{"id":695419,"date":"2026-04-22T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/?p=695419"},"modified":"2026-04-22T03:42:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T03:42:11","slug":"world-bank-sees-egypts-budget-deficit-widening-to-7-6-of-gdp-in-fy-2025-26-as-interest-payments-squeeze-fiscal-space","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/04\/22\/world-bank-sees-egypts-budget-deficit-widening-to-7-6-of-gdp-in-fy-2025-26-as-interest-payments-squeeze-fiscal-space\/","title":{"rendered":"World Bank sees Egypt\u2019s budget deficit widening to 7.6% of GDP in FY 2025-26 as interest payments squeeze fiscal space"},"content":{"rendered":"

Egypt\u2019s budget deficit is expected to widen to <\/strong>7.6% of GDP<\/strong> in FY 2025-26 from an estim<\/strong>ated 7.1% in the previous fiscal year<\/strong>, according to the World Bank\u2019s latest Macro Poverty Outlook report (pdf)<\/a>. Meanwhile, the current account deficit is expected to remain stuck at 4.2% of GDP through the end of the fiscal year. The report underscores that the government\u2019s reliance on external financing and its constrained fiscal space will continue to dictate the terms of the business environment well into 2026.<\/p>\n

Our fiscal space remains severely constrained by interest payments<\/strong>, which consumed about 10.6% of GDP and 87.1% of tax revenues in FY 2024-25, the report indicates. While debt fell to 82.5% of GDP last fiscal year, the Bank warns that contingent liabilities \u2014 standing at about 27% of GDP \u2014 pose a significant risk to the fiscal outlook. The Bank expects debt to rise to 82.9% of GDP this fiscal year, before shrinking to 79.2% next year and 78% in FY 2027-28.<\/p>\n

The World Bank projects that inflation will cool to 13.6% by the end of FY 2025-26<\/strong>, a sharp decline from 20.9% in the previous fiscal year. Even as the country grapples with conflict-induced volatility, this reading comes as more optimistic than BMI\u2019s latest inflation forecast<\/a> of 14.6%.<\/p>\n

IN CONTEXT- <\/strong>The Bank sounds optimistic about Egypt, as we\u2019ve also seen it maintain<\/a> its FY 2025-26 growth forecast at 4.3% y-o-y \u2014 significantly outperforming the projected global growth average of 1.8% as the world grapples with war-induced economic headwinds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inflation is forecast to ease to 13.6% in 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":695420,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[8473,2653,104,72,182,321],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-695419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-budget","tag-budgeting","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-world-bank","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"40a391f1-c582-4597-a15d-907c47909712","order":"8","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/4\/1066.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Interest payments to drive 7.6% budget deficit in FY 2025-26 -World Bank","related_issue":[695406],"teaser":"Inflation is forecast to ease to 13.6% in 2026"},"yoast_head":"\nWorld Bank sees Egypt\u2019s budget deficit widening to 7.6% of GDP in FY 2025-26 as interest payments squeeze fiscal space - 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This is 0.5 percentage points higher than the IMF\u2019s previous forecast for FY 2021-2022, which penciled in a 6.3% deficit. The deficit stood\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/4\/353.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":674809,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/11\/04\/budget-deficit-widens-to-2-5-of-gdp-in-1q-fy-2025-2026\/","url_meta":{"origin":695419,"position":2},"title":"Budget deficit widens to 2.5% of GDP in 1Q FY 2025-2026","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 November 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The primary surplus rose to EGP 178 bn during the quarter","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1760.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592909,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/12\/finance-ministry-eyes-6-4-growth-in-fy-2020-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":695419,"position":3},"title":"Finance Ministry eyes 6.4% growth in FY 2020-2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"BUDGET WATCH- FinMin says it\u2019s targeting 6.4% growth, 6.2% deficit next fiscal year: The Finance Ministry is eyeing GDP growth of 6.4% in FY2020-2021, up from a targeted 6% for the current fiscal year, according to the ministry\u2019s preliminary budget statement announced by cabinet yesterday. Local press reports had suggested\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/773.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":582148,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/03\/02\/govt-to-miss-deficit-debt-targets-on-higher-rates-import-bill\/","url_meta":{"origin":695419,"position":4},"title":"Gov\u2019t to miss deficit, debt targets on higher rates, import bill","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 March 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt is now predicting a debt level of 93.0% of GDP by June 2023","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/Finance-Ministry-1600.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":593361,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/26\/fitch-affirms-egypts-long-term-fx-issuer-default-rating-at-b-with-a-stable-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":695419,"position":5},"title":"Fitch affirms Egypt\u2019s long-term FX issuer default rating at B+ with a stable outlook","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Ratings has affirmed Egypt\u2019s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at \u2018B+\u2019 with a \u2018stable\u2019 outlook. The agency said that Egypt\u2019s rating affirmation is supported by \u201ca recent track record of economic and fiscal reforms, and improvements to macroeconomic stability and external finances.\u201d On the flipside, Egypt\u2019s \u201cstill large fiscal\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/178.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=695419"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":695460,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695419\/revisions\/695460"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/695406"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/695420"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=695419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=695419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=695419"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=695419"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=695419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}