{"id":94437,"date":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/02\/16\/rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut\/"},"modified":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","slug":"rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/02\/16\/rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"Rising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"

The odds of a US Federal Reserve rate cut took another hit after inflation came in hotter <\/strong>than expected in January<\/strong>, with the consumer price index rising 3% y-o-y, the highest increase since June, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data<\/a>. While only marginally higher than December\u2019s 2.9%, the uptick was enough for traders to dial back projections of a 2025 rate cut, pushing Treasury yields above 4.6%, CNBC<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s driving inflation?<\/strong> Shelter costs accounted for nearly 30% of January\u2019s price increase, rising 0.4%. Gasoline jumped 1.8%, contributing to a 1.1% increase in overall energy costs. Food prices also ticked up 0.4%, with grocery costs rising 0.5%. Meanwhile, used car prices climbed 2.2%, and motor vehicle insurance jumped 2%. Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 3.3% y-o-y.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs are expected<\/a> to stoke inflation further. US President Donald Trump reiterated earlier last week that rates \u201cshould be lowered, something which would go hand in hand with upcoming tariffs,\u201d CNBC reports. Some 90% of the economists in Reuters\u2019 October 2024 and February 2025 polls raised their inflation estimates for 2025 following Trump\u2019s election victory.<\/p>\n

ICYMI- <\/strong>Trump has already imposed a 10% tariff on USD 450 bn worth<\/a> of Chinese goods and 25% tariffs on steel aluminum imports<\/a> and vowed to impose reciprocal tariffs matching those imposed by other US trade partners. He has also threatened to impose 25% tariffs<\/a> on US imports from Mexico and Canada, with the measures on hold until 1 March<\/a> as the neighboring countries continue to negotiate over border security. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt also signaled that more trade actions could be announced soon, CNBC reports.<\/p>\n

Are cuts still possible?<\/strong> A Reuters poll<\/a> of 101 analysts suggests that Fed officials will adopt a wait-and-see approach as they assess how tariffs and other policy changes could affect the economy before making any further rate cuts.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,385<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.01% (YTD: +2.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,538<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +1.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,615<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1% (YTD: +0.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29,997<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +0.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,626<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,362<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,116<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.01% (YTD: +4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,733<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +6.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,493<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +12.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 74.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.37%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.67%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,900.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.52%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 97,485<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>fell 0.01% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 5 bn. The index is up 2.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Nice One (+10%), Medgulf (+7.8%) and Jamjoom Pharma (+4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Albabtain (-4.2%), SRMG (-3.3%) and UCA (-2.9%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 1% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 58.8 mn. The index is up 0.4% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Intelligent Oud (+16.4%), Dar Almarkabah (+12%) and WSM (+9.3%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Knowledge Tower (-8.9%), Alhasoob (-6.6%) and FAD (-4.6%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

#1- <\/strong>S<\/strong>audi <\/strong>Industrial Investment Group (SIIG) submitted a request to the Capital Market <\/strong>Authority to <\/strong>reduce its capital from SAR 7.5 bn to SAR 6.8 bn<\/strong> by way of canceling 75.5 mn shares, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. The move is pending shareholder and regulatory approvals.<\/p>\n

#2- <\/strong>Anaam I<\/strong>nternational Holding Group\u2019s shareholders approved a reverse stock split, <\/strong>raising the nominal share value for SAR 0.50 to SAR 10 a piece<\/strong>, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. The company will consolidate every 20 shares into one, keeping total capital unchanged at SAR 315 mn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The consumer price index rose 3% y-o-y, the highest rise since June<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":94438,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,21,59,264],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-94437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ffd65c0c-0e1f-4f66-9910-049ca7ccc903","order":"12","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1131.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Rising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut","related_issue":[94415],"teaser":"The consumer price index rose 3% y-o-y, the highest rise since June","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/2\/.32915e33-52cf-4675-904b-9deb30ce71cc.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nRising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut - 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