{"id":679963,"date":"2026-01-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/?p=679963"},"modified":"2026-01-05T08:49:33","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T08:49:33","slug":"oil-markets-unshaken-by-maduro-overthrow-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/01\/05\/oil-markets-unshaken-by-maduro-overthrow-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil markets unshaken by Maduro overthrow"},"content":{"rendered":"

Global oil markets yawned at the US\u2019 attack on Venezuela, with prices remaining more or <\/strong>less stable<\/strong> as markets had already priced in \u201ca conflict with Venezuela that would impact exports,\u201d CNBC<\/a> says. While a military intervention like the US\u2019 would traditionally trigger a spike in crude prices, Brent fell as much as 1.2% in intraday trading before paring back losses and is now up less than 1%, according to Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Venezuela may have vast oil reserves, but its actual production has been falling over the<\/strong> past several years<\/strong>, and the majority of the country\u2019s output is exported to China. The International Energy Agency (IEA) is already forecasting<\/a> a 3.8 mn bbl \/ d surplus for 2026. With Venezuela currently producing just 500k bbl \/ d (1% of global output), there isn't enough \u201clive\u201d production to lose to cause a price shock.<\/p>\n

A USD 100 bn (very) long play:<\/strong> A US-led, USD 100 bn plan to revive Venezuela\u2019s oil infrastructure is expected to eventually ramp up the country\u2019s oil production again, but analysts are wary that this will be a \u201cyears-long\u201d process, Bloomberg<\/a> says. The plan hinges on US oil majors, including Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips to invest some USD 10 bn per year \u2014 a roadmap that the White House seemingly has not yet discussed with these private sector players, and one which would hinge on the companies seeing more stability in Venezuela before pouring in more money. It also remains unclear whether markets will actually want the additional oil output that would result from bringing Venezuela\u2019s production back up to historical levels, analysts tell CNBC. <\/p>\n

Meanwhile, traders are flocking to haven assets:<\/strong> Gold and silver prices surged as haven demand following the news of the US\u2019 capture of Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro. Gold prices rose sharply \u2014 rising above the USD 4,400 mark for the first time in history \u2014 as investors scrambled for geopolitical hedges, a move mirrored across silver markets. <\/p>\n

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Markets are starting off the new year in the green<\/strong>, with defense stocks pushing up Asia-Pacific markets in early trading. Japan\u2019s Nikkei, South Korea\u2019s Kospi, Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng Index, and mainland China\u2019s CSI 300 are all firmly trading up. Wall Street is likely to follow suit when trading begins later today \u2014 futures indicate the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are set to open in the green, while Dow Jones futures are trading flat. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

40,898<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.2% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.53<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.66<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.56<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.66<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

20.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,364<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.8% (YTD: -1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,995<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: 0.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,114<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +1.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,858<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +0.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,951<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +0.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,850<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +1.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 61.02<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,406<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 91,725<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +4.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

994.42<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.69<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -0.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14.51<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.9% (YTD: -2.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 2.2% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 4.6 bn (15.5% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is down 2.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Egypt Aluminum (+7.4%), Misr Cement (+6.4%), and Raya Holding (+4.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Orascom Development (-5.3%), E-finance (-4.5%), and Fawry (-3.8%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Venezuela\u2019s oil production accounts for only 1% of global output<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":679964,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-679963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"9a5c7d78-08b1-42a4-88b9-8af54290404a","order":"11","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/6\/766.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Oil 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