{"id":104891,"date":"2026-03-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/?p=104891"},"modified":"2026-03-04T03:50:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T03:50:22","slug":"energy-spike-rekindles-inflation-fears-prompting-bond-rout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/03\/04\/energy-spike-rekindles-inflation-fears-prompting-bond-rout\/","title":{"rendered":"Energy spike rekindles inflation fears, prompting bond rout"},"content":{"rendered":"

The USD is emerging as the safe haven of choice for global investors<\/strong>, with other usual safe havens like bonds and gold getting dragged amid the global rout that has hit stocks since the start of the US-Israel-Iran war. As the bonds and gold markets suffer, the Bloomberg USD Spot Index is heading for its strongest back-to-back rally in nearly a year.<\/p>\n

This comes as fears of inflation have been stoked<\/strong> amid the spike in oil and gas prices, with Brent jumping over 8% on Tuesday to reach USD 85 \/ bbl for the first time since July 2024 and European gas prices jumping 36%. <\/p>\n

A <\/strong>Bloomberg gauge of global bonds<\/a><\/strong> dropped 0.8% \u2014 the worst day since May<\/strong> \u2014 while yields on 10-year Treasuries climbed to 4.10%, up 16 bps from Friday. Meanwhile, Britain\u2019s two-year gilt logged its sharpest two-day jump in nearly 18 months, and Japanese government bonds also fell.<\/p>\n

Rate cut dreams? Parked for now. <\/strong>Markets now see just a 25% chance of a Bank of England cut this month, down from 75% last week, while money markets have trimmed expected Fed easing this year to 37 bps, down from 60 bps on Friday. Traders have even started penciling in a small chance of an European Central Bank (ECB) hike by year-end.<\/p>\n

Policymakers aren\u2019t dismissing the risk: <\/strong>ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane warned that a prolonged conflict could trigger a substantial spike in inflation and dent growth, while Amundi\u2019s Monica Defend said geopolitics is reasserting itself as a recurring macro force.<\/p>\n

And gold \u2014 which<\/strong> typically acts as a hedge against turmoil \u2014 dipped 5.6% to USD 5.03k an ounce on Tuesday<\/strong>, weighed down by a stronger greenback and inflation concerns. Gold had jumped as much as 2.6% to above USD 5.4k a troy ounce earlier in the week, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. <\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

It\u2019s another day with Asia-Pacific markets opening in the red as uncertainty triggered by the escalating regional war keeps investors on edge. The Kospi is down over 8% and the Nikkei is down 3.6%. For the third morning running, Wall Street futures are in the red. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,566<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +0.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,437<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +3.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,297<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.1% (YTD: -4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

46,726<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.0% (YTD: +11.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,454<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: +4.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,504<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.8% (YTD: +7.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,817<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9% (YTD: -0.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,484<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.8% (YTD: +5.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,772<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.6% (YTD: -0.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 82.12<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+5.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.05<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+3.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 5,124<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 68,277<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.6% (YTD: -22.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

919.83<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

152.96<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +0.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23.65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+10.3% (YTD: +57.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>rose 0.7% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 5.7 bn. The index is up 0.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Yansab (+9.9%), Gasco (+9.8%), and EIC (+5.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>SHL (-8.9%), Amak (-8.1%), and Elm (-7.3%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> fell 1.1% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 15.6 mn. The index is down 4.3% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Tibbiyah (+9.9%), Sahat Almajd (+9.2%), and Jamjoom Fashion (+7.7%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> TAM Development (-16.8%), Watani Steel (-10.7%), and Alashghal Almoysra (-9.3%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Global bonds slid 0.8%, their worst day since May, as Brent and gas prices jumped on Hormuz disruption fears<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":104892,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-104891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"1bd42d50-e984-41cd-9725-ed136dab2b91","order":"11","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/203.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"It\u2019s the greenback\u2019s time to shine","related_issue":[104872],"teaser":"Global bonds slid 0.8%, their worst day since May, as Brent and gas prices jumped on Hormuz disruption fears"},"yoast_head":"\nEnergy spike rekindles inflation fears, prompting bond rout - 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