{"id":104952,"date":"2026-03-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/?p=104952"},"modified":"2026-03-05T04:18:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T04:18:50","slug":"private-markets-boom-years-might-be-over-now-comes-the-reckoning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/03\/05\/private-markets-boom-years-might-be-over-now-comes-the-reckoning\/","title":{"rendered":"Private markets\u2019 boom years might be over, now comes the reckoning"},"content":{"rendered":"

Wall Street\u2019s private markets are rattled:<\/strong> Leaders of private markets firms at Wall Street are warning of incoming turbulence for both private credit and equity, following the sector\u2019s worst start to a year in over a decade, Bloomberg<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

Fueling the concerns: <\/strong>Inflows are slowing, withdrawals are mounting, and analysts caution that defaults could spike amid growing corporate debt levels tied to the AI boom. Executives flagged AI as a particular risk that could potentially erode the valuations of software-heavy portfolios and see lenders ask for more collateral. Conflict in the Middle East is also hitting the asset class, weighing on investor sentiment and credit indicators, Reuters<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

Executives framed the challenge as a reckoning after years of rapid growth. <\/strong>Apollo CEO Marc Rowan told Bloomberg Invest attendees that chasing higher yields \u201cfelt really good on the way up. That\u2019s not going to feel so good on the way down.\u201d Soros Fund Management\u2019s CIO Dawn Fitzpatrick said investors face a \u201cpainful 18 to 24 months.\u201d<\/p>\n

Private equity managers are also feeling the squeeze<\/strong>, struggling to sell assets and return capital, often relying on costly debt to deliver returns. As for private credit, it\u2019s seeing mixed responses to redemption pressures. Blackstone allowed a record 7.9% of its flagship fund to be redeemed, while Blue Owl temporarily halted withdrawals to give itself time to liquidate assets.<\/p>\n

Some are downplaying the panic: <\/strong>Ares CEO Mike Arougheti dismissed UBS analysts\u2019 15% default-rate forecast for private credit as \u201cabsolutely wrong,\u201d though he stressed that diversification is key to surviving the shakeout. Brookefield\u2019s Connor Teskey called the current hurdles \u201chiccups\u201d rather than structural threats, noting that bank and corporate balance sheets remain strong.<\/p>\n

Even so, shares of private-market players like Apollo, Ares, and Blackstone have lost over 25% in value this year<\/strong>, far underperforming the S&P 500\u2019s 0.3% decline. Fitzpatrick warned that once banks reassess collateral, private credit firms may need to scramble for liquidity \u2014 a harbinger of deeper stress ahead.<\/p>\n

Scott Adelson, CEO of Houlihan Lokey, noted that shakeouts are natural after rapid expansion. <\/strong>\u201cThere are some credit providers that could have a difficult time,\u201d he cautioned, while maintaining that private credit as an asset class is \u201chere to stay.\u201d<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asia-Pacific markets are in the green in early trading this morning for the first time this week, signaling a recovery in risk appetite. The Kospi is leading gains, up nearly 10%, while the Nikkei and Hang Seng are looking at more moderate gains. \u201cGeopolitical risk can flare up again very quickly, so \u2060any early gains we see this morning across Asia-Pacific region share markets may not last,\u201d Moomoo Australia and New Zealand\u2019s Paco Chow said<\/a>. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,693<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2% (YTD: +1.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,451<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +4.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,383<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: -3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

46,452<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +11.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,252<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.9% (YTD: +2.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,197<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4.7% (YTD: +2.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,870<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +0.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,568<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +6.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,871<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.7% (YTD: +1.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 81.40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.92<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 5,182<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 72,855<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+6.9% (YTD: -16.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

919.69<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

152.34<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +0.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20.77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-11.9% (YTD: +57.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>rose 1.2% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 6.5 bn. The index is up 1.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Alujain (+10.0%), SRMG (+9.96%), and SPPC (+9.94%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Saudi Aramco (-2.3%), Emaar EC (-2.0%), and Gulf Union Alahlia (-1.9%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 0.4% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 15.2 mn. The index is down 3.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Almodawat (+7.8%), Jamjoom Fashion (+7.5%), and AlNaqool (+7.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Tibbiyah (-8.7%), Leaf (-7.4%), and Service Equipment (-5.9%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Un<\/strong>ited Electronics Company\u2019s board approved the distribution of SAR 240 mn in <\/strong>dividends for 2H 2025 at SAR 3 per share<\/strong>, starting 12 March, it said in a bourse filing<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inflows are slowing, withdrawals are mounting, and analysts caution that defaults could spike if AI disrupts corporate earnings<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":104953,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,59,239],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-104952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-wall-street","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"44fc0093-c5a0-4308-986f-d77e705ac01d","order":"9","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/278.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Is Wall Street\u2019s private credit party hitting a wall?","related_issue":[104937],"teaser":"Inflows are slowing, withdrawals are mounting, and analysts caution that defaults could spike if AI disrupts corporate earnings"},"yoast_head":"\nPrivate markets\u2019 boom years might be over, now comes the reckoning - 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