{"id":96193,"date":"2025-04-20T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-20T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/04\/20\/chinese-stocks-risk-usd-800-bn-in-outflows-amid-us-china-decoupling\/"},"modified":"2025-04-20T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-20T00:00:00","slug":"chinese-stocks-risk-usd-800-bn-in-outflows-amid-us-china-decoupling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/04\/20\/chinese-stocks-risk-usd-800-bn-in-outflows-amid-us-china-decoupling\/","title":{"rendered":"Chinese stocks risk USD 800 bn in outflows amid US-China decoupling"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/strong>China stocks face U<\/strong>SD 800 bn outflow risk:<\/strong> US investors could be forced to offload up to USD 800 bn worth of Chinese equities in a worst-case scenario of financial decoupling, Bloomberg<\/a> reports, citing a note from Goldman Sachs analyst Kinger Lau.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links<\/strong> to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

At stake: <\/strong>The estimate includes USD 250 bn in US depositary receipts (ADRs) \u2014 securities issued by US banks representing shares in a company listed on foreign indices \u2014 and USD 522 bn in Hong Kong stocks held by US institutional investors. Rising trade tensions and potential forced delistings could cause ADRs to lose 9% in value, while the MSCI China Index could take a 4% hit. JP Morgan also previously pegged potential passive outflows at USD 11 bn if ADRs were removed from global indices. <\/p>\n

On the flip side: <\/strong>Chinese investors might dump up to USD 1.7 tn in US assets.<\/p>\n

Chinese firms are poised to intervene to stabilize their stock markets<\/strong> through increased <\/strong>investment and share buybacks<\/strong>, Reuters<\/a> reported earlier this month. Companies like oil giant Sinopec and state holding firms are among those looking to invest more in tech, state firms, and ETFs and buy back shares in a show of optimism to bolster China\u2019s capital markets.<\/p>\n

The data suggests the decoupling is already well underway<\/strong>, with China's FDI position in the US falling steadily over the past few years, reaching USD 44 bn in 2023, down 16% since 2019, indicating that Chinese investors have been pulling money from US projects, according to Reuters<\/a>. The World Trade Organization projects an 80% drop in US-China merchandise trade for the year, signaling a shift towards two separate global trade blocs, Axios<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,553<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,469<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -2.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28,714<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: -8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,063<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +4.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,278<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: -1.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,097<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,283<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,276<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: 0.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,935<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +0.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.96<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+3.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.25<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,326.85<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 85,219<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.2% (YTD: -8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>fell 0.7% on Thursday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 4.7 bn. The index is down 4.0% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Alistithmar Reit (+10.0%), Dar Alarkan (+3.8%) and ACIG (+3.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Albaha (-5.7%), MESC (-4.8%) and Lazurde (-4.8%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> fell 1.3% on Thursday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 27.8 mn. The index is down 8.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Horizon Food (+7.0%), Purity (+5.1%) and Academy of Learning (+4.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Qomel (-9.6%), Dar Almarkabah (-8.4%) and Aljouf Water (-8.0%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investors looking to offload shares could face some waiting time<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":96194,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[2419,10,55,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-96193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-capital-markets","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"e1859136-e226-472f-a9bb-87bc294fda44","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/1233.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Chinese stocks risk USD 800 bn in outflows amid US-China decoupling","related_issue":[96175],"teaser":"Investors looking to offload shares could face some waiting time","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/4\/.a8725f6b-3ce8-4a28-bc3d-022b60a18063.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nChinese stocks risk USD 800 bn in outflows amid US-China decoupling - 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