{"id":85625,"date":"2025-04-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/04\/10\/more-economists-downplay-the-impacts-of-the-tariffs-on-uae\/"},"modified":"2025-04-10T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-10T00:00:00","slug":"more-economists-downplay-the-impacts-of-the-tariffs-on-uae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/04\/10\/more-economists-downplay-the-impacts-of-the-tariffs-on-uae\/","title":{"rendered":"More economists downplay the impacts of the tariffs on UAE"},"content":{"rendered":"

The UAE\u2019s expanding trade relations, strong diplomatic relations with the <\/strong>US put it in a good spot amid tariff turmoil<\/strong>:<\/strong> US President Donald Trump\u2019s recently announced tariff plan is set to have a less significant impact on GCC economies than it will on other economies in the MENAT region, with all six economies of the GCC set to face a tariff of 10% \u2014 however, the effects are expected to be more pronounced in select sectors across GCC economies, Emirates NBD Research said in a research note on its website<\/a>.<\/p>\n

T<\/strong>ariffs on UAE aluminium exports unlikely to have a significant impact: <\/strong>Aluminum \u2014 which accounts for 19% of the UAE\u2019s total exports to the US \u2014 will be subject to the 25% tariff rate, Emirates NBD writes. However, aluminum exports to the US represented 14% of the UAE\u2019s aluminum exports, and just 0.4% of total UAE exports as of 2023. Fitch Solutions\u2019 research unit BMI agrees<\/a> that the impact of higher aluminum tariffs on MENA economies will be limited, with global demand to remain strong, offsetting weaker US demand, facilitating export redirection to other markets, and incentivizing the US to reach an agreement with aluminum exporters in the region. <\/p>\n

The UAE\u2019s trade activity is set to minimize the fallout from the tariffs: <\/strong>\u201cThe UAE in particular has also actively pursued trading relationships with many economies around the world to reduce trade barriers to insulate itself from volatility in global trade flows,\u201d the bank wrote.<\/p>\n

Take it from the experts: <\/strong>Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank chief economist Monica Malik said in a report \u201cthe GCC should be in a relatively favourable position to withstand headwinds, especially the UAE,\u201d adding that the US is not a key destination for Gulf exports, averaging just c.3.7% of the GCC\u2019s total exports in 2024, according to CNBC<\/a>. BlackRock\u2019s Ben Powell echoed the region\u2019s relative resilience: \u201cThe Middle East \u2014 maybe not today, but over time \u2014 should be a relative [champion] within that mix,\u201d pointing to strong balance sheets and ongoing energy revenues.<\/p>\n

Strong diplomatic relations with Trump will also help:<\/strong> \u201cI do think the Middle East, with the deep relationship with the U.S. that they have, should come out okay,\u201d Powell added, saying this could help with potential tariff negotiations.<\/p>\n

Spillover risks: <\/strong>The UAE faces indirect risks from a potential tariff-triggered global recession or stagflation could reduce expat inflows, foreign investment, and consumption, Frontier View<\/a> said in a note. S&P also warned<\/a> that US tariffs could dampen growth, investment, and market sentiment, while rising borrowing costs and tighter access to funding may affect exposed sectors.<\/p>\n

Malik also warned that a sharp, sustained drop in oil prices poses a more seriou<\/strong>s threat,<\/strong> potentially impacting spending plans, liquidity, and confidence. We\u2019ve heard the same from EFG Hermes\u2019 head of research Ahmed Shams El Din, though he posits the UAE as one of the least exposed markets<\/a> in the GCC to oil prices, with Saudi Arabia and Kuwait being the most exposed. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The UAE\u2019s expanding bilateral trade partnerships is set to minimize some of the effects of US tariffs<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85626,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[27,32,129,726],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-85625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trade","tag-gcc","tag-trade","tag-uae","tag-usa","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"05ec5a69-8f1a-4c1d-82e5-e7c62d6f50a8","order":"8","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/501.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"More economists downplay the impacts of the tariffs on UAE","related_issue":[85612],"teaser":"The UAE\u2019s expanding bilateral trade partnerships is set to minimize some of the effects of US tariffs","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/4\/.d5729723-7492-48f4-bae3-bc1c3e859f70.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nMore economists downplay the impacts of the tariffs on UAE - 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