{"id":694062,"date":"2026-04-16T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/?p=694062"},"modified":"2026-04-16T04:04:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T04:04:55","slug":"finmin-drafts-egp-9-7-tn-consolidated-budget-for-fy-2026-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/04\/16\/finmin-drafts-egp-9-7-tn-consolidated-budget-for-fy-2026-27\/","title":{"rendered":"FinMin drafts EGP 9.7 tn consolidated budget for FY 2026-27"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Good morning, wonderful people.<\/strong> We\u2019re heading to the weekend with both a busy issue and a shot of good news:<\/p>\n

The EGP continued to strengthen yesterday, breaking below EGP 52 to the greenback <\/strong>at banks including the NBE and Banque Misr (buy rate at 51.97) and CIB (51.95).<\/p>\n

(Tap or click here to listen to the 10-minute version of this morning\u2019s issue<\/a><\/strong> \u2014 Morning Drive is out Sunday-Thursday at 6:15am and is perfect to listen to if you\u2019re in a rush, behind the wheel, or need something to listen to while you suit up for a day at the office.)<\/p>\n

The driver? A wave of returning hot money inflows. <\/strong>Some USD 450 mn came in yesterday, bankers we spoke with estimate, bringing the two-day total to just under USD 1.8 bn.<\/p>\n

We won\u2019t be out of the woods until the war in the Gulf is over<\/strong>, but this much is clear: Officials do not have their thumb on the scales, and that\u2019s allowing the EGP to do exactly what it\u2019s meant to do \u2014 to serve as a shock absorber.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf inflows continue and there is no further escalation [of the war], the EGP could recover <\/strong>further<\/strong>, potentially pushing the USD toward the EGP 50 level,\u201d one banker told us.<\/p>\n

Privatization: A welcome recalibration?<\/p>\n

<\/a> The Madbouly government is cutting its estimate of how much it will net from the <\/strong>sale of state assets <\/strong>through the privatization program. Officials now expect to bring in proceeds of c. USD 4.5 bn in the coming three years, a senior government official tells us \u2014 that\u2019s a significant dip from the USD 6 bn target<\/a> officials had hoped to hit in the upcoming fiscal year alone.<\/p>\n

Cabinet sees the privatization process as being about bringing in the private sector<\/strong>, not just the maximizing of receipts, the official reiterated.<\/p>\n

Underpromise, overperform: <\/strong>There may be upside to the USD 4.5 bn in three years figure, but this is a welcome recalibration. Spillover from the conflict in the Gulf has sapped investors\u2019 appetite for risk and we need a big, successful IPO (or two) to prime the pump for more listings. Much better that Cabinet signal a realistic outlook than commit to targets that external forces have (for now) made unrealistic.<\/p>\n

Banque du Caire and Misr Life are two of the three big privatization sales now on deck<\/strong>, Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk told reporters earlier this week. The government continues with administrative procedures to list other assets that could be folded into the program, but we see this as exactly what they are: Early administrative procedures for which officials would like tub-tubs, not meaningful progress.<\/p>\n

Budget: No more slush funds<\/p>\n

<\/a> BUDGET WATCH \u2014 FinMin is drafting a consolidated general <\/strong>government budget for the third <\/strong>consecutive year <\/strong>in line with an agreement struck with the International Monetary Fund \u2014 and we\u2019ve had a sneak peek. General budget expenditures in FY 2026-27 will rise to EGP 9.7 tn from the EGP 8.5 tn expected by the end of the current fiscal year, according to a document seen by EnterpriseAM, while revenues will increase to EGP 8.34 tn from EGP 7.2 tn.<\/p>\n

But Enterprise, isn\u2019t a budget just a budget? <\/strong>No, this is the general budget<\/a> we all know but with financial data from all public economic authorities attached. There are currently 59 public economic authorities across 12 sectors included in the consolidated budget \u2014 think of the Grand Egyptian Museum, the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone), or the General Authority for Industrial Development. All of those are public economic authorities, and their revenues are reflected in this consolidated budget. Most of these are established by presidential decree to manage a public utility or provide a public service and have broad powers to manage their own financial and administrative affairs.<\/p>\n

