{"id":91046,"date":"2025-12-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/?p=91046"},"modified":"2025-12-27T12:16:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T12:16:35","slug":"today-the-shipping-supply-glut-suez-return-meets-a-record-orderbook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/12\/24\/today-the-shipping-supply-glut-suez-return-meets-a-record-orderbook\/","title":{"rendered":"TODAY: The shipping supply glut: Suez return meets a record orderbook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Good morning, folks. <\/strong>The news cycle slowdown continues as we inch closer to the new year, leaving us with a brisk read this morning. <\/p>\n<p><strong>In our top story today, we take a look at a perfect storm scenario for the global shipping industry, <\/strong>as it braces for a possible supply glut by 2027 amid an expected record-breaking wave of new ship deliveries coinciding with a potential full-scale return to the Suez Canal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Why does it matter? <\/strong>If carriers trade the current long-haul routes around Africa for the shorter Red Sea transit just as fleet capacity hits an all-time high, Bimco warns we could see a 10% drop in global ship demand.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>ALSO- <\/strong>We take a dive into Saudi\u2019s play to dominate the regional data center market by leveraging its low-cost solar power and land resources, as well as pushing for new trans-continental connections that bypass the Red Sea and Egypt\u2019s bottlenecks. <\/p>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Watch this space<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong><a id=\"wwtt1\"><\/a>  SHIP REPAIRS \u2014 Is <\/strong><strong>Egypt<\/strong><strong> making a USD 200 mn play for local ship <\/strong><strong>repair?<\/strong> A consortium of local and foreign private-sector players, led by the Transport Ministry, is planning to deploy USD 200 mn into building a ship repair and construction hub at Damietta Port, Chamber of Engineering Industries Shipbuilding and Repair head Ibrahim El Desouki told <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.alborsaanews.com\/2025\/12\/22\/1937695\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Al Boursa<\/a>. The project aims to be fully operational within three years once construction begins.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Why it matters: <\/strong>This isn't just about building docks \u2014 it's a strategic push to capture some of the high-margin MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) spend of the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.suezcanal.gov.eg\/English\/Downloads\/DownloadsDocLibrary\/Navigation%20Reports\/Annual%20Reports%E2%80%8B%E2%80%8B%E2%80%8B\/2023.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">26k+ vessels transiting the region<\/a> annually. Currently, most major repairs bypass Egypt for more established yards in the Mediterranean and Red Sea, Desouki added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>DATA POINT- <\/strong>Global demand for ship-building and repair services is projected to surge 7% annually over the next decade. Meanwhile, Egypt is looking to grow its local shipbuilding and repair sector to a value of USD 500 mn over the next five years.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<hr style=\"height:2px;border-width:0;color:gray;background-color:gray\">\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong><\/strong><a id=\"wwtt2\"><\/a> <strong>SHIPPING \u2014 More CMA CGM ships brave the Red Sea route: <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/two-cma-cgm-vessels-navigate-suez-canal-sign-easing-tension-2025-12-23\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Two containerships<\/a> operated by logistics giants CMA CGM have transited through the Suez Canal outside of fixed schedules, in yet another signal that the French shipping giant is serious about its return to the Red Sea route. The move comes after the company <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/fe119853-ab55-4ef3-a13a-a72daaa34acb\/kouchouk-presents-second-package-of-tax-facilities-to-business-community\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">rerouted<\/a> its India America Express back to the Red Sea earlier this month.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>BUT- It\u2019s too early to say it's a full comeback. <\/strong>This isn't a return to normalcy just yet, with carriers rather testing the waters with limited transits as calm builds up. However, the threat profile from the Houthis has remained high, especially as a fragile ceasefire in Gaza makes conditions unpredictable, EOS Risk\u2019s Martin Kelly <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/logistics\/en\/news\/story\/3b14cef1-5b0a-4f6b-a2c4-ca0d66409efe\/are-shipping-companies-serious-about-a-return-to-the-red-sea%3F\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">told<\/a> EnterpriseAM. <\/p>\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Market watch <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Oil <\/strong><strong>prices remained largely unchanged this morning after a five-day rally driven by robust <\/strong><strong>economic data from the US and concerns of a supply crunch<\/strong>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/oil-edges-up-strong-us-economic-growth-supply-risks-2025-12-24\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a> reports. Brent crude futures shed USD 0.01 to trade at USD 62.37 \/ bbl as of 03:26 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose USD 0.01 to USD 58.39 \/ bbl. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Baltic<\/strong><strong> index remains on a downward spiral: <\/strong>The Baltic Exchange\u2019s dry bulk sea freight index \u2014 which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments \u2014 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/baltic\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/baltic\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">fell 4.5%<\/a> to 1,889 points on Tuesday. The capesize slipped 6.2% to 3,337, while the panamax index dipped 1.3% to 1,266 points, and the smaller supramax index eased by 31 points to 1,162.<\/p>\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-md-12 subscribe-box-panel\">\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"title\">\n<h4 class=\"fw-lighter mb-10\">   Get <b style=\"font-weight: 700\">Enterprise<\/b> daily   <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-10\">The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>  <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"logistics\/en\/user\/NewsLetters\" type=\"button \" class=\"btn-green px-3 d-flex align-items-center\" rel=\"noopener\">Subscribe here<\/a>  <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>***<\/strong><strong>YOU\u2019RE READING EnterpriseAM Logistics, the essential MENA publication for senior <\/strong><strong>execs who care about the industry that connects producers and retailers to global markets. <\/strong>We\u2019re out Monday through Thursday by 9:15am in Cairo and Riyadh and 11:15am in the UAE.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>EnterpriseAM Logistics is available without charge <\/strong>thanks to the generous support of our friends at Hassan Allam Utilities, Transmar, and AK-Ships.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Were you forwarded this email? <\/strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/logistics\/en\/user\/news-letters\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Tap or click here<\/a> to get your own copy of Enterprise Logistics.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Want to send us a story idea<\/strong>, request coverage, ask for a correction, or otherwise get in touch? Reach out to us on <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"mailto:logistics@enterprisemea.com\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">logistics@enterprisemea.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>DID YOU KNOW <\/strong>that we also cover <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Egypt<\/a>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/ksa\/en\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Saudi Arabia<\/a>, and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/uae\/en\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">the UAE<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/uae\/en\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a> <strong>***<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What we\u2019re tracking this morning regionally and around the world<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91047,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[26,49,17,123,16],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-91046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-cma-cgm","tag-egypt","tag-enterprise-logistics","tag-shipping-maritime","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"7052c01f-d9db-4dfb-8cbb-a9176a093301","order":"2","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/12\/1192.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"TODAY: 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