{"id":107987,"date":"2026-04-27T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/?p=107987"},"modified":"2026-04-27T03:20:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T03:20:13","slug":"is-market-panic-about-private-credit-overblown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/04\/27\/is-market-panic-about-private-credit-overblown\/","title":{"rendered":"Is market panic about private credit overblown?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Point:<\/strong> Private credit funds are under pressure from higher<\/a>borrowing costs<\/a> and transparency concerns<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Counter-point:<\/strong> These funds\u2019 conservative leverage and distinct capital structure provide a buffer that limits the risk of a systemic collapse. At least that\u2019s what Amit Seru, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and professor of finance at Stanford\u2019s Graduate School of Business argues in a piece for the Financial Times<\/a>. Seru\u2019s core thesis is that the asset class isn\u2019t what\u2019s going to set off a 2008-style financial crisis. <\/p>\n

Private credit funds\u2019 conservatively structured leverage ratio and equity absorption cushion losses<\/strong>, Seru argues. Banking leverage is around 8-to-1, or roughly 12 cents of equity per USD of assets, while private credit has an average ratio of 1.25-to-1. Roughly 65-80 cents of every USD of assets is funded by equity rather than debt for funds that borrow from banks. This means losses are absorbed by long-term equity investors first, making funds more resilient in downturns.<\/p>\n

This asset class also holds a strategic advantage by locking in investor capital for long durations.<\/strong> This structure aligns liabilities with the span of underlying loans and reduces the risk of forced liquidation. Meanwhile, banks fund long-term assets with short-term liabilities that can be withdrawn on demand, creating maturity mismatches and fueling financial crises.<\/p>\n

Bank ties and investor withdrawals aren\u2019t major threats<\/p>\n

Concerns about bank linkages are also overstated:<\/strong> Private credit funds typically only use bank credit lines for short-term needs, such as managing the timing of capital calls, Seru notes. The Federal Reserve even modeled a severe stress<\/a> scenario in which private credit funds face distress and fully draw down these lines \u2014 even then, major banks remain well capitalized.<\/p>\n

Rising investor withdrawals are less of a distress sign than a financial safety measure.<\/strong> Investors have rushed to redeem their capital amid transparency and AI-related risks, pushing multiple firms to cap withdrawals and avoid selling illiquid loans at steep reductions. These measures don\u2019t mean that the sector is facing a crisis, but rather a precaution designed to slash losses and protect valuable assets.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets hit record highs in early trading this morning, led by Japan\u2019s Nikkei, which gained around 1.5%, and South Korea\u2019s Kospi, which was up over 2.0%. US futures are set to open mixed later today, with futures swinging between gains and losses. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,122<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +6.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,490<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +7.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,795<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

52,421<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +25.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,789<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: -2.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,854<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -3.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,165<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +4.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,379<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8% (YTD: +4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,883<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +0.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 105.33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,741<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 78,422<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: -10.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

916.78<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: -0.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.1% (YTD: +29.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TAS<\/strong>I <\/strong>rose 0.1% yesterday on turnover of SAR 3.6 bn. The index is up 6.0% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Petro Rabigh (+10.0%), Yansab (+7.0%), and Alujain (+5.7%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Baan (-7.6%), Saudi Darb (-4.4%), and National Agricultural Development (-4.3%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> fell 0.3% yesterday on turnover of SAR 22.8 mn. The index is down 2.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Mayar (+8.8%), Munawla (+8.5%), and Rawasi (+8.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Mulkia (-9.4%), NGDC (-9.3%), and Adeer (-4.9%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Conservative structure and long-term capital lock support the sector against disruptions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107988,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,59,1448],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-107987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-private-credit","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"5a774cbf-7433-43d1-952f-ccdb56fb64b8","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/4\/1319.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Not another 2008","related_issue":[107970],"teaser":"Conservative structure and long-term capital lock support the sector against disruptions"},"yoast_head":"\nIs market panic about private credit overblown? 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