{"id":101313,"date":"2025-10-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/10\/09\/shutdown-fed-policy-and-weak-usd-push-gold-to-record-high\/"},"modified":"2025-10-09T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T00:00:00","slug":"shutdown-fed-policy-and-weak-usd-push-gold-to-record-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/10\/09\/shutdown-fed-policy-and-weak-usd-push-gold-to-record-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Shutdown, Fed policy, and weak USD push gold to record high"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/strong>Spot gold shattered the US<\/strong>D 4k an ounce barrier the first time on Wednesday<\/strong>, hitting a record of USD 4,059 as the US government shutdown pushed its rally to a peak. The precious metal is up more than 50% this year, and 20% since July with its returns now outperforming equities since the start of the century, Bloomberg<\/a> reported yesterday. <\/p>\n

The current US government shutdown is seen as the immediate catalyst<\/strong>, compounding market anxiety from tariffs and geopolitical risks, UBS Global Wealth Management\u2019s commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo told The Associated Press<\/a>. The metal\u2019s appeal is also fueled by Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, a weakening USD, and strong, long-term purchasing from central banks worldwide. The US and Western allies\u2019 move in 2022 to freeze about USD 300 bn in Russian foreign assets was the \u201ctrigger point\u201d for the gold rally, Staunovo added.<\/p>\n

The metal\u2019s rise also reflects growing concerns over government debt, geopolitical risks, and <\/strong>declining confidence in national currencies<\/strong>, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio told Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Gold-backed ETFs saw their largest inflows in over three years in September<\/strong>, signaling a shift away from overvalued equities toward diversification, Saxo strategist Charu Chanana told Bloomberg. \u201cGold breaking USD 4k isn\u2019t just about fear \u2014 it\u2019s about reallocation,\u201d she said, noting that easing real yields and stretched AI-heavy stocks are fueling renewed investor interest. Dalio echoed this sentiment, describing gold as \u201ca very excellent diversifier\u201d and advising that an optimal portfolio should include around 15%.<\/p>\n

Forecasts remain bullish<\/strong>, with strategists at Goldman Sachs raising their 2026 price target to USD 4.9k an ounce from USD 4.5k, citing a \u201cstructural shift in reserve management behavior.\u201d Dalio declared gold as \u201ccertainly\u201d more of a safe haven than the USD, comparing its recent record-setting rally to the 1970s, when the metal surged amid high inflation and economic instability.<\/p>\n

While gold is widely viewed as a hedge against inflation, some analysts urge caution. <\/strong>Staunovo noted that despite its safe-haven reputation, gold remains highly volatile, with price swings of 10-15%. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission also warned that during periods of economic uncertainty, sellers tend to benefit more than buyers.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Japan\u2019s Nikkei is leading the gains this morning among Asian markets<\/strong>, inching up 1.3% in early trading after SoftBank\u2019s stock soared on sealing the agreement to buy ABB robotics for USD 5.4 bn. The Shanghai Composite is also inching up 0.6%, while Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng is going in the other direction, down 0.3%. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures are unchanged after S&P 500 logged another all-time high yesterday.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,559<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: -4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,508<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25,693<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -18.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.75% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.25% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

37,377<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +25.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,130<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: 7.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,960<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +15.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,754<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +14.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,549<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +16.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,650<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +15.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 65.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,046.20<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 123,134<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1% (YTD: +30.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

922.82<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +2.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

150.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +7.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-5.5% (YTD: -6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI <\/strong>fell 0.2% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of SAR 7.6 bn. The index is down 4.0% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> SPM (+3.0%), Naqi (+2.7%) and Albabtain (+2.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Chubb (-3.9%), SPPC (-3.7%) and Emaar EC (-3.6%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> rose 0.7% yesterday<\/strong> on turnover of SAR 50.2 mn. The index is down 18.4% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Knowledgenet (+11.4%), Dar Almarkabah (+9.7%) and Alrasheed (+9.7%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Leaf (-7.7%), Shalfa (-6.4%) and Alashghal Almoysra (-4.9%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Al Moammar information Systems Company<\/a><\/strong>\u2019s board greenlit a SAR 24 mn<\/strong> dividend payout for 3Q 2025 at SAR 0.80 apiece<\/strong>, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a> yesterday. The distribution date is set for 25 November.<\/p>\n

ALSO- <\/strong>Al Moammar\u2019s board approved a SAR 24 mn dividend payout for 2Q 2025 at SAR 0.80 per share, it said in a separate disclosure<\/a>. The distribution date is set for Sunday, 26 October. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The precious metal surged on safe-haven demand amid compounding market anxiety<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":101314,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,2480,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-101313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-gold","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"28b5896b-5797-4354-9195-8a1772825ff4","order":"12","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/4\/424.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Gold shatters USD 4k barrier on US gov\u2019t shutdown, Fed policy, and weak USD","related_issue":[101293],"teaser":"The precious metal surged on safe-haven demand amid compounding market anxiety","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/10\/.9ee0478a-c9c8-4188-a611-06a00e7cec11.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nShutdown, Fed policy, and weak USD push gold to record high - 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