Good morning. The news cycle grounded to a near-halt this morning, with uncertainty back to being the name of the game in regional and global markets after renewed US tariff threats and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea.
In today’s issue: The PIF is reportedly investing in a USD 1 bn NYC tower with US-based Related Cos, Sab Invest is targeting USD 266 mn for its first MENA-focused private credit fund, and a deep-dive in Tadawul’s 1H performance as well as progress on the Kingdom’s Liquid Fuel Displacement Program. Let’s dive in.
HAPPENING TODAY-
The subscription window for Riyad Bank’s USD-denominated tier 2 trust certificates wraps up today, the lender said in a disclosure to Tadawul. The offering kicked off yesterday, with a minimum subscription of USD 200k per investor and additional increments of USD 1k, targeting to raise funds from local and international investors for “general banking purposes.”
The details: The trust certificates — set to be listed on the International Securities Market of the London Stock Exchange — have a maturity of 10 years, with a call option after five years. Price per unit and returns will be determined at a later stage.
ADVISORS: The bank tapped Standard Chartered, HSBC, Merrill Lynch International, JP Morgan Securities, SMBC Group, Mizuho International, DBS Bank, and Riyad Capital as joint lead managers.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
Alinma Bank is gearing up to issue USD-denominated sukuk to local and international investors under its Trust Certificate Issuance Program, it said in a disclosure to Tadawul. The price and terms of the paper will be subject to market conditions, with the potential proceeds earmarked for general banking purposes.
ADVISORS- The lender enlisted Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, Alinma Capital Company, Dubai Islamic Bank, Emirates NBD Bank, Goldman Sachs International, JP Morgan Securities, and Standard Chartered Bank as joint lead managers on the transaction.
Saudi-Moroccan shipping line could slash transport time by more than a quarter: The proposed Saudi-Moroccan shipping line — which would operate between Jeddah and Tangier — aims to reduce the time it takes to transport goods between Morocco and the Kingdom from four weeks to five days, head of the Moroccan-Saudi Business Council Khaled Benjelloun told Asharq Business. While trade between the two countries is improving on an annual basis, it faces several challenges, “most notably the absence of a direct sea line,” Benjelloun added.
What’s next? The activation of the direct shipping link hinges on the findings of a feasibility study — with the respective transport authorities expected to deliver the final sign-off. Several businessmen from each country stressed the need for government backing to launch the line, as “it will be unprofitable at first,” Benjelloun said.
ICYMI- Saudi and Moroccan officials agreed to look into launching a maritime link connecting the two kingdoms as part of an effort to boost bilateral trade and investment in the food, renewables, and tourism sectors last month. The new link comes as the pair look to boost their trade from USD 1.6 bn in 2024 to USD 5 bn.
Twenty-two people onboard a commercial vessel have been rescued by an AD Ports-operated ship following a distress call, after it came under attack by the Houthis in the Red Sea, UAE’s state news agency Wam reports. The vessel — Magic Seas — was attacked by gunfire, rockets, and explosive-laden remote-controlled boats, and the Houthis claimed it had sunk following the attack, Reuters reports.
The incident marks the end of a period of calm, following a series of Houthi attacks that had disrupted shipping last year.
DATA POINTS-
#1- Saudi Arabia welcomed 18.5 mn international pilgrims in 2024, including 1.6 mn for hajj and 16.9 mn for umrah, double the number of umrah performers in 2022, according to the Pilgrim Experience Program’s annual report (pdf).
#2- Saudi investors’ total transactions in the US stock market increased 164% y-o-y in 1Q 2025, to hit a record high of SAR 164.3 bn, Argaam reports, citing data from the Capital Market Authority.
OIL WATCH-
Goldman Sachs expects eight Opec+ members to increase oil production quotas by 550k bbl / d in September, completing the reversal of the 2.2 mn bbl / d voluntary cuts, Reuters reports, citing a note from the bank. The move would bring the group’s production to some 33 mn bbl / d by September.
The bank kept its Brent crude forecast unchanged at USD 59 / bbl for 4Q this year and USD 56 / bbl for next year. The forecast reflects a balancing act between lower-than-expected supply from producers like Russia and shrinking spare capacity — both supportive of prices — against downside pressures from a potential rollback of the 1.65 mn bbl / d Opec+ post-pandemic cuts and a 30% probability of a US recession.
Goldman also flagged upside risks to demand, projecting global oil consumption to increase by 600k bbl / d this year and by 1 mn bbl / d next year. Key drivers include strong demand from China, sustained global economic momentum, and further depreciation of the greenback.
REMEMBER- Opec+ agreed to raise production by 548k bbl / d in August, accelerating its plan to return supply to the market and exceeding analyst expectations
SPORTS-
#1-Messi on Al Ahli’s radar? Al Ahli embarked on talks to sign Lionel Messi as a free agent once his contract with Inter Miami ends in December, L’Equipe reported. This is the second time a Saudi-based club has attempted to sign the eight-time Ballon d’Or holder and Fifa World Cup champion, following a USD 1.76 bn offer by Al Hilal Saudi Club in 2023. No further details were shared.
#2- Al Riyadh gets new head coach: Al Riyadh SC tapped Javier Calleja as its new head coach as it gears up for the upcoming Saudi Pro League season, replacing Bandar Al Kubaishan. The 47-year-old Spaniard had a prolific career in his native country, leading Villarreal CF, Deportivo Alavés, Levante UD, and most recently Real Oviedo.
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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
Most of the attention has returned to the revival of US President Donald Trump’s trade war, as the US began sending countries letters, including Japan and South Korea — two of the US’ biggest trade partners — with their reciprocal tariffs, with the two Asian countries getting hit with a 25% tariff as of 1 August. Others like Kazakhstan, Myanmar, and Laos were slapped with a 40% tariff.
The letters reportedly hinted at the potential for trade talks to resume, possibly even beyond the 1 August deadline, but also threatened a tariff hike in case tariffs are raised on US exports. (Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | CNN)
ALSO- Trump threatens 10% tariff on Brics-aligned nations: Trump said that countries aligned with the “anti-American policies of Brics” will face an extra 10% in tariffs with “no exceptions” in a post on Truth Social. The warning followed a joint statement (pdf) by Brics leaders criticizing tariff hikes, deeming them a threat to global trade and inconsistent with World Trade Organization regulations. A source familiar with the matter later downplayed the threat, saying it’s not a blanket threat against Brics nations, but on any of the countries agreeing policies deemed “anti-American.” (Reuters)
Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was hosted by Trump at the White House, with talks focusing on the potential ceasefire Trump hinted could be reached this week. (Reuters)
AND- The death toll from the floods in Texas — now deemed one of the deadliest in the country’s history — has exceeded 100 as search efforts continue. (Guardian | Wall Street Journal | New York Times)

