The number of US Treasuries held by foreign investors was near record highs in April, even as US President Donald Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs triggered one of the steepest sell-offs in the asset class in over two decades, Bloomberg reports. Foreign holdings came in at USD 9.0 tn — just shy of March’s all-time high following sales of US bonds and notes, according to US Treasury data. This came despite concerns over a wave of outflows from American debt and equity markets following the tariff announcements.
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IN CONTEXT- Trump’s tariff announcement in early April triggered a historic sell-off, with Treasuries posting their worst weekly performance in over 20 years. A weak 20-year bond auction in May added to the sell-off, though 30-year and 20-year offerings later saw better take-up.
But no mass exit: Despite this, official institutions were net buyers of long-term Treasuries. Foreign investors were net sellers of US agency bonds and equities, but increased their exposure to long-term corporate debt, suggesting selective rebalancing rather than a broad retreat.
Big buyers didn’t blink: Japan, still the top holder, increased its holdings by USD 3.7 bn to USD 1.1 tn. The UK added USD 28.4 bn, overtaking China for the number-two spot with USD 807.7 bn. Belgium — often seen as a proxy for Chinese custodial accounts — rose USD 8.9 bn to USD 411.0 bn.
China pulled back, Canada dumped: China’s holdings dropped by USD 8.2 bn to USD 757.2 bn, continuing a multi-year retreat. Canada posted the largest decline, offloading nearly USD 57.8 bn to bring its total to USD 368.4 bn. The Cayman Islands — a hub for hedge funds — also reduced holdings by USD 7.0 bn.
“The ‘Sell America’ narrative is an over-exaggeration,” Morgan Stanley’s Vishal Khanduja told Bloomberg elsewhere, though warning of “slow and bumpy [USD] depreciation” ahead. Jamie Patton of TCW Group also pushed back on talk of capital flight, saying there’s a “big difference between valuation and the reserve status of the USD or Treasuries as a de facto safe asset.”
Concerns that US Treasuries’ “safe haven status” is in jeopardy still abound, with the latest red flag being the lack of a rally during the Israel-Iran flare-up — which would typically be a haven bid moment.
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TASI |
10,611 |
+0.2% (YTD: -11.9%) |
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MSCI Tadawul 30 |
1,367 |
0.0% (YTD: -9.4%) |
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NomuC |
26,176 |
-0.1% (YTD: -16.8%) |
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USD : SAR (SAMA) |
USD 3.75 Sell |
USD 3.75 Buy |
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Interest rates |
5.0% repo |
4.5% reverse repo |
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EGX30 |
30,248 |
-1.9% (YTD: +1.7%) |
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ADX |
9,513 |
+1.0% (YTD: +1.0%) |
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DFM |
5,352 |
+1.6% (YTD: +3.7%) |
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S&P 500 |
5968 |
-0.2% (YTD: +1.5%) |
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FTSE 100 |
8775 |
-0.2% (YTD: +7.4%) |
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Euro Stoxx 50 |
5234 |
+0.7% (YTD: +6.9%) |
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Brent crude |
USD 77.01 |
-2.3% |
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Natural gas (Nymex) |
USD 3.85 |
-3.6% |
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Gold |
USD 3385.70 |
-0.7% |
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BTC |
USD 102,858.30 |
-0.8% (YTD: +9.9%) |
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Sukuk/bond market index |
911.06 |
0.0% (YTD: +1.0%) |
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S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk |
144.12 |
-0.1% (YTD: +3.0%) |
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VIX (Volatility Index) |
20.62 |
-7.0% (YTD: +18.9%) |
THE CLOSING BELL: TADAWUL-
The TASI rose 0.2% on Thursday on turnover of SAR 6.4 bn. The index is down 11.9% YTD.
In the green: Alistithmar Reit (+10.0%), Seera (+8.0%) and Banan (+7.1%).
In the red: SPCC (-5.2%), Ataa (-3.4%) and Leejam Sports (-3.0%).
THE CLOSING BELL: NOMU-
The NomuC fell 0.1% on Thursday on turnover of SAR 20.1 mn. The index is down 16.8% YTD.
In the green: Anmat (+9.1%), Riyal (+8.3%) and Almuneef (+6.5%).
In the red: Leaf (-9.2%), Rawasi (-8.6%) and Knowledge Tower (-8.1%).
CORPORATE ACTIONS-
Homegrown travel giant Seera Group Holding’s BoD recommended an 8.65% capital reduction to SAR 2.74 bn through the cancellation of some 26k shares, arguing a relative capital excess to the company’s needs, the company said in a Tadawul disclosure.
SouthernProvince Cement Company’s general assembly approved a SAR 98 mn dividend payout for 2H 2024 at SAR 0.70 per share starting 1 July, according to a disclosure to Tadawul.
Natural Gas Distribution Company’s general assembly approved a SAR 2.5 mn dividend distribution for FY 2024 at SAR 0.50 per share starting 7 July, according to a disclosure to Tadawul.