{"id":105000,"date":"2026-03-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/?p=105000"},"modified":"2026-03-08T04:20:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T04:20:38","slug":"sell-america-buy-asia-trade-interrupted-as-oil-and-war-risk-reset-the-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/03\/08\/sell-america-buy-asia-trade-interrupted-as-oil-and-war-risk-reset-the-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cSell America, buy Asia\u201d trade interrupted as oil and war risk reset the outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"

The \u201csell America, buy Asia\u201d trade has hit turbulence. <\/strong>One of 2026\u2019s cleanest positioning calls is suddenly wobbling, as oil, war risk, and a firmer USD force investors to ask whether Asia\u2019s rally was built for geopolitics after all, Bloomberg<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

The market reaction has been blunt: <\/strong>The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was down about 6% last week, versus a 2% drop for the S&P 500, as funds rotate back toward US assets and the USD regains haven status.<\/p>\n

The problem for Asia: <\/strong>Asia imports the shock more directly than most, with Japan and South Korea especially exposed to Hormuz-linked shipments. China, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan are all heavily import-dependent, making this oil spike \u201cexponentially more corrosive\u201d for Asia than for the West, Vantage\u2019s Hebe Chen said. Goldman Sachs estimates a 20% jump in Brent would shave as much as 2% off regional earnings.<\/p>\n

The AI trade is now part of the unwind. <\/strong>Investors are trimming last year\u2019s hardware outperformers \u2014 especially South Korea and Taiwan \u2014 as higher energy costs collide with rich multiples and make capital-heavy tech stories harder to defend.<\/p>\n

Credit is flashing the same warning: <\/strong>A Julius Baer note seen by EnterpriseAM says Asian CDS spreads are widening across oil-importing economies, with India up 6.6 bps in a week and higher-risk Southeast Asian names moving 4-6 bps, as markets begin pricing a steeper regional risk premium if the war drags on.<\/p>\n

Truth is, some of that fatigue predated the geopolitical jitters. <\/strong>Foreign investors sold Asian equities for a fourth straight month in February, Reuters<\/a> reports, with South Korea alone posting record outflows of USD 13.7 bn, as AI valuation nerves had already started spilling far beyond Wall Street.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,776<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +2.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,462<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +5.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,497<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: -3.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47,516<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.3% (YTD: +13.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,903<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.4% (YTD: -0.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,917<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.2% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,740<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: -1.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,285<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.2% (YTD: +3.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,710<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.1% (YTD: -1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 92.69<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+8.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+6.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 5,159<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67,259<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.6% (YTD: -23.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

919.29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: 0.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.78<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29.49<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+24.2% (YTD: +97.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>rose 0.8% last Thursday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 5.2 bn. The index is up 2.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> MIS (+10.0%), SRMG (+7.7%), and Shaker (+7.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Catrion (-3.7%), Chemical (-3.1%), and Azm (-3.0%).<\/p>\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 0.8% last Thursday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 17.1 mn. The index is down 3.4% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Multi Business (+10.0%), Alshghal Almoysara (+9.97%), and HKC (+8.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Almodawat (-11.0%), Amwaj International (-9.9%), and Sure (-8.8%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Asian stocks are down 6% this week, as oil and war risk force investors back toward USD assets<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":105001,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-105000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"7188856a-2f3e-4ae6-af11-2447e49dba25","order":"11","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/2\/536.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Asia loses altitude","related_issue":[104981],"teaser":"Asian stocks are down 6% this week, as oil and war risk force investors back toward USD assets","photo_link":"","related_sponsor":"","voice_url":"","en_translation_ref_id":"","section_story_id":""},"yoast_head":"\n\u201cSell America, buy Asia\u201d trade interrupted as oil and war risk reset the outlook - KSA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/03\/08\/sell-america-buy-asia-trade-interrupted-as-oil-and-war-risk-reset-the-outlook\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cSell America, buy Asia\u201d trade interrupted as oil and war risk reset the outlook\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Asian stocks are down 6% this week, as oil and war risk force 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