Why should you care? Think of the consolidated general budget as a welcome dose of <\/strong>sunshine: <\/strong>It helps curb room for ministries and other authorities to hang onto their \u2018personal\u2019 slush funds. The Finance Ministry has for years pushed all arms of the state to return proceeds to the treasury, eliminating room for them to hang on to cash and use them for off-the-books purposes.<\/p>\n

It doesn\u2019t stop there: Some arms of the state don\u2019t provide services with the same <\/strong>efficiency as, say, the good folks at the SCZone<\/strong> \u2014 and are less capable of generating revenue, which leads them to seek subsidy support or borrow with government backing. That all comes out in the consolidated general budget.<\/p>\n

Did PHD just get a piece of Ras El Hekma?<\/p>\n

Palm Hills Developments has <\/strong>reportedly<\/a><\/strong> reached an agreement with the UAE\u2019s Modon<\/strong> to develop a 2k feddan project in Ras El Hekma. Palm Hills is reportedly hoping to launch sales of the project\u2019s first phase as early as this summer to tap summer interest in the North Coast. We\u2019re poking into the story and will be back with fresh details next week.<\/p>\n

No IMF top-up?<\/p>\n

The IMF<\/strong> is not currently discussing a top-up of Egypt\u2019s USD 8 bn loan program<\/strong> despite the regional war\u2019s impact on our economy, Reuters<\/a> reported, citing comments by IMF Managing Director Kristalina \u200cGeorgieva.<\/p>\n

Gov\u2019t eyeing 5% growth target?<\/p>\n

Egypt\u2019s<\/strong> economy is expected to grow by a rate ranging between <\/strong>4.8% and 5% during 3Q<\/strong> of the current fiscal year<\/strong>, Planning Minister Ahmed Rostom said<\/a> on the sidelines of IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington. Growth in the 4Q remains contingent on the de-escalation of regional geopolitical tensions, he reportedly said. Should these conditions persist, Q4 growth is projected at 4.5%, bringing the full fiscal year rate to an estimated 4.9% to 5%, Rostom said.<\/p>\n

Earlier this week the IMF <\/strong>downgraded<\/a><\/strong> Egypt\u2019s GDP forecast to 4.2% in 2026, <\/strong>a 0.5 percentage points decrease from its January projection.<\/p>\n

\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Meet EnterpriseAM MENA+, our new flagship newsletter <\/strong>covering the flows of capital, people, and ideas across the Middle East \u2014 and beyond it.<\/p>\n

MENA+ covers AI and tech \u2014 and geopolitics, the war for talent<\/strong>, which BSD is on top (and who's gunning for them), the changing energy economy, new corridors to India and China, and much, much more.<\/p>\n

What's with the \u201c+\u201d in MENA+?<\/strong> We think one of the most powerful stories in the region is the *export* of ideas and capital not just to neighboring regions (Asia, the Stans) but to international financial centers. MENA countries are jockey for position in the new global economy now taking shape, and we're going to shape that conversation.<\/p>\n

Tap or click<\/a><\/strong>here to get your own copy<\/a><\/strong> delivered to your inbox every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday before 12pm UAE.<\/p>\n

WEATHER- <\/strong>We are in for another sweltering day in Cairo today, with a high of 37\u00b0C and a low of 23\u00b0C, according to our favorite weather app.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s enviously much cooler in Alexandria<\/strong>, with a high of 26\u00b0C and a low of 18\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

And over the weekend, <\/strong>expect the mercury to fall below 30\u00b0C in the capital and below 25\u00b0C for our friends on the Mediterranean.<\/p>\n

The big story abroad<\/p>\n

The US<\/strong>-Iran ceasefire lives another day with no news of a breakthrough<\/strong>. White House officials signaled confidence<\/a> that a diplomatic resolution is within reach. Talks brokered via Pakistan are \u201cproductive and ongoing,\u201d White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said, but denied reports that Washington formally asked to extend the truce.<\/p>\n

