{"id":100088,"date":"2025-08-28T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/08\/28\/trumps-battle-with-the-fed-could-reshape-financial-markets-for-years-to-come\/"},"modified":"2025-08-28T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T00:00:00","slug":"trumps-battle-with-the-fed-could-reshape-financial-markets-for-years-to-come","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/ksa\/2025\/08\/28\/trumps-battle-with-the-fed-could-reshape-financial-markets-for-years-to-come\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s battle with the Fed could reshape financial markets for years to come"},"content":{"rendered":"

While markets barely blinked when US President Donald Trump said he <\/strong>was going <\/strong>to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, the damage may already be done<\/strong>, Wall Street Journal Chief Economics Commentator Greg Ip warned in his weekly \u2014 and EnterpriseAM fan favourite \u2014 Capital Account column<\/a>. Analysts cited by Ip say that the attempt \u2014 the first of its kind in the Fed\u2019s 111-year history \u2014 may be a turning point. If Trump succeeds, he would effectively draw the curtains on the central bank\u2019s independence from presidential control, a principle that has underpinned US monetary policy since 1951.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The markets \u201care not properly priced for what increasingly seems likely to be a rupture in<\/strong> Fed independence<\/strong>,\u201d Evercore ISI analysts noted. So far, optimism around rate cuts has helped keep stock markets buoyant, driven by Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s recent comments stating that tariffs are unlikely to stoke sustained inflation.<\/p>\n

But if the Fed becomes more beholden to political pressure, investors will quickly have <\/strong>to adapt to a very different economic future. <\/strong>Trump\u2019s broader strategy seems aimed at stacking the Fed board with loyalists, with the purpose of letting future rate decisions be informed not just by data, but by campaign cycles, potentially diluting the Fed\u2019s core focus on inflation.<\/p>\n

If Cook is successfully replaced off the back of fraud allegations \u2014 a topic Trump has a <\/strong>lot of experience in \u2014 Trump appointees would hold four of seven governor seats<\/strong>, giving him leverage over monetary policy even without directly removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. \u201cOnce we have a majority, housing is gonna swing and it\u2019s gonna be great,\u201d Trump said on Tuesday. <\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s current and prospective Fed nominees are openly political \u2014 a major break from <\/strong>past practice. <\/strong>His candidates now signal clear policy stances aligned with his administration. Take Stephen Miran, who, while serving as an investment strategist last year, warned against cutting rates with inflation around 3%. Now, however, as chair of Trump\u2019s Council of Economic Advisers and a contender to Powell, Miran has embraced Trump\u2019s view that rates are too high. Another potential appointee by Trump, former World Bank president David Malpass, has recently written that the Fed should cut rates to support the USD, even though, by his logic, the greenback\u2019s steady decline this year impedes such cuts.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Major Asian benchmarks are mostly in the green in early trading this morning<\/strong>, with the Nikkei, Shanghai Composite, and Kospi all in the green, and the Hang Seng in the red, down almost 1%. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

TASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,808<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: -10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

MSCI Tadawul 30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,394<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8% (YTD: -7.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

NomuC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

26,182<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -16.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD : SAR (SAMA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Sell<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.75 Buy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.0% repo <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.5% reverse repo<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

35,676<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: +20.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,182<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +8.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,127<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +18.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,481<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,256<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +13.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,393<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 68.05<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.87<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+5.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,452<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 111,203<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: +18.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Sukuk\/bond market index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

911.38<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.03% (YTD: +10.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

148.30<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +6.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14.85<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.6% (YTD: -14.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-<\/p>\n

The TASI closed down 0.6% yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 4 bn. The index slipped 10.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> SIIG (+5.0%), Fipco (+4.6%) and Seera (+3.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Sal (-4.4%), Saib (-3.3%) and BSF (-3.2%).<\/p>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-<\/p>\n

The NomuC<\/strong> was almost flat yesterday <\/strong>on turnover of SAR 35 mn. The index fell 16.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Asas Makeen (+8.9%), Balsam Medical (+6.9%) and Wsm (+6.8%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Aqaseem (-15.4%), Tharwah (-9.5%) and ASG (-8.8%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Emaar, the Economic City extended the term of its capital increase agreement <\/strong>with the <\/strong>Public Investment Fund (PIF)<\/strong>, now set to end on 31 December, instead of 7 September, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul<\/a> yesterday. The agreement allows the company to convert the PIF\u2019s debt into shares, following an amendment in March<\/a> that raised the conversion amount to SAR 4.12 bn. No additional costs were reported related to this extension.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The markets \u201care not properly priced for what increasingly seems likely to be a rupture in Fed independence,\u201d Evercore ISI analysts noted<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":100089,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2565],"tags":[1628,10,55,59,264],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-100088","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-donald-trump","tag-enterpriseam-ksa","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"20fec7fa-f3cf-4b5f-8fa1-567120236218","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/8\/1685.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Trump\u2019s battle with the Fed could reshape financial markets for years to come","related_issue":[100071],"teaser":"The markets \u201care not properly priced for what increasingly seems likely to be a rupture in Fed independence,\u201d Evercore ISI analysts noted","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/8\/.005b6444-f0dc-4b13-95e1-2aa8a05f7617.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nTrump\u2019s battle with the Fed could reshape financial markets for years to come - 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