{"id":692083,"date":"2026-04-06T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/?p=692083"},"modified":"2026-04-06T03:53:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T03:53:56","slug":"non-oil-sector-hits-two-year-low-as-regional-volatility-stokes-costs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/04\/06\/non-oil-sector-hits-two-year-low-as-regional-volatility-stokes-costs\/","title":{"rendered":"Non-oil sector hits two year low as regional volatility stokes costs"},"content":{"rendered":"

Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector saw its fastest deterioration in operating <\/strong>conditions since April 2024 in March,<\/strong> reflecting a sharp dip in output and new orders that saw them both hit their lowest levels in nearly two years, according to the latest S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (PMI) (pdf)<\/a>. The headline index fell for a fourth consecutive month, dropping 0.8 points from the month before<\/a> to 48.0 in March, placing it firmly below the 50.0 mark threshold that separates contraction from growth that it has remained under for the last three months.<\/p>\n

SOUND SMART-<\/strong> The reading remains above the 32.0 threshold that signals annual GDP growth. Egypt only ever dipped below this level once in April 2020 on the back of the Covid 19 pandemic.<\/p>\n

The ongoing war in the region stands out as the primary drag on macroeconomic <\/strong>momentum<\/strong>, with those surveyed reporting that the war has \u201cdampened client demand, partly through an increase in price pressures,\u201d according to the report. Beyond direct demand, the war has triggered a spike in input costs, with firms reporting the sharpest uptick in purchase prices since late 2024. \u201cAs the USD strengthens amid a flight to safety, and energy prices remain elevated, Egyptian companies are clearly feeling the impact on their balance sheets,\u201d S&P Global\u2019s Senior Economist David Owen wrote.<\/p>\n

Uncertainty and soaring costs drove a steeper drop in new sales compared to February<\/strong>, with manufacturers being the hardest hit and bearing the brunt of rising expenses. In response to war-linked commodity price spikes and a weaker EGP, firms raised output prices at the fastest pace in 10 months.<\/p>\n

Despite the broader downturn, internal operations showed minor signs of stabilization, <\/strong>with purchasing activity rising slightly in March after two months of decline. Headcounts were \u201cbroadly stable following job cuts since the end of last year,\u201d though companies remain cautious about expanding payrolls amid ongoing volatility.<\/p>\n

Business sentiment fell into negative territory for the first time in the survey\u2019s history,<\/strong> marking the first occasion where firms have \u201cpredicted a fall in output over the next 12 months.\u201d While described as \u201cmild,\u201d the pessimism is largely driven by \u201cuncertainty surrounding the Middle East war.\u201d<\/p>\n

Despite the 23-month low reading, \u201cthe latest figure of 48.0 still relates to annual GDP <\/strong>growth of around 4.3%<\/strong>,\u201d Owen wrote, indicating that, together with stronger readings earlier in 1Q, the non-oil sector remains on a \u201csolid underlying growth path.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The headline index fell for a fourth consecutive month in March,dropping 0.8 points from the month before<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":692084,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7335],"tags":[104,72,185,1653,12389],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-692083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-big-story-today","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-pmi","tag-sp","tag-the-big-story-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"35813f09-8c7d-438d-af3f-7e617ca3dfd1","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/7\/1624.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Private-sector activity slumps on Gulf war fallout","related_issue":[692078],"teaser":"The headline index fell for a fourth consecutive month in March,dropping 0.8 points from the month before"},"yoast_head":"\nNon-oil sector hits two year low as regional volatility stokes costs - 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The purchasing managers\u2019 index (PMI) gauge dropped to 48.0 last month,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/4\/333.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":549909,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/05\/pmi-is-flat-month-on-month-with-private-sector-still-in-contraction-territory\/","url_meta":{"origin":692083,"position":1},"title":"PMI is flat month on month, with private sector still in contraction territory","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"5 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracted at the same pace in September as it did in August, according to S&P Global\u2019s latest purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf). The PMI index was flat month-on-month at 47.6, remaining below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction for the twenty-second consecutive month.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/10\/136.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":576986,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/11\/06\/private-sector-activity-contracts-for-23rd-consecutive-month\/","url_meta":{"origin":692083,"position":2},"title":"Private sector activity contracts for 23rd consecutive month","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 November 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector continued to contract in October, remaining effectively unchanged from the month before as inflation, supply disruptions, and falling demand abroad continued to weigh on businesses, according to S&P Global\u2019s purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf). The PMI index registered 47.7 last month, climbing just 0.1 points\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/11\/87.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":664809,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/05\/07\/non-oil-private-sector-activity-slips-further-into-the-red-in-april\/","url_meta":{"origin":692083,"position":3},"title":"Non-oil private sector activity slips further into the red in April","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 May 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The headline figure fell 0.7 percentage points to 48.5 in April","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/5\/1740.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":545629,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/06\/inflation-hits-private-sector-activity-in-march\/","url_meta":{"origin":692083,"position":4},"title":"Inflation hits private sector activity in March","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 April 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector saw its sharpest decline in 21 months in March as the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war and the devaluation of the EGP hit output and new orders, according to S&P Global\u2019s purchasing managers\u2019 index (PMI) survey (pdf). Rising inflation and slowing demand caused activity\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/4\/136.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":671361,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/07\/non-oil-private-sector-activity-contracts-further-in-august-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":692083,"position":5},"title":"Non-oil private sector activity contracts further in August","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 September 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Despite the decline in output and new orders, the new export sub-index increased !_Data-PMI_!","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/5\/357.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=692083"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692083\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":692124,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692083\/revisions\/692124"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/692078"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/692084"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=692083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=692083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=692083"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=692083"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=692083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}