{"id":678960,"date":"2025-12-28T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-28T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/?p=678960"},"modified":"2025-12-28T04:05:07","modified_gmt":"2025-12-28T04:05:07","slug":"central-bank-sets-up-2026-nicely-with-100-bps-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/28\/central-bank-sets-up-2026-nicely-with-100-bps-rate-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"Central bank sets up 2026 nicely with 100 bps rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong> The Central Bank of Egypt signaled on Thursday that it has fully pivoted to growth <\/strong><strong>stimulation<\/strong>, closing out 2025 with a 100 bps interest rate cut at its final Monetary Policy Committee meeting of the year. <strong>The move brings total easing for 2025 to 725 bps<\/strong>, further ending the ultra-restrictive cycle that defined the Egyptian economy since the March 2024 currency float before rate easing began.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>By the numbers: <\/strong>The committee set the overnight deposit rate at 20.00%, the overnight lending rate at 21.0%, and the main operation and disc. rates at 20.50%, according to a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbe.org.eg\/en\/news-publications\/news\/2025\/12\/25\/15\/51\/mpc-press-release-25-december-2025\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">statement<\/a>. <strong>Interest rates now stand at their lowest level since January 2024. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Why this matters<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>It\u2019s <\/strong><strong>another all-clear signal for the business community.<\/strong> Corporate borrowing for any purpose other than short-term opex spending has been effectively frozen for nearly two years with interest rates hovering near 30%. The central bank made clear it is pushing ahead with a careful easing cycle \u2014 giving most of us hope that <strong>interest rates could hit a level by late next year that spurs companies to once again start borrowing<\/strong> to fund capital expenditures.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">The easing cycle is just getting underway<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>725 bps sounds like a lot, but we\u2019re just at the \u201cbeginning or middle\u201d of a longer journey<\/strong>, Al Ahly Pharos\u2019 Hany Genana tells EnterpriseAM. Despite successive cuts, rates remain 1.25% above their pre-EGP float level in March of last year. \u201cWhat was done in a single day in 2024 took an entire year to unwind,\u201d Genena said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Even after this cut, real interest rates in Egypt are still among the highest in the <\/strong><strong>world<\/strong>, Genena said. Current real interest rates are between 8-9%, which is historically high for Egypt and \u201cnot the norm globally or in stable economies,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The year ahead should see the central bank putting its rate-cutting cycle up a gear<\/strong>, with Genena forecasting another 800 bps worth of cuts in 2026. This would bring real interest rates to 1-2%, \u201cbalancing growth and price stability,\u201d Genena said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Eating away at rates will also eat away at the country\u2019s debt servicing burden<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The move is a significant W for the Finance Ministry.<\/strong> The cut is a \u201cgift\u201d to the treasury, with interest payments recently consuming over 100% of total government revenues in the first four months of the fiscal year, EG Bank Board Member Mohamed Abdel Aal tells us. Every 100 bps drop in rates saves the Finance Ministry some EGP 70-80 mn in annual debt-servicing costs, which can then be shifted toward social spending or other priorities.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">Looking ahead<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The question for 2026 is no longer if the CBE will cut, but how fast.<\/strong> If the central bank is to hit its ambitious inflation target of 7% (\u00b12%) by 4Q 2026, it will have to strike a delicate balance between tackling inflation and bringing rates down. The central bank has yet to release its MPC meeting calendar for 2026. Its first meeting of the year has happened in February in each of the past five years, although it historically also held meetings in the second half of January.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>725 bps sounds like a lot, but we\u2019re just at the \u201cbeginning or middle\u201d of a longer journey, Al Ahly Pharos\u2019 Hany Genana tells EnterpriseAM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":678961,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7335],"tags":[271,104,72,182,349,724,12389],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-678960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-big-story-today","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-the-big-story-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"fb49a134-0c68-4ce6-b674-414ef000375b","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/828.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Central Bank of Egypt closes out 2025 with rate cut pivot to boost growth","related_issue":[678956],"teaser":"725 bps sounds like a lot, but we\u2019re just at the \u201cbeginning or middle\u201d of a longer journey, Al Ahly Pharos\u2019 Hany Genana tells EnterpriseAM"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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The central bank cited last month\u2019s \u201crelatively tame\u201d inflation figures, declining unemployment rates, and increasing GDP\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/8\/2941.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567288,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/01\/19\/against-analyst-expectations-central-bank-of-egypt-keeps-rates-on-hold\/","url_meta":{"origin":678960,"position":1},"title":"Against analyst expectations, Central Bank of Egypt keeps rates on hold","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 January 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE leaves rates on hold: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates unchanged when it met on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank cited domestic factors such as inflation accelerating in December on the back of the dissipating favorable base\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/632.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594183,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/22\/fitch-forecasts-50-bps-rate-cut-in-november-mpc-meeting\/","url_meta":{"origin":678960,"position":2},"title":"Fitch forecasts 50 bps rate cut in November MPC meeting","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Solutions expects the CBE to cut interest rates by 0.5% before the end of the year, and 1.5% in 2020, Masrawy said, citing a report. The data vendor arm of the ratings agency said that easing inflation and the two consecutive rate cuts in the US will encourage the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592825,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":678960,"position":3},"title":"CBE to make third consecutive rate cut next week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists predict CBE will make third consecutive rate cut next Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-100 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets a week from today, according to five of six economists polled by Enterprise. The economists cited the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595490,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/29\/central-bank-of-egypt-cuts-rates-by-100-bps-in-line-with-expectations\/","url_meta":{"origin":678960,"position":4},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt cuts rates by 100 bps, in line with expectations","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"In line with expectations, CBE cuts rates: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut interest rates by 100 bps on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank cited last month\u2019s inflation figures, which hit a six-year low, as well as declining unemployment and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":671030,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/08\/31\/cbe-resumes-its-easing-cycle-with-200-bps-cut\/","url_meta":{"origin":678960,"position":5},"title":"CBE resumes its easing cycle with 200 bps cut","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 August 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Rates are now down a whole 525 bps since the bank began its easing cycle in April","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/178.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=678960"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678960\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":679003,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678960\/revisions\/679003"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/678956"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/678961"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=678960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=678960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=678960"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=678960"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=678960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}