{"id":682249,"date":"2026-01-06T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/?p=682249"},"modified":"2026-01-20T13:37:02","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T13:37:02","slug":"standard-chartered-bullish-on-egp-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/01\/06\/standard-chartered-bullish-on-egp-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Standard Chartered bullish on EGP + growth"},"content":{"rendered":"

Egypt enters 2026 on a solid macroeconomic footing<\/strong>, driven by expected growth in FX inflows, cooling inflation, and \u201ctangible progress\u201d on its ongoing reform program, Standard Chartered said in a note to clients.<\/p>\n

The bank now sees the EGP strengthening<\/strong>, revising its exchange rate forecast to EGP 47.50 to the greenback by the end of 1Q 2026, compared to its previous forecast of EGP 49.00. Standard Chartered expects the exchange rate to weaken by the end of the year to EGP 49.00 \/ USD against its previous projection of EGP 51.<\/p>\n

This is hardly a fluke: <\/strong>The currency\u2019s expected strengthening is backed by long-term GCC investments and the continued momentum of the government\u2019s privatization program. Egypt has recently received the the USD 3.5 bn<\/a> cash portion of the Alam El Roum development agreement from Qatari Diar. The government has reportedly set a target to raise USD 3-4 bn by October 2026 through privatization, with expected transactions including Banque du Caire, Safi, Wataniya, and the remaining stake in Bank of Alexandria. The Gabal El Zeit wind farm is also reportedly on the auction block. EGX head Islam Azzam said the EGX expects at least eight new offerings in 2026<\/a>, including players in the healthcare and tourism sectors.<\/p>\n

The expected disbursement of a USD 2.5 bn IMF tranche in early 2026 will also bolster FX <\/strong>reserves<\/strong> and provide further momentum for the reform program, Standard Chartered said.<\/p>\n

\n

Easing inflation + rising GDP growth <\/p>\n

The bank expects inflation to hit 11% by the end of 1H 2026<\/strong>, driven by lower commodity prices and improved local supply conditions. This cooldown will grant the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) the necessary room to begin cutting interest rates, thereby slashing financing costs for businesses. Inflation, which was nearly halved<\/a> to a record 12.3% at the end of last November compared to January\u2019s reading, gave the CBE room to implement broader rate cuts totaling 725 bps throughout 2025.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, real GDP growth is expected to accelerate to 4.5% in the current fiscal year<\/strong>, fueled by manufacturing, trade, and hydrocarbons. The bank links the anticipated economic recovery this year to the normalization of Suez Canal revenues and supply chains \u2014 a variable that remains contingent on a de-escalation of regional geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n

\n

What to look for<\/p>\n

Stability is the name of the game:<\/strong> The focus for Egypt in the year ahead is on \u201crestoring predictability\u201d \u2014 the most valuable currency for investors seeking long-term business sustainability, CEO and Head of Coverage of Standard Chartered Egypt Mohamed Gad said. \u201cWith inflation easing and external balances strengthening, we expect confidence to build further across the private sector, unlocking new opportunities for growth and long-term investment,\u201d Gad said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The bank now expects the USD\/EGP to reach 47.5 by the end of 1Q 2026 and EGP 49 by year-end<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":682250,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,72,348,492],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-682249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-gdp","tag-standard-chartered","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"64c82b25-2949-436a-bf4c-280587d35329","order":"9","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2026\/1\/152.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Standard Chartered bullish on EGP for 2026 as FX inflows, cooling inflation signal pivot to growth","related_issue":[682236],"teaser":"The bank now expects the USD\/EGP to reach 47.5 by the end of 1Q 2026 and EGP 49 by year-end"},"yoast_head":"\nStandard Chartered bullish on EGP + growth - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/01\/06\/standard-chartered-bullish-on-egp-growth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Standard Chartered bullish on EGP + growth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The bank now expects the USD\/EGP to reach 47.5 by the end of 1Q 2026 and EGP 49 by year-end\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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CBE to hold rates this week, forecasting a 200-bps cut in May as it warns of MENA spillovers from Trump\u2019s trade war.","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/859.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":617108,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/03\/17\/new-forecasts-from-standard-chartered-goldman-sachs-and-fitch\/","url_meta":{"origin":682249,"position":1},"title":"New forecasts from Standard Chartered, Goldman Sachs, and Fitch","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 March 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The fresh forecasts came one week after the central bank moved forward with highly-anticipated reforms","rel":"","context":"In 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