{"id":89650,"date":"2025-10-16T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/10\/16\/global-trade-growth-slowed-not-stopped-by-us-tariff-blitz-dhl-report-says\/"},"modified":"2025-10-16T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T00:00:00","slug":"global-trade-growth-slowed-not-stopped-by-us-tariff-blitz-dhl-report-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/10\/16\/global-trade-growth-slowed-not-stopped-by-us-tariff-blitz-dhl-report-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Global trade growth slowed, not stopped by US tariff blitz, DHL report says"},"content":{"rendered":"

Global <\/strong>trade volumes are projected to grow at a 2.5% annualized rate from 2025 to 2029<\/strong>, according to a report (pdf)<\/a> by DHL and New York University. Global trade was expected to grow at a 3.1% annualized rate prior to the announcement of tariffs by Washington. Most regions experienced a downward revision, with North America seeing the steepest dip, marking a drop in forecast growth from 2.7% to 1.5%, the report said.<\/p>\n

Trade shuffled and surged in 2025: <\/strong>Global trade in goods saw its fastest half-year growth since 2010 \u2014 excluding the brief 2020-2021 pandemic spike \u2014 in 1H 2025, according to the report. This was caused by numerous importers rushing to secure orders before tariffs are rolled out<\/a>, as well as China\u2019s efforts to lower US-bound exports and resort to other markets. The share of US imports sourced directly from China fell, dropping to just 9% during the first seven months of 2025.<\/p>\n

Trade is not becoming more regional: <\/strong>During 1H 2025, goods trade traveled some 4k km, the longest average distance on record. Meanwhile, the share of trade occurring within major world regions declined by a record drop to 50.7%. Greenfield Investment<\/a> \u2014 where a parent company starts a new venture in a foreign country \u2014 has also become less regional, while mergers and acquisitions showed a decent level of regionalization, the report found. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The trade growth forecasts for most regions saw downward revisions following the announcement of US tariffs, with North America seeing the steepest drop, the report 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