{"id":89364,"date":"2025-10-06T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/10\/06\/how-ksa-uae-and-egypts-non-oil-private-sector-fared-in-september\/"},"modified":"2025-10-06T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T00:00:00","slug":"how-ksa-uae-and-egypts-non-oil-private-sector-fared-in-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/10\/06\/how-ksa-uae-and-egypts-non-oil-private-sector-fared-in-september\/","title":{"rendered":"How KSA, UAE, and Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector fared in September"},"content":{"rendered":"

Breaking down non-oil private sector performance in KSA, UAE, and Egypt:<\/strong> Purchasing Manager Indices (PMIs) tracking non-energy sectors highlighted varying results in the three countries in September, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE posting further expansions, while Egypt extended its contraction.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong> The all-important 50.0 mark is the threshold separating contraction from growth. Anything above 50 denotes expansion, while anything below indicates contraction.<\/p>\n

\n

SAUDI ARABIA-<\/p>\n

Non-oil business activity in Saudi Arabia accelerated to a six-month high in September, <\/strong>powered by elevated output and demand, according to the Riyadh Bank Saudi Arabia PMI (pdf)<\/a>. The seasonally adjusted figure rose to 57.8 in September, up from 56.4 in August<\/a>. This reading, which is well above the 50.0 mark, signals a robust expansion, yet it remains well below January\u2019s<\/a> peak of 60.5.<\/p>\n

New orders accelerated at a faster pace in September, <\/strong>as robust market conditions, new clients, elevated marketing, and supportive pricing boosted domestic sales and helped lift new work from international customers. New order sub-index surged to 63.3 in September, from 60.1 a month earlier, according to Reuters<\/a>. Firms attributed the uptick to \u201csuccessful advertising campaigns and stronger demand from the GCC region,\u201d Riyad Bank Chief Economist Naif Al Ghaith wrote in the report. <\/p>\n

The output sub-index edged up at the fastest rate since February<\/strong>, recording its largest one-month gain in four years \u2014 27% of the survey participants reported an expansion, while only 1% posted a decrease. \u201cOverall, September\u2019s survey highlights a resilient private sector that is navigating cost pressures while benefiting from firm demand and steady hiring,\u201d Al Ghaith wrote.<\/p>\n

Purchasing activity picked up to a three-month high, <\/strong>resulting in the biggest expansion in inventory levels since May, according to the report. Firms actively built stocks to ensure smooth distribution and prepare for upcoming projects, the report read.<\/p>\n

Employment maintained robust momentum <\/strong>as firms significantly raised their hiring to handle elevated workloads and enhance sales teams. Although hiring growth saw a slight monthly dip, it remained historically sharp, helping to contain work backlogs.<\/p>\n

Persistent cost pressures pushed selling prices up:<\/strong> Input cost inflation remained elevated in September, driven by increasing wages and broader inflation. Selling prices also went up, but at a moderate rate, hitting a four-month low, as some firms eased their prices to sustain their competitiveness.<\/p>\n

Business sentiment improved for the second month in a row,<\/strong> as firms pointed to increased demand and ongoing projects as key drivers of their positive outlook. <\/p>\n

\n

UAE-<\/p>\n

The UAE's non-oil private sector posted its highest expansion in seven months,<\/strong> marking a solid improvement in activity, boosted by new business intakes. The country\u2019s seasonally adjusted S&P Global PMI (pdf)<\/a> rose to 54.2 in September, up from 53.3 a month earlier. September\u2019s reading also lands just below the survey long-run average, suggesting a good recovery from July\u2019s<\/a> 49-month plunge.<\/p>\n

New orders accelerated at their highest level since February, <\/strong>as demand recorded a strong rebound from August\u2019s four-year low, lifted by better demand conditions, elevated client engagement, and new projects. The sub-index for new orders surged to 57.2 in September, up from 53.1 a month earlier, according to Reuters<\/a>. <\/p>\n

More than 30% of surveyed firms recorded a surge in new orders, <\/strong>which triggered \u201ca sharp improvement in sales growth from [the sub-index\u2019s] four-year low in August,\u201d S&P Global Senior Economist David Owen wrote in the report. <\/p>\n

Output maintained a robust momentum,<\/strong> backed by elevated order intakes. Businesses attributed the strong activity to \u201cstrong demand, ongoing projects, marketing activities, and supportive government policy,\u201d according to the report. <\/p>\n

