{"id":677739,"date":"2025-12-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/23\/gold-hits-a-fresh-high-as-analysts-pencil-in-up-to-usd-5k-an-ounce-next-year\/"},"modified":"2025-12-23T04:15:06","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T04:15:06","slug":"gold-hits-a-fresh-high-as-analysts-pencil-in-up-to-usd-5k-an-ounce-next-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/23\/gold-hits-a-fresh-high-as-analysts-pencil-in-up-to-usd-5k-an-ounce-next-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold hits a fresh high as analysts pencil-in up to USD 5k an ounce next year"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gold hit a fresh record yesterday<\/strong>, climbing 2.4% to around USD 4.5k per ounce as the recent escalation of the US blockade on Venezuelan oil drove the rush to so-called \u201csafe haven\u201d assets. Silver also touched a new high, rising 3.4% to around USD 69.44 an ounce. <\/p>\n

It has been a breakout year for gold: <\/strong>Gold is up about 68% YTD \u2014 its strongest annual performance since the late 1970s \u2014 driven by trade tensions, US fiscal anxiety, and growing doubts over central-bank independence, the Financial Times<\/a> writes. Investors are increasingly turning to gold, not equities, as their hedge of choice.<\/p>\n

Central banks are doing much of the heavy lifting: <\/strong>JPMorgan estimates<\/a> gold demand from investors and official buyers surged to around 980 tonnes in 3Q, more than 50% above recent norms, with purchases expected to remain elevated into 2026.<\/p>\n

What the pundits are saying:<\/strong> JPMorgan expects prices to break USD 5k by late 2026, while Goldman Sachs is close behind, penciling in a price of USD 4.9k by December 2026, citing Fed easing and structurally strong demand, Reuters<\/a> and IDNFinancials<\/a> report. Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, expects it to peak at USD 4.5k by mid-2026.<\/p>\n

Positioning suggests the trade isn\u2019t crowded \u2014 yet: <\/strong>JPMorgan estimates gold accounts for about 2.8% of global investor portfolios, up from 1.5% pre-2022 but still below levels seen in prior commodity supercycles, leaving room for allocations to rise toward 4-5%.<\/p>\n

Still, warning lights are flashing: <\/strong>The BIS recently flagged<\/a> \u201cbubble-like\u201d conditions in both gold and US equities \u2014 a rare overlap \u2014 cautioning that rapid price gains and retail inflows could leave bullion vulnerable to sharp pullbacks.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are in the green this morning<\/strong>, tracking gains on Wall Street. Leading gains are South Korea\u2019s Kospi, up 0.6%, and the small-cap Kosdaq, while Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng was up almost 0.3%, as China\u2019s CSI 300 and Japan\u2019s Nikkei are up marginally. Over on Wall Street<\/strong>, futures are near the flatline following yesterday\u2019s gains. <\/p>\n

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,416.53<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +43.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.54<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.42<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,552<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -12.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,036<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +6.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,158<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +19.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,879<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +17.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,866<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +20.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,744<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +17.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 62.07<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 57.89<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,486.40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 88,553.8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -5.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

981.82<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +26.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.80<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14.08<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-5.6% (YTD: -19.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.6% at <\/strong>yesterday\u2019s<\/strong> close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 6.1 bn (13.3% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 38.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Misr Cement (+4.6%), Mopco (+3.5%), and Abu Qir Fertilizers (+3.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Arabian Cement (-3.5%), CIB (-2.4%), and Telecom Egypt (-1.9%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Wall Street forecasts point to gold climbing toward USD 5k by 2026, with no major bank calling a near-term peak<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":677740,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,7093,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-677739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-gold","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"8f3c01fa-6d02-46f3-aff4-4ed8ffc0cf80","order":"10","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/12\/1102.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Gold hits fresh records as central bank buying and rate-cut wagers fuel the rally","related_issue":[677723],"teaser":"Wall Street forecasts point to gold climbing toward USD 5k by 2026, with no major bank calling a near-term peak"},"yoast_head":"\nGold hits a fresh high as analysts pencil-in up to USD 5k an ounce next year - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/23\/gold-hits-a-fresh-high-as-analysts-pencil-in-up-to-usd-5k-an-ounce-next-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold hits a fresh high as analysts pencil-in up to USD 5k an ounce next year\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Wall Street forecasts point to gold climbing toward USD 5k by 2026, with no major bank calling a 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