{"id":85531,"date":"2025-04-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/04\/08\/ksa-and-egypts-non-oil-private-sectors-see-subdued-activity-in-march\/"},"modified":"2025-04-08T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-08T00:00:00","slug":"ksa-and-egypts-non-oil-private-sectors-see-subdued-activity-in-march","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/logistics\/2025\/04\/08\/ksa-and-egypts-non-oil-private-sectors-see-subdued-activity-in-march\/","title":{"rendered":"KSA and Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sectors see subdued activity in March"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/strong>How KSA + Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sectors fared in March:<\/strong> Purchasing manager indices (PMI) tracking non-energy sectors in the two countries saw slowdowns across the board in March, with Saudi Arabia holding above the 50.0 mark threshold \u2014 but at a slower rate \u2014 while Egypt\u2019s two-month stint in expansion territory came to an end.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong> The all-important 50.0 mark is the threshold separating contraction from growth. Anything above 50 denotes expansion, while anything below indicates contraction.<\/p>\n

F<\/strong>irst up, Saudi Arabia: <\/strong>Non-oil business activity in the Kingdom slowed its expansion slightly in March on the back of strong customer sales and increased levels of business activity, according to the Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia PMI (pdf)<\/a>. The seasonally adjusted headline figure came in at 58.1 in March, dipping down from the reading of 58.4 in February<\/a>, as new business growth continued to increase, but did so as its slowest rate since October 2024.<\/p>\n

The new orders subindex fell to 63.2 down from 65.4 in February,<\/strong> according to data seen by R<\/a>euters<\/a>. Although the rate of growth in new orders has slowed from the 14-year high seen in January, non-oil firms experienced a \u201crobust demand environment\u201d at the end of the quarter, driven by enhanced marketing efforts, lower selling prices, and general improvements to economic conditions. Similarly, new orders from foreign markets also continued to rise, albeit at a slower rate.<\/p>\n

Firms\u2019 purchasing activity continued to rise,<\/strong> with businesses reporting another sharp rise in their total inventories \u2014 the fourth largest expansion recorded in series history. Meanwhile, input cost inflation fell to its lowest level in over four years, with firms seeing markedly weaker increases in purchasing prices. This, coupled with competition across the non-oil economy led to a drop in selling prices \u2014 the first such decline in six months.<\/p>\n

Employment growth remained largely unchanged from February\u2019s 16-month high,<\/strong> boosted by the increased sales volumes, with firms emphasizing \u201cefforts to build their sales teams and overall capacity.\u201d The first quarter of the year marks \u201cthe fastest pace of jobs growth since the third quarter of 2012,\u201d according to survey data. \u201cRising employment rates are a direct benefit of businesses scaling up operations to meet demand. By providing more job opportunities, Saudi Arabia aims to nurture a skilled and ambitious workforce, reducing the unemployment rate to 7% for Saudi nationals\u201d, Riyad Bank Chief Economist Naif Al Ghaith said.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong>The UAE\u2019s non-oil activity saw a \u201cmild slowdown\u201d in growth in March<\/a>, with business activity continuing to improve, but at the slowest pace recorded since September of last year, according to S&P Global UAE PMI (pdf)<\/a>. The headline figure reached 54.0 during the month, down from 55.0 in February.<\/p>\n

What the readings could mean for Gulf markets:<\/strong> \u201cLooking ahead, the prospects for Gulf non-oil sectors have weakened in light of recent developments,\u201d Capital Economics\u2019 James Swanston wrote in a note seen by EnterpriseAM. \u201cWorries over global demand and, in turn, for oil, coupled with OPEC+\u2019s surprise hike announced last week has caused oil prices to collapse \u2013 Brent crude is now trading at USD 63 pb, a near 20% fall since the end of March. We highlighted that this now puts oil below fiscal and external breakeven prices in much of the Gulf, particularly in Saudi Arabia, and will likely see twin budget and current account deficits open up,\u201d Swanston writes.<\/p>\n

In Egypt, the non-oil private sector\u2019s two-month stint in expansion territory came to an e<\/strong>nd,<\/strong> with declining demand and weaker output helping drive the trend, according to S&P Global\u2019s latest Purchasing Managers Index report (pdf)<\/a>. Egypt\u2019s headline figure fell 0.9 percentage points to 49.2 in March, down from 50.1 in February<\/a> \u2014 however, despite the fall, the reading \u201cremained higher than its long-run trend, suggesting that businesses are still in a good overall position,\u201d Owen said.<\/p>\n

New orders from both local and international sources fell,<\/strong> leading to local companies to trim spending and reduce operations. Companies also reported a drop in purchasing activity \u2014 decreasing for the first time in four months \u2014 alongside a reduction in workforce headcounts.<\/p>\n

Input prices rose but at their slowest rate in 58 months,<\/strong> which may suggest that the increasing stability of the EGP against the greenback is helping ease inflationary pressures. The country\u2019s private sector responded to the deceleration of input price inflation by raising prices at the lowest level during the quarter at the slowest pace in four years.<\/p>\n

Businesses are unsure of what lies ahead,<\/strong> with companies\u2019 expected outputs falling to some of the lowest levels reported by the index, which Owen attributes to an unpredictable future ahead for the local economy despite an improved inflation outlook.<\/p>\n

All signs point towards a rate cut:<\/strong> \u201cFollowing the sharp drop in inflation in February, the input and output price components decreased to multi-year lows and supports our view that the central bank will cut interest rates next week,\u201d Swanston wrote in the note. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

KSA remained above the 50.0 mark threshold, while Egypt\u2019s two-month stint in expansion territory came to an end.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85532,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[141],"tags":[49,140,31],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-85531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-purchasing","tag-egypt","tag-purchasing","tag-saudi-arabia","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6ebf82d3-c5c7-4e03-9f9c-209bacd228e1","order":"9","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/269.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"KSA and Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sectors see subdued activity in March","related_issue":[85516],"teaser":"KSA remained above the 50.0 mark threshold, while Egypt\u2019s two-month stint in expansion territory came to an end.","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/4\/.c5dddcba-9c44-4a2c-acff-07f027993a16.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nKSA and Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sectors see subdued activity in March - 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