{"id":93962,"date":"2025-02-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-02T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/02\/02\/european-central-bank-cuts-rates-amid-stalled-growth\/"},"modified":"2025-02-02T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-02T00:00:00","slug":"european-central-bank-cuts-rates-amid-stalled-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/02\/02\/european-central-bank-cuts-rates-amid-stalled-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"European Central Bank cuts rates amid stalled growth"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/strong>The European Central Bank lowered interest rates by 25 bps to 2.75% <\/strong>on Thursday<\/strong>, its fifth straight cut, as it pivots from fighting inflation to tackling sluggish growth, according to a statement<\/a>. The eurozone economy has been struggling \u2014 Germany and France\u2019s economies shrank in 4Q 2024, Italy\u2019s flatlined, and Spain managed 0.8% growth, Reuters<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

Analysts saw this coming: <\/strong>A rate cut this week \u201cshould be an easy decision,\u201d European economist at BofA Global Research Evelyn Herrmann told Bloomberg<\/a> ahead of the ECB\u2019s rate cut, adding that \u201cafter that, things could get more interesting and possibly more controversial.\u201d Markets are pricing in at least three more cuts this year, with a terminal rate near 2%.<\/p>\n

The rationale:<\/strong> Policymakers say rising real incomes and fading monetary restrictions should boost demand, but weak exports, shrinking industry, and cautious consumers could deepen the slowdown. \u201cUncertainty is weighing on growth in the here and now in Europe,\u201d PGIM\u2019s Katharine Neiss told Bloomberg, citing trade war fears.<\/p>\n

The ECB isn\u2019t worried about inflation: <\/strong>While inflation ticked up to 2.4% in December, the ECB believes it\u2019s \u201cwell on track\u201d to return to target, pointing to easing wage growth and softer demand.<\/p>\n

How far will the cuts go?<\/strong> At 2.75%, rates are already nearing the estimated \u201cneutral\u201d range of 1.75%-2.50%, meaning further easing could stimulate the economy. Policymakers are divided; Greece\u2019s Yannis Stournaras backs a 2% rate by mid-year, but hawks like the Netherlands\u2019 Klaas Knot warn that the ECB is nearing its limit. The central bank signaled it will take a \u201cdata-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s tariffs add uncertainty: <\/strong>The ECB\u2019s move comes after the US Fed held rates steady last week<\/a>, with Chair Jerome Powell flagging uncertainty under President Donald Trump. Analysts warn that new tariffs on European exports could stall growth and force the ECB to act more aggressively, even as high services prices, rising energy costs, and weak productivity pose fresh inflation risks.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,415<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +3.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,544<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,251<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -0.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,011<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +0.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9586<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.03% (YTD: +1.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5180<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +0.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6041<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: +2.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8674<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5287<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +8.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 75.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.04<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2835.00<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 101,414<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: +8.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>fell 0.2% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 6.5 bn. The index is up 3.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> UCA (+7.9%), SSP (+7.3%) and Gulf General (+5.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Bupa Arabia (-4.1%), Chubb (-3.6%) and Medgulf (-3.2%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 0.7% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 50.4 mn. The index is down 0.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> TMC (+30.0%), Enma Alrawabi (+12.9%) and Aqaseem (+8.7%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Alshehili Metal (-8.7%), Waja (-7.2%) and Almujtama MedicaL (-5.8%)<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

#1-<\/strong> Banque Saudi Fransi (BSF) is set to distribute SAR 1.25 bn in dividends for 2H 2024,<\/strong> it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. Owners of some 2.49 bn shares will be eligible for SAR 0.50 apiece, with dates to be announced later.<\/p>\n

#2- Allied Cooperative Ins. Group received a six-month extension to increase its capital by SAR 209 <\/strong>to reach<\/strong> SAR 500 mn<\/strong> through a rights issue<\/strong>, following approval from the Ins. Authority, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. The capital increase is now pending other regulatory approvals.<\/p>\n

#3-<\/strong> Alkhabeer Capital is distributing SAR 14.8 mn in dividends to Alkhabeer REIT <\/strong>unitholders for 4Q 2024<\/strong> at SAR 0.105 per unit, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. Payments are set to be made by 10 April, within 40 business days of the eligibility date on 13 February.<\/p>\n

#4-<\/strong> Emaar EC deposited returns from sale of fractional shares \u2014 resulting from capital <\/strong>reduction \u2014 into shareholder\u2019s accounts<\/strong>, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. The company carried out a capital reduction by 53.8% to SAR 5.23 bn, via cancelling about 0.54 shares for every one share to extinguish accumulated losses, it said in an earlier disclosure<\/a> back in January.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Markets expect at least three more reductions this year<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93963,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,1423,55,59,264],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-93962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-european-central-bank","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"109fc87b-d54f-4f8c-817a-2f640b70135f","order":"11","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/12\/1122.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"European Central Bank cuts rates amid stalled growth","related_issue":[93942],"teaser":"Markets expect at least three more reductions this year","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/2\/.52c7c466-5f37-4809-8db5-aa9b29c2bda2.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEuropean Central Bank cuts rates amid stalled growth - 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