strategic hedge against global dysfunction. Operators have pivoted from buying shelf capacity to building local MRO ecosystems, essential for extending the life of older models. Regional MRO demand is now forecast to grow at 5.4% annually \u2014 the fastest rate on the planet.<\/p>\n

Background: <\/strong>The global MRO market is expected to grow annually by a steady average of 2.7% to reach USD 156 bn<\/a> in 2035.<\/p>\n

Abu Dhabi\u2019s Mubadala-owned Sanad and Dubai\u2019s MBRAH led the charge. <\/strong>Sanad expanded its agreement with GE Aerospace<\/a> and Safran<\/a> to provide full MRO for LEAP-1A and 1B engines. It also tapped<\/a> AerCap for a AED 400 mn order for 6k aircraft components. Dubai South inked a steady stream of agreements, including with Liebherr-Aerospace<\/a>, IER MRO Industries<\/a>, and Tim Aerospace<\/a>. Sanad Group reported 39% y-o-y<\/a> growth in its top line to reach AED 3.2 bn in 1H 2025 \u2014 as the firm\u2019s orderbook swelled to a record AED 38 bn.<\/p>\n

Jordan-based, Dubai Aerospace Enterprise (DAE)-backed MRO outfit Joramco also stood out <\/strong>\u2014 inking pacts with Iraq\u2019s Global Aviation<\/a>, World Star Aviation<\/a>, and Air India<\/a>, as well as building a USD 30 mn MRO center in Jordan<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The <\/strong>growth of low-cost carriers<\/a><\/strong> also hiked up demand on already very busy MRO<\/strong> facilities<\/strong>, prompting new players to explore their own. Budget carrier flydubai broke ground on its USD 190 mn aircraft MRO facility in Dubai South in July<\/a>, which is scheduled for operations by 4Q 2026.<\/p>\n

Up and coming? <\/strong>Saudia\u2019s MRO arm Saudia Technic finalized major engine MRO lines at its Jeddah MRO Village<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n

Big orders despite supply lags<\/p>\n

The widebody lock-in:<\/strong> We saw a massive commitment to capacity across regional airlines. Emirates secured a USD 3.4 bn<\/a> Airbus order, and flydubai \u2014 which traditionally uses narrow-bodies \u2014 took its first major step into widebodies with Boeing 787 Dreamliner orders. Qatar Airways dominated the headlines by finalizing a USD 96 bn order<\/a> with Boeing during US President Donald Trump\u2019s visit.<\/p>\n

\u201cVintage\u201d planes gained popularity: <\/strong>UAE-based aircraft-leasing company DAE acquired 17 used aircraft for USD 1 bn in March<\/a>. IndiGo, India\u2019s largest air carrier, reportedly entered<\/a> into wet-lease agreements for seven aircraft \u2014 two from Qatar Airways and five Airbus A320s from Turkey-based Freebird Airlines \u2014 to support domestic operations. Kuwaiti carrier Jazeera Airways purchased six A320ceo aircraft<\/a> \u2014 which it currently operates under lease \u2014 for KDW 55.7 mn.<\/p>\n

\n

A privatization push<\/p>\n

Egypt moved from theory to execution on airport management.<\/strong> While the immediate news is the Hurghada International Airport tender<\/a>, the real story is the policy precedent it sets. With the IFC advising on a program that covers 11 airports<\/a>, the government is effectively building a new asset class for private operators. Local capital is already positioning itself for this shift; Naguib Sawiris is forming a consortium<\/a> with Italian partners to bid for Hurghada, with an eye on future tenders in Luxor and Sohag.<\/p>\n

Saudi Arabia was done experimenting. <\/strong>The General Authority of Civil Aviation (Gaca) is<\/a>pushing<\/a> forward with a national privatization program modeled after the success at Prince Mohammed bin Abdulaziz International Airport in Madinah. The Abha International Airport concession will be awarded within three months, Gaca\u2019s President Abdulaziz Al Duailej confirmed on Tuesday, while several consortiums have expressed interest<\/a> in the Taif International Airport project. <\/p>\n

In capital markets, Flynas\u2019 IPO made headlines <\/strong>by successfully pricing<\/a> its IPO at SAR 80 per share, implying a market cap of SAR 13.7 bn.<\/p>\n

\n

What\u2019s next?<\/p>\n

Next year expects a move toward localized industrial consolidation<\/strong> \u2014 with the partnership between UAE\u2019s Edge Group and Etihad Engineering to solidify their local manufacturing<\/a> foothold marking the first of many.<\/p>\n

Deliveries are expected to recover<\/strong>, with the GCC projected to see between 180-220 aircraft deliveries from Boeing and Airbus, Bauer Aviation Advisory founder Linus Bauer said<\/a>. However, it's all still up in the air, as this figure could drop by as much as 20%, he added. Regardless, this figure hangs high above the 43 aircraft delivered by Airbus and 38 jets by Boeing to the Gulf this year.<\/p>\n

The delivery roster:<\/strong> Emirates, Qatar Airways, Saudia, Riyadh Air, flydubai, and Air Arabia are \u201clikely to receive the bulk of the year\u2019s deliveries\u201d in 2026, Midas Aviation partner John Grant predicted. Airbus is expected to take the lead, with the A320 being the largest aircraft model entering service, he added. This is good news for low cost-carriers such as flyadeal<\/a>, flydubai<\/a>, and Air Arabia<\/a>, who placed orders for the model this year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A deep dive into how the region\u2019s aviation industry fared in 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91476,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[974],"tags":[397,49,345,971,17,972,315,441,39,142,153,247,406,396,31,129,973],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-91475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-year-in-review","tag-dubai-south","tag-egypt","tag-egyptair","tag-emirates-airways","tag-enterprise-logistics","tag-etihad-airlines","tag-flydubai","tag-joramco","tag-jordan","tag-oman","tag-qatar","tag-qatar-airways","tag-riyadh-air","tag-sanad","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-uae","tag-year-in-review","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"699caeca-1a77-4f77-bb6f-5a808b06ca96","order":"7","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/8\/1626.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"How the region\u2019s aviation industry fared in 2025","related_issue":[91464],"teaser":"A deep dive into how the region\u2019s aviation industry fared in 2025"},"yoast_head":"\nA year of the region\u2019s aviation reset - 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