{"id":104827,"date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/?p=104827"},"modified":"2026-03-03T10:19:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T10:19:28","slug":"global-investors-turn-sour-on-ems-after-record-setting-rally-amid-regional-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2026\/03\/03\/global-investors-turn-sour-on-ems-after-record-setting-rally-amid-regional-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Global investors turn sour on EMs after record-setting rally amid regional war"},"content":{"rendered":"

Emerging market currencies and stocks have taken a beating as the war in <\/strong>the region prompts a sell-off of riskier assets<\/strong>, snapping a record-setting rally<\/a> that had taken hold amid fears of an AI bubble in the West and a desire to diversify from the USD, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Haven trades are back in charge, with investors rotating toward Treasuries, the CHF, and investment-grade emerging markets, excluding the Gulf, as we wrote yesterday.<\/p>\n

By the numbers: <\/strong>A gauge of developing-nation FX fell 0.9% after touching all-time highs last week as the USD strengthened. Meanwhile, EM stocks dropped as much as 1.9% \u2014 the steepest slide in a month, led by tech and consumer discretionary names. Pakistan\u2019s market plunged enough to trigger an hour-long halt, marking its biggest drop on record.<\/p>\n

Local-currency bonds of net oil-importing countries saw yields rise<\/strong> as Brent crude jumped 8.6% to around USD 79 \/ bbl \u2014 its highest in more than a year \u2014 while gold rallied alongside the greenback.<\/p>\n

JPMorgan also slashed its overweight recommendation on EM currencies and local bonds by half<\/strong> on the back of the sell-off.<\/p>\n

Central banks moved fast: <\/strong>Indonesia and India intervened in FX markets, while Turkish lenders reportedly sold about USD 5 bn to steady the TRY. \u201cThere\u2019s panic selling at first, then normalization,\u201d said Osmanli Portfoy CEO Mehmet Gerz.<\/p>\n

The bigger risk is inflation:<\/strong> Barclays warned that sustained higher oil prices could delay rate cuts across easing-cycle economies like South Africa, Poland, Turkey, and Hungary. Bloomberg Economics sees crude potentially climbing as high as USD 108 \/ bbl if tensions intensify.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asia-Pacific markets opened in the red this morning as the escalating regional war enters its fourth day. South Korea\u2019s Kospi is down over 3.6% \u2014 despite defensive sector gains \u2014 and Japan\u2019s Nikkei is down 2.2%. Over on Wall Street, indices are set to open in the red today, with futures down across the board. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,489<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: 0.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,423<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +2.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22,533<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -3.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.75% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

47,692<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +14.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,454<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: +4.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,504<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.8% (YTD: +7.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,882<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +0.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,780<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.2% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,987<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.5% (YTD: +3.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 77.76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+6.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.96<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+3.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 5,312<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 69,349<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+6.3% (YTD: -20.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

923.14<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +0.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

153.89<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +1.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21.42<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+8.0% (YTD: +55.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>rose 0.1% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 7.2 bn. The index is down 0.02% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Thimar (+5.6%), AlRajhi Takaful (+5.5%), and Bahri (+5.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>SHL (-6.4%), Flynas (-6.3%), and Cenomi Centers (-6.1%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> fell 0.3% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of SAR 13.3 mn. The index is down 3.3% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Academy of Learning (+9.2%), Alfakhera (+7.0%), and AlJouf Water (+6.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> AlKuzama (-9.9%), Knowledge Tower (-8.2%), and Rawasi (-7.0%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A gauge of developing-nation FX fell 0.9% after touching all-time highs last week as the USD strengthened<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":104828,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[2419,10,3809,55,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-104827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-capital-markets","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-equities","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"872f8368-b115-4858-9a93-edd696f9e744","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/3\/134.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Global 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