{"id":98299,"date":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/06\/30\/investors-flee-long-term-us-bonds-as-trump-tax-bill-revives-debt-fears\/"},"modified":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","slug":"investors-flee-long-term-us-bonds-as-trump-tax-bill-revives-debt-fears","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/06\/30\/investors-flee-long-term-us-bonds-as-trump-tax-bill-revives-debt-fears\/","title":{"rendered":"Investors flee long-term US bonds as Trump tax bill revives debt fears"},"content":{"rendered":"

Investors are pulling out of long term US bond funds at the fastest pace since early 2020<\/strong>, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. Nearly USD 11 bn left long-dated government and corporate bond funds in 2Q \u2014 a stark reversal from the average USD 20 bn in inflows over the past three years. <\/p>\n

The bigger picture: <\/strong>The US bond market is often used as a reflection of wider investor sentiment, with recent outflows pointing to a growing discomfort with the long end of the treasury curve amid ballooning supply, political dysfunction, and renewed inflation risks from Trump\u2019s tariff agenda. Inflation is also expected to rise as the effect of the trade levies start to be felt, dampening confidence even more by eroding yields on longer-dated bonds.<\/p>\n

Another USD tns in debt still to come? <\/strong>At the same time, a sweeping tax-and spending package advanced by the Republican-controlled US Senate over the weekend is deepening investor jitters over the country\u2019s long-term fiscal outlook, Reuters<\/a> reports. If the senate passes the bill, it returns to the House for final approval before heading to Trump\u2019s desk.<\/p>\n

The bill: <\/strong>The legislation \u2014 which would extend Trump-era tax cuts, raise military and border spending, and lift the debt ceiling by USD 5 tn \u2014 passed a procedural hurdle by 51-49 after hours of backroom negotiations. Analysts predict it could add USD tns to the current USD 36.2 tn worth of US government debt.<\/p>\n

Higher inflation is bad for long-term bonds: <\/strong>Currently, inflation \u2014 to which longer-dated bonds are sensitive as the value of fixed-interest payments erodes over time \u2014 remains above the target, and investors are already demanding high yields to absorb the supply. <\/p>\n

On the flip side<\/strong>, funds holding short-term US debt have seen over USD 39 bn in inflows this quarter as yields remain strong after the Fed\u2019s decision to keep short-term rates high. Greater diversity in maturity dates for holdings is also an option for investors, RBC Global Asset Management\u2019s Andrzej Skiba told the Financial Times. <\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the green<\/strong>, as data out of Japan showed an increase in industrial output and China\u2019s purchasing managers\u2019 index showed another month of contraction. Japan\u2019s Nikkei hit a six-month high, rising 1.5%, while China\u2019s CSI 300 rose 0.2%. On the flip side, Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng lost 0.5%. <\/p>\n

Over on Wall Street<\/strong>, futures have also inched up after another rally last Friday, which saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch new records.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,203<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2% (YTD: -6.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,434<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: -5.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27,248<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -13.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33,207<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +11.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,886<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +5.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,684<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,173<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +5.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,799<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +7.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,326<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.6% (YTD: +8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,269<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 108,166<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +15.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

914.27<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +1.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

145.29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +3.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.6% (YTD: -5.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI<\/strong> rose 1.2% yesterday on turnover of SAR 5.1 bn. The index is down 6.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> SIDC (+10.0%), Naseej (+10.0%) and Cenomi Retail (+10.0%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>SMC Healthcare (-1.9%), Americana (-1.3%) and Nahdi (-1.2%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 0.7% yesterday on turnover of SAR 39.7 mn. The index is down 13.4% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Obeikan Glass (+20.6%), AlBattal Factory (+9.9%) and Alhasoob (+9.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Anmat (-8.7%), Mayar (-6.8%) and Lana (-5.7%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Leaf Glo<\/a><\/strong>bal Environmental Services<\/a><\/strong>\u2019<\/strong> general assembly greenlit the<\/strong> distribution of a SAR <\/strong>10 mn dividend payout for FY 2024 at SAR 2.00 apiece<\/strong>, according to a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. The distribution date is set for 10 July.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investors are pulling out of long term US bond funds at the fastest pace since early 2020<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":98300,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[276,10,55,2689,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-98299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-bonds","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-investment","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6f37ca7a-8bb4-4ced-865b-31867edde83b","order":"13","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/3\/360.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Investors flee long-term US bonds as Trump tax bill revives debt fears","related_issue":[98275],"teaser":"Investors are pulling out of long term US bond funds at the fastest pace since early 2020","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/6\/.cafd8360-a0ed-4544-b27b-583c6c1d31af.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nInvestors flee long-term US bonds as Trump tax bill revives debt fears - 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