{"id":97809,"date":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/06\/12\/world-bank-sees-global-growth-slowing-to-a-near-two-decade-low-in-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","slug":"world-bank-sees-global-growth-slowing-to-a-near-two-decade-low-in-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/06\/12\/world-bank-sees-global-growth-slowing-to-a-near-two-decade-low-in-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"World Bank sees global growth slowing to a near two decade low in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

Global growth to slow down to lowest rate since 2008 on the back of trade <\/strong>conflicts:<\/strong> The World Bank expects GDP growth to weaken to 2.3% in 2025 on a global level, in what would mark the slowest rate of growth in almost 17 years, without counting outright global recessions, the bank wrote in its latest Global Economic Prospects report (pdf)<\/a>. The forecast for 2025 represents a drop of 0.4 percentage points from the bank\u2019s previous forecast in January, while its forecast of 2.4% growth in 2026 is 0.3 percentage points lower than the bank\u2019s prediction at the start of the year.<\/p>\n

The rationale: <\/strong>The bank sees global growth deteriorating on the back of a \u201csubstantial rise in trade barriers and the pervasive effects of an uncertain global policy environment,\u201d with the outlook largely depending on how trade policy evolves globally. \u201cGrowth could turn out to be lower if trade restrictions escalate or if policy uncertainty persists, which could also result in a build-up of financial stress,\u201d the report reads. <\/p>\n

The risks don\u2019t end there:<\/strong> Other risks to growth include \u201cadverse global spillovers, worsening conflicts, and extreme weather events,\u201d as well as the possibility of lower-than-expected growth in major economies. <\/p>\n

Some hope?<\/strong> However, the outlook could improve should major economies sign \u201clasting agreements that address trade tensions,\u201d the bank said.<\/p>\n

^^This is already happening: The US and China have finally reached a trade agreement<\/a> that could end a long and heated tit-for-tat that started with the US\u2019 imposition of a 145% tariff on Chinese imports, though few details have emerged and the final agreement still requires sign-offs from the countries\u2019 leaders. <\/p>\n

The US is now expected to see its GDP growth slow to 1.4% in 2025,<\/strong> before seeing a slight uptick to 1.6% in 2026. The forecast for 2025 is 0.9 percentage points lower than it was in the bank\u2019s forecast in January, while that of 2026 is 0.4 percentage points lower than the previous forecast. <\/p>\n

The bank also trimmed the Euro Area\u2019s growth forecast,<\/strong> expecting growth to slow to 0.7% in 2025 (0.3 percentage points lower than the previous forecast) before rising slightly to 0.8% in 2026 (0.4 percentage points lower than the previous forecast). <\/p>\n

As for China,<\/strong> the World Bank kept its forecast for the country unchanged at 4.5% growth in 2025, and 4.0% in 2026, \u201cas the impact of higher trade barriers and weaker external demand is assumed to be offset by the boost from additional fiscal policy support,\u201d it wrote.<\/p>\n

REGIONALLY- Growth in the MENA region is expected to strengthen to 2.7% in 2025<\/strong> \u2014 up 0.1 percentage points from its previous forecast in April \u2014 before strengthening further to 3.9% in 2026-27, on the back of \u201can expansion of oil activity in oil exporters, which more than offsets the adverse effects of weakening external demand and lower oil prices.\u201d <\/p>\n

Growth in GCC economies is expected to increase to 3.2% in 2025 (unchanged from its April forecast)<\/strong>, 4.5% in 2026, and 4.8% in 2027. \u201cThe phase-out of OPEC+ oil production cuts starting in April 2025 is expected to lead to rising oil production, despite projected lower oil prices amid weakening global demand,\u201d according to the report. <\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed this morning<\/strong>, with Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng index and Japan\u2019s Nikkei leading losses. South Korea\u2019s Kospi, on the other hand, is up 0.3%. Over on Wall Street, futures are subdued despite news of a trade agreement between the US and China and positive May inflation data. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,005<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.0% (YTD: -8.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,405<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -6.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27,224<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -13.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

32,935<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +10.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,805<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +4.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,596<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6022<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8864<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5393<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 69.77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+4.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3385.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 108,919.50<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9% (YTD: +16.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

912<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA bond & sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

144<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +3.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17.26<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8% (YTD: -0.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>remained unchanged yesterday on turnover of SAR 5.6 bn. The index is down 8.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Cenomi Retail (+9.9%), Miahona (+6.1%) and Americana (+5.7%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Elm (-6.7%), Acwa Power (-5.3%) and Sadafco (-3.5%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> fell 0.3% yesterday on turnover of SAR 25.5 mn. The index is down 13.5% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Meyar (+20.7%), Knowledgenet (+10.0%) and Rawasi (+7.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Aqaseem (-9.4%), Alrazi (-8.5%) and Nbm (-7.7%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Knowledge<\/a><\/strong>Net<\/a><\/strong>\u2019s BoD recommended a 50% capital increase to SA<\/strong>R 52.5 mn via a bonus <\/strong>share issuance<\/strong>, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a> yesterday. The SAR 17.5 mn capital hike will be funded via the outfit\u2019s retained earnings, with shareholders receiving one bonus share for every two shares held. The raised capital is earmarked for supporting the company\u2019s strategic growth, funding future expansion, and strengthening its financial position. The move is pending shareholders\u2019 and regulatory approvals.<\/p>\n

Zahrat A<\/strong>l Waha for Tr<\/strong>ading (Oasis) will distribute SAR 10.1 mn in dividends for FY 2024 at <\/strong>SAR<\/strong> 0.45 per share<\/strong>, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a> yesterday. Distribution is set for Thursday, 19 June.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The 2.3% global growth forecast would mark the slowest rate of growth in almost 17 years<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":97810,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[27,10,55,59,442],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-97809","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-world-bank","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"6f099741-b2d2-48ce-a44d-1b24116a145d","order":"13","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1292.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"World Bank sees global growth slowing to a near two decade low in 2025","related_issue":[97785],"teaser":"The 2.3% global growth forecast would mark the slowest rate of growth in almost 17 years","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/6\/.b8959ca5-5fd5-4cf0-a2a5-5dfb38b815cf.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nWorld Bank sees global growth slowing to a near two decade low in 2025 - 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