Stocks went on a tear yesterday, suggesting traders think that the end of the war is nigh. <\/strong>The S&P 500 closed nearly 1% higher yesterday, hitting a new all-time high as it extended a two-week rally that began just before the current ceasefire came into effect. CNBC has some color<\/a> here.<\/p>\n

And <\/strong>oil steadied<\/a><\/strong> in response to unconfirmed reports a ceasefire extension<\/strong>, with Brent crude settling near USD 95.<\/p>\n

In less-welcome news: US President Donald Trump <\/strong>renewed his threat<\/a><\/strong> to sack Federal <\/strong>Reserve Chair Jay Powell. <\/strong>Trump wants Powell out on 15 May, when his term as Fed chair comes to an end, even if Kevin Warsh \u2014 who Trump has named as Powell\u2019s successor \u2014 hasn\u2019t been confirmed by Congress by that date. Tradition would have Powell stay on until a success is in place.<\/p>\n

Trump also said he\u2019s not going to call off a Justice Department probe of Powell<\/strong>\u2019s renovation of the Fed\u2019s DC headquarters. Folks are also holding their breath to see if Powell steps down from the board when he exits as chair \u2014 while his term at the head of the table runs out on 15 May, he isn\u2019t required to leave the board until January 2028.<\/p>\n

Also in the US of A: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup are all doing <\/strong>large<\/a><\/strong>share buybacks<\/a><\/strong>, as are Bank of America and Morgan Stanley. The biggest US banks have spent a combined USD 33 bn on the buybacks, the FT reports, amid strong 1Q earnings.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good morning, wonderful people. We\u2019re heading to the weekend with both a busy issue and a shot of good news: The EGP continued to strengthen yesterday, breaking below EGP 52 to the greenback at banks including the NBE and Banque Misr (buy rate at 51.97) and CIB (51.95). 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We\u2019re heading to the weekend with both a busy issue and a shot of good news: The EGP continued to strengthen yesterday, breaking below EGP 52 to the greenback at banks including the NBE and Banque Misr (buy rate at 51.97) and CIB (51.95). 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We\u2019re heading to the weekend with both a busy issue and a shot of good news: The EGP continued to strengthen yesterday, breaking below EGP 52 to the greenback at banks including the NBE and Banque Misr (buy rate at 51.97) and CIB (51.95). 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Are you a \u201cRamadan is flying by\u201d person or a \u201cIt is crawling at a snail\u2019s pace\u201d person? On most days, we\u2019re the latter. Not helping is the flurry of privatization and M&A news\u2026and the wait for the next\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE WEEK IN REVIEW"","block_context":{"text":"THE WEEK IN REVIEW","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-week-in-review\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/3\/702.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":667093,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/19\/budget-amendments-might-be-on-the-way-if-regional-escalation-persists\/","url_meta":{"origin":694062,"position":2},"title":"Budget amendments might be on the way if regional escalation persists","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 June 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Amendments are expected to come in 2H 2025 or before the end of the current parliamentary session in October","rel":"","context":"In "BUDGET WATCH"","block_context":{"text":"BUDGET WATCH","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/budget-watch\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/6\/1067.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":546741,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/26\/privatization-continues-to-dominate-the-airwaves\/","url_meta":{"origin":694062,"position":3},"title":"Privatization continues to dominate the airwaves","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Planned public consultations on the state\u2019s privatization strategy got the talking heads talking last night \u2014 one day after Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said his government would seek opinions from stakeholders over a period of three months before signing off on the plans. Salet El Tahrir (watch, runtime: 23:55) and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "LAST NIGHT\u2019S TALK SHOWS"","block_context":{"text":"LAST NIGHT\u2019S TALK SHOWS","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/last-nights-talk-shows\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":549888,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/04\/manufacturers-listen-up-at-the-coming-economic-conference\/","url_meta":{"origin":694062,"position":4},"title":"Manufacturers: Listen up at the coming economic conference","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Manufacturers can expect to get a \u201cclear\u201d strategy on how the government plans to shore up local industry at the upcoming economic conference, which is scheduled for 23-25 October, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said, according to a cabinet statement. 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