{"id":100344,"date":"2025-09-07T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-07T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/09\/07\/gold-to-reach-usd-5k-if-fed-independence-weakens-goldman-sachs\/"},"modified":"2025-09-07T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-07T00:00:00","slug":"gold-to-reach-usd-5k-if-fed-independence-weakens-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/09\/07\/gold-to-reach-usd-5k-if-fed-independence-weakens-goldman-sachs\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold to reach USD 5k if Fed independence weakens -Goldman Sachs"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/strong>Gold prices could surge to nearly USD 5k an ounce if the Federal Reserve\u2019s <\/strong>independence is compromised<\/strong>, the Financial Times<\/a> reports, citing forecasts by Goldman Sachs. The bank's base case scenario is a rise to USD 4k per troy ounce by mid-2026, but a 1% shift of private investment from US Treasuries to gold could drive the price even higher.<\/p>\n

The rationale:<\/strong> \u201cA scenario where Fed independence is damaged would likely lead to higher inflation, lower stock and long-dated bond prices and an erosion of the USD\u2019s reserve currency status,\u201d co-head of global commodities research at Goldman Sachs Daan Struyven told the FT.<\/p>\n

Gold has already rallied 35% this year to over USD 3.5k an ounce<\/strong>, becoming a top-performing global asset. Both investors and central banks have been increasing their holdings in the precious metal as a hedge against political uncertainty, debt, and potential inflation from a politicized Fed, especially as traditional havens like the USD and government bonds falter.<\/p>\n

The Trump effect on Gold:<\/strong> Concerns over US President Trump\u2019s pressure on the central bank prompted European Central Bank head Christine Lagarde to warn of a \u201cvery serious danger\u201d<\/a> to the global economy. The uncertainty is boosting demand for gold, said Hargreaves Lansdown\u2019s Derren Nathan, in a separate BBC<\/a> report. The trend was echoed by Pictet Asset Management's Arun Sai, who said the political climate reinforced his firm's decision to maintain a significant gold position.<\/p>\n

Fed under pressure:<\/strong> The Justice Department has opened a criminal mortgage fraud investigation into Federal Reserve member Lisa Cook, a move critics describe as a politically motivated escalation of the Trump administration's effort to oust her and put pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates, The Washington Post<\/a> reported, citing sources it said are in the know. Resignations and ended terms are increasingly tipping the balance of the Fed board in Trump\u2019s favor.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,656<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: -11.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,382<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: -8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25,560<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: -18.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,762<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.1% (YTD: +16.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,034<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +6.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,989<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +16.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,482<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,208<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +12.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,318<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: +8.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 65.50<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.05<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,653<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 110,138<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +17.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

914.55<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.09% (YTD: +1.38%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

149.46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +6.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8% (YTD: -12.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI gained 0.3% on Thursday\u2019s close <\/strong>on turnover of over SAR 3.2 bn. The index is down 11.5% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Thimar (+6.0%), Saudi Fisheries (+4.2%) and Al Andalus (+3.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Build Station (-5.7%), Taiba (-4.4%) and Al Ahli Reit (-2.7%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> closed 0.4% down on Thursday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 40.7 mn. The index lost 18.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Horizon Food (+9.4%), Al Naqool (+7.0%) and Intelligent Oud (+6.8%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Horizon Educational (-13.3%), Sign World (-10.0%) and Osool and Bakheet (-9.9%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

#1- <\/strong>Munawla Cargo Company<\/a><\/strong>\u2019s board approved a 50% capital increase to SAR 30 mn<\/strong>, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a> on Thursday. The move aims to raise the number of shares to 3 mn from 2 mn by issuing one bonus share for every two shares held.<\/p>\n

ALSO- The company\u2019s board greenlit a SAR 1.5 mn dividend payout for 1H 2025 at SAR <\/strong>0.75 per share<\/strong>, it said in a separate disclosure<\/a> on Thursday. The distribution date is set for 28 September.<\/p>\n

\n

\n

#2- <\/strong>Arab<\/a><\/strong>ian Food and Dairy Factories Co.<\/a><\/strong> will distribute over SAR 2.1 mn in interim <\/strong>dividends for 1H 2025 at SAR 1.5 apiece<\/strong>, starting 5 October, it said in a Tadawul disclosure<\/a> on Wednesday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold prices would also see an increase if 1% of the privately owned US Treasury market were to flow to the metal<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":100345,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[10,55,2480,31,59],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-100344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-gold","tag-investment-watch","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a9c46753-6af6-4d4c-a8d8-008c0a54c9ef","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/9\/301.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Gold to reach USD 5k if Fed independence weakens -Goldman Sachs","related_issue":[100327],"teaser":"Gold prices would also see an increase if 1% of the privately owned US Treasury market were to flow to the metal","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/9\/.13d691ae-8c7f-4c3a-8d61-7fcb46b37599.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nGold to reach USD 5k if Fed independence weakens -Goldman Sachs - 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