{"id":85315,"date":"2024-04-18T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-04-18T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2024\/04\/18\/deficits-in-the-us-china-could-hurt-global-economy\/"},"modified":"2024-04-18T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-04-18T00:00:00","slug":"deficits-in-the-us-china-could-hurt-global-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2024\/04\/18\/deficits-in-the-us-china-could-hurt-global-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Deficits in the US, China could hurt global economy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Careful now, big spenders: <\/strong>The US and China need to implement policies to address the imbalance between spending and revenues, which is adding to inflationary pressures and posing significant risks to the global economy, the IMF has warned in its latest Fiscal Monitor (pdf)<\/a> out yesterday. Rampant spending from the world\u2019s two largest economies could \u201chave profound effects for the global economy and pose significant risks for baseline fiscal projections in other economies,\u201d the Fund said.<\/p>\n

How bad is it?<\/strong> The US will record a fiscal deficit of 7.1% in 2025, over three times the 2%average clocked in by other advanced economies, while China will record a deficit over twice the average of other EMs with 7.6%, the IMF said. The shortfall comes as both countries look set to face challenges ahead, with China dealing with weak domestic demand and a real estate crisis<\/a> and the US entering a key year for fiscal policy in an election year that will see candidates pledging further tax cuts and increased state spending.<\/p>\n

When the US spends, EMs pay:<\/strong> \u201cLarge and sudden increases\u201d in US borrowing costs willlikely send global government bond yields soaring and exchange rates into murky waters in emerging markets and developing economies, the IMF said. \u201cA 1 percentage point spike in US rates results in a 90 basis point rise in other advanced economies and an increase in EMs of 1 percentage point,\u201d the salmon-coloured paper writes.<\/p>\n

THE MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are little changed in early trading this morning <\/strong>after Wall Street posted on Wednesday its first four-day string of losing days since the start of the year. The Kospi is the sole standout, up a bit more than 1.4% at dispatch time this morning. European and US equities futures were mostly unchanged overnight. <\/p>\n

<\/a><\/a> <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,466<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +4.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,569<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

26,402<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +7.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6.5% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29,668<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: +19.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,165<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,173<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,022<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: 5.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,848<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: 1.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,914<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: 8.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 89.40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1.72<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,380<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 61,397<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.9% (YTD: +112.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>fell 0.3% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 9.6 bn. The index is up 4.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Sharqiyah Dev (+10%), Batic (+9.3%) and SGS (+9.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Cenomi Retail (-5.2%), Astra Industrial (-3.7%) and Etihad Etisalat (-3.4%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 0.4% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 30 mn. The index is up 7.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Future Care (+10.7%), Ladun (+10%) and Mayar (+7.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> AlQemam (-9.7%), SPC (-6.1%) and Clean Life (-5.7%)<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Shareholders of Edarat Communication and IT have approved doubling the company\u2019s <\/strong>capital to SAR 25.2 mn<\/strong> through a bonus issuance, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a> yesterday. The capital hike will be made to support the cloud service provider\u2019s capital base and future activities, it said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The US will record a fiscal deficit of 7.1% in 2025, over three times the 2% average clocked in by other advanced economies<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85316,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[213,2441,10,55,779,59,2653],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-85315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-china","tag-debt","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-fiscal-policy","tag-planet-finance","tag-us","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ff24955d-a7e1-4ab8-ba3e-44685d5b9ec8","order":"13","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/4\/1245.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Deficits in the US, China could hurt global economy","related_issue":[85291],"teaser":"The US will record a fiscal deficit of 7.1% in 2025, over three times the 2% average clocked in by other advanced economies","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/4\/.4ae2428a-2a55-4d07-8ccb-9f3bf02fbf75.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nDeficits in the US, China could hurt global economy - 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