{"id":106813,"date":"2026-04-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/?p=106813"},"modified":"2026-04-02T03:45:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T03:45:58","slug":"mapping-the-ripple-effects-of-the-war-on-mena-venture-capital-magnitt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/04\/02\/mapping-the-ripple-effects-of-the-war-on-mena-venture-capital-magnitt\/","title":{"rendered":"Mapping the ripple effects of the war on MENA venture capital -Magnitt"},"content":{"rendered":"

The MENA venture <\/strong>capital<\/strong> (VC) lan<\/strong>dscape is entering a period of adjustment as geopolitical <\/strong>volatility begins to reshape investor behavior.<\/strong> One month into the ongoing regional conflict and shifting macro conditions, a Magnitt report seen by EnterpriseAM indicates that while headline funding has yet to reflect recent volatility, underlying capital dynamics are starting to shift \u2014 with knock-on effects likely to surface in the months ahead. <\/p>\n

This adjustment is driven by macro movements.<\/strong> Volatile oil prices (which briefly crested USD 100 per barrel) and inflation raise capital costs, while shifting interest rate expectations tighten global liquidity and heightened risk perception slows international deployment. Disruptions also stem from travel constraints that hinder in-person closings and fiscal shifts that increase sovereign selectivity. <\/p>\n

\n

The cascading effect<\/p>\n

Reliance on international capital is the primary vulnerability.<\/strong> Foreign investors accounted for 49% of total MENA funding in 2025 and are historically the first to withdraw during shocks. This exposure is most acute in the UAE, where international participation reached 78%, compared to 29% in Saudi Arabia.<\/p>\n

This is most pronounced during the growth stage<\/strong>, when international investors provided 69% of Series A and 51% of Series B+ funding in 2025, leaving larger rounds more exposed to changes in deployment pace.<\/p>\n

Earlier stages also face risks<\/strong> as uncertainty causes investors to concentrate capital on existing portfolios. With only 7.3% of MENA startups historically advancing from early-stage to Series A, tightened conditions could weaken the long-term pipeline of high-growth companies within 6-18 months.<\/p>\n

Exits could also see delays: <\/strong>Because nearly a quarter of MENA\u2019s venture exits involve international buyers, the region may face a liquidity bottleneck as global risk appetite cools. As IPO windows are pushed back and M&A timelines lengthen, the resulting delay in capital recycling threatens to create a \u201cself-reinforcing venture slowdown,\u201d where weaker liquidity today dries up the capital available for the next generation of startups. <\/p>\n

What about ol\u2019 reliable? <\/strong>While government-backed sovereign investors continue to provide an important layer of stability, evolving fiscal conditions \u2014 which have caused downward revisions of many MENA states\u2019 2026 GDP forecasts \u2014 may lead to more selective strategies. Future allocations will likely prioritize sectors aligned with national mandates, such as AI and fintech infrastructure. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,276<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +7.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,517<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +9.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,548<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -3.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

46,731<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+3.1% (YTD: +11.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,650<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.4% (YTD: -3.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,545<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.0% (YTD: -8.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,575<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,365<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.9% (YTD: +4.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,733<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.9% (YTD: -1.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 106.16<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+4.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.82<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,818<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 68,113<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: -22.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

914.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: -0.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

148.96<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -1.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24.54<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.8% (YTD: +64.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>rose 0.2% yesterday on turnover of SAR 6.6 bn. The index is up 7.5% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> MESC (+10.0%), Emaar EC (+10.0%), and Saptco (+9.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Saudi Cable (-8.0%), Senaat (-6.7%), and Kingdom (-4.8%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> fell 0.7% yesterday on turnover of SAR 28.9 mn. The index is down 3.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Almodawat (+18.3%), Alqemam (+11.9%), and NGDC (+9.3%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Time (-30.0%), Albattal Factory (-20.5%), and Leaf (-10.7%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Tabuk Agricultural Development Company\u2019s board proposed a 77.4% capital <\/strong>cut to write off SAR 303.3 mn in accumulated losses<\/strong>, reducing capital to SAR 88.5 mn from SAR 391.8 mn, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a>. The move will be executed by canceling 0.7741 shares per share held and remains subject to regulatory and shareholder approval. A previous proposal in December 2025 was rejected. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The region\u2019s venture pipeline is vulnerable to retreating, shock-sensitive international capital<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":106814,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,31,1670,59,179],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-106813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-investment-watch","tag-magnitt","tag-planet-finance","tag-startup-watch","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"1c4daa54-28e9-4b13-b9dd-a6203cbd26fa","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/1\/362.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"How the war is rewiring MENA VC -Magnitt","related_issue":[106796],"teaser":"The region\u2019s venture pipeline is vulnerable to retreating, shock-sensitive international capital"},"yoast_head":"\nMapping the ripple effects of the war on MENA venture capital -Magnitt - 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