{"id":685161,"date":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/02\/10\/allianz-trade-upgrades-country-risk-citing-the-end-of-the-liquidity-crisis-despite-ongoing-business-as-usual-risks\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T00:00:00","slug":"allianz-trade-upgrades-country-risk-citing-the-end-of-the-liquidity-crisis-despite-ongoing-business-as-usual-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/02\/10\/allianz-trade-upgrades-country-risk-citing-the-end-of-the-liquidity-crisis-despite-ongoing-business-as-usual-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Allianz Trade upgrades country risk, citing the end of the liquidity crisis despite ongoing business-as-usual risks"},"content":{"rendered":"

Allianz Trade upgraded Egypt\u2019s short-term country risk rating to D3 in its <\/strong>2025 Country Risk Atlas (pdf)<\/a><\/strong>, reversing a downgrade to D4 in the previous year\u2019s report (pdf)<\/a> triggered by 2024\u2019s liquidity crunch. The move signals a \u201cpartial recovery in financing conditions\u201d and reflects a significant stabilization in the trade credit ins. company\u2019s measure of the immediate risk of non-payment in trade receivables.<\/p>\n

SOUND SMART- <\/strong>The D component \u2014 which stayed put \u2014 represents the medium-term risk rating that evaluates the structural health of an economy over the next several years, with the lowest risk at AA and the highest at D. The numerical part is the country\u2019s short-term risk rating, which looks at immediate threats that could cause a financial crisis or payment defaults in 6-12 months, rated from 1 as the lowest to 4 as the highest. Egypt scored a 3 for \u201csensitive.\u201d<\/p>\n

Why it matters: <\/strong>A more favorable D3 rating should persuade some global trade credit insurers to loosen limits on shipments to Egypt that were frozen during pre-float USD shortages. Despite the upgrade, Egypt is still marked as D in the country grade \u2014 the highest possible medium-term risk level. The new rating doesn\u2019t compare favorably to our regional peers, with the UAE holding an AA1 rating, KSA an A2 rating, and Morocco a B1 rating.<\/p>\n

S<\/strong>ocial and political unrest are primary concerns for investors, outweighing economic <\/strong>growth prospects<\/strong>, as \u201crisks come before profitability,\u201d former Industrial Development Bank chair Maged Fahmy tells EnterpriseAM. The outlined risks in the report \u201cconstitute the largest part of any investor's decision, and I'm talking here about direct and indirect investments such as hot money,\u201d Fahmy added.<\/p>\n

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A more favorable D3 rating should persuade some global trade credit insurers to loosen limits on shipments to Egypt that were frozen during the pre-float USD shortages<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":685162,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,72,2234,181,132],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-685161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-foreign-exchange","tag-insurance","tag-trade","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"67d578a0-6884-4164-ac4c-69af82c247e4","order":"7","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/2\/631.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"The liquidity crisis is over, but business-as-usual risks remain high","related_issue":[685149],"teaser":"A more favorable D3 rating should persuade some global trade credit insurers to loosen limits on shipments to Egypt that were frozen during the pre-float USD shortages"},"yoast_head":"\nAllianz Trade upgrades country risk, citing the end of the liquidity crisis despite ongoing business-as-usual risks - 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The catch: Our sovereign debt remains at risk of a downgrade if\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/327.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564343,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/25\/credit-suisse-singing-our-praises-but-warns-of-a-fourth-wave\/","url_meta":{"origin":685161,"position":1},"title":"Credit Suisse singing our praises, but warns of a fourth wave","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"25 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Credit Suisse seems optimistic about our post-covid recovery, as the economy shows signs of real growth, t-bills remaining attractive and muted risks from the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) conflict, Fahd Iqbal, Credit Suisse\u2019s head of private bank Middle East research, told Bloomberg\u2019s Middle East: Daybreak show this morning (watch,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/8\/524.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":649159,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/04\/24\/euler-hermes-upgrades-egypts-risk-rating-forecasts-zero-growth-this-year\/","url_meta":{"origin":685161,"position":2},"title":"Euler Hermes upgrades Egypt\u2019s risk rating, forecasts zero growth this year","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 April 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Euler Hermes upgrades Egypt\u2019s risk rating, forecasts zero growth this year: Euler Hermes has upgraded Egypt\u2019s risk rating (pdf) to D3 from D4 in its 1Q2017, but expects the economy to record zero growth this year (pdf). Inflation will skyrocket to 26% in 2017, and social discontent will prove to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":581328,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/08\/moodys-downgrades-egypts-credit-rating-for-first-time-since-2013\/","url_meta":{"origin":685161,"position":3},"title":"Moody\u2019s downgrades Egypt\u2019s credit rating for first time since 2013","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Due to reduced external buffers and shock absorption capacity","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/EGP-1600.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":546769,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/29\/moodys-egypt-outlook-turns-negative-on-rising-downside-risks\/","url_meta":{"origin":685161,"position":4},"title":"Moody\u2019s Egypt outlook turns negative on \u201crising downside risks\u201d","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Moody\u2019s has cut its outlook on Egypt\u2019s credit rating to negative as tightening financing conditions puts pressure on the country\u2019s ability to make external debt repayments, it said on Thursday. The ratings agency maintained Egypt\u2019s B2 rating but warned that a further drop in foreign reserves could force it to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":561793,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/21\/egypts-economy-to-grow-3-1-this-fiscal-year-says-bnp-paribas\/","url_meta":{"origin":685161,"position":5},"title":"Egypt\u2019s economy to grow 3.1% this fiscal year, says BNP Paribas","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 April 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s economy is expected to grow at a 3.1% clip in the government\u2019s current 2020-2021 fiscal year, down from 3.8% in the previous fiscal year, on the back of declining tourism revenues at the outset of the pandemic, BNP Paribas said in a recent economic research report (pdf). Fiscal support\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/4\/213.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/685161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=685161"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/685161\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/685149"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/685162"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=685161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=685161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=685161"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=685161"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=685161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}