Businesses raised their purchasing activity in September, after cutting it for the first time in over four years in August. <\/strong>Still, this was muted by firm concerns about competition and price pressures. \u201cCompetitive pressures were again noted as a key issue, with several panelists linking this to caution around purchasing and pricing decisions,\u201d Owed said.<\/p>\n

Input costs rose significantly for September, <\/strong>mirroring a broader trend throughout the third quarter. This increase was driven by higher purchase prices, although the impact was somewhat mitigated by an easing of salary inflation.<\/p>\n

In turn, output inflation rose at softer rates<\/strong> as businesses were reluctant to increase their selling prices amid competition concerns. <\/p>\n

Employment inched up at the fastest pace since May, albeit modestly,<\/strong> helping backlog growth to be less sharp during September. \u201cCompanies continued to accumulate work-in-hand at a solid pace, but the uplift was the second-weakest in 20 months,\u201d the report read.<\/p>\n

Business sentiment remains positive<\/strong>: Non-oil firms' outlook for the year ahead remained strong in September, but their optimism was marginally lower than August's 10-month high. \u201cAround 15% of respondents held a positive view about future output, while less than 1% were downbeat about their prospects.<\/p>\n

The bigger picture: <\/strong>Looking ahead, non-oil sector activity across much of the Gulf is forecast to moderate, Capital Economics\u2019 James Swanston noted in a research note seen by EnterpriseAM last month. \u201cLow oil prices will more than offset rising output volumes and, in turn, export receipts will be weaker this year than last,\u201d Swanston wrote, adding that \u201ccurrent account and budget balances will deteriorate, prompting officials to make fiscal policy less supportive.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

MEANWHILE IN EGYPT-<\/p>\n

Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector activity slipped further in September<\/strong>, as new orders dipped at the quickest pace in five months, according to S&P Global\u2019s latest Purchasing Managers Index report (pdf).<\/a> The country\u2019s headline figure fell 0.4 percentage points in September to 48.8, decelerating from August\u2019s 49.2<\/a> to a three-month low.<\/p>\n

The country has been below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction for seven straight months, <\/strong>and has only pushed up into the green two times since November 2020. Despite the dip, the reading is still above the survey\u2019s historical average of 48.2 since it began in 2011.<\/p>\n

New orders experienced the fastest drop since April<\/strong>, stemming from a dip in sales because of \u201csubdued economic conditions, rising prices, and greater wage pressures,\u201d according to businesses surveyed. In line with falling demand, output decline accelerated for the seventh consecutive month in September, but it was moderate and softer than the series' long-run trend. Businesses also raised their selling prices for the fifth straight month to pass higher costs through to clients.<\/p>\n

Businesses scaled back their purchasing for the seventh straight month,<\/strong> albeit at a moderate pace. Meanwhile, stocks of purchased items inched up for the first time since May, as some firms chose to hold more inputs in reserve.<\/p>\n

But on the bright side, cost pressures eased to their lowest level since March, <\/strong>which businesses partially attributed to the EGP\u2019s relative stability against the USD. \u201cAlthough companies are struggling to gain new work amid challenging market conditions as a whole, they can take some comfort from a softening of input cost pressures, driven by the pound's strengthening against the US dollar over recent months,\u201d S&P Global Senior Economist David Owen wrote. Firms also reported some upward pressure on wages, with total staff costs edging up to their highest level since May 2024.<\/p>\n

Employment remained broadly unchanged during September <\/strong>after inching up across the two previous months, marking a stalling of hiring growth as firms became \u201cmore cautious regarding capacity expansion,\u201d the report read.<\/p>\n

Business sentiment continued to reach new historic lows<\/strong>, with overall expectations for the year ahead dipping to one of its lowest levels in the survey\u2019s history, despite the softening input inflation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The two Gulf countries saw their non-oil private sectors\u2019 growth accelerate, while Egypt\u2019s sector dipped further into contraction territory<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89365,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[141],"tags":[49,140,31,32,129],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-89364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-purchasing","tag-egypt","tag-purchasing","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-trade","tag-uae","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"bf41f69f-5a13-484c-b2e1-94246a01c476","order":"9","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/10\/277.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"How KSA, UAE, and Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector fared in September","related_issue":[89349],"teaser":"The two Gulf countries saw their non-oil private sectors\u2019 growth accelerate, while Egypt\u2019s sector dipped further into contraction territory","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/10\/.32c85c39-be26-42b9-9287-2822d75bb368.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nHow KSA, UAE, and Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector fared in September - 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