{"id":676699,"date":"2025-12-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/04\/non-oil-private-sector-activity-sees-fastest-growth-in-five-years\/"},"modified":"2025-12-04T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T00:00:00","slug":"non-oil-private-sector-activity-sees-fastest-growth-in-five-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/04\/non-oil-private-sector-activity-sees-fastest-growth-in-five-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Non-oil private sector activity sees fastest growth in five years"},"content":{"rendered":"

Non-oil private sector activity jumped back into the green in November<\/strong>, breaking a nine-month stretch in contraction territory, according to S&P Global\u2019s latest Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report (pdf)<\/a>. Pushing the headline figure up into the green for only the third time since November 2020 was an uptick in new orders and output amid easing cost pressures.<\/p>\n

Activity recorded its quickest growth in five years<\/strong>, increasing 1.9 points from the month before<\/a> to 51.1, sitting comfortably above the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The uptick in activity was seen across every sector covered by the survey, bar one. <\/strong>While the manufacturing, construction, and services sectors all reported an increase in activity, wholesale and retail stood out as the only sectors to see activity decrease over the month. <\/p>\n

This bodes well for a \u201cstrong end to 2025<\/strong>,\u201d said S&P Global Senior Economist David Owen. Based on historical correlations, this should translate into GDP growth of 5% y-o-y in the last quarter of the year, he added.<\/p>\n

Both output and new orders saw their strongest upturns in five years <\/strong>and output recorded the first increase since January. Meanwhile, new business ended eight months of contraction, enhanced by softening cost pressures.<\/p>\n

Exchange rate is a key driver of this rebound:<\/strong> \u201cThe improved picture in the non-oil economy was linked to strengthening demand conditions and reduced pressure on business costs as stronger exchange rates helped importers,\u201d Owen wrote.<\/p>\n

Cost inflation hit an eight-month low in November<\/strong>, with businesses attributing the dip to a strengthening EGP against the USD, which decreased import costs. Meanwhile, firms noted a continuous rise in wages. Selling prices saw a marginal increase, marking the slowest pace recorded in seven months.<\/p>\n

Despite the sharp uptick in activity and demand, employment remained broadly <\/strong>unchanged in November<\/strong>, extending a subdued trend seen in recent months. <\/p>\n

Business sentiment:<\/strong> Non-oil private firms remain optimistic about future activity, citing stronger demand as a key factor behind their outlook. \u201cOutput expansion and higher demand boosted businesses' optimism, yet we think firms prefer to remain cautious given their reluctance to increase employment or accelerate their purchases of inputs,\u201d Thndr Securities\u2019 Esraa Ahmed told us.<\/p>\n

Cautious optimism is required:<\/strong> \u201cI hope that we can maintain this trend for three consecutive readings so that we can build a projection or outlook [for Egypt\u2019s non-oil sector] based on it,\u201d Economics Professor Medhat Nafei told us. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Activity now sits comfortably above the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":676700,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,72,185,1653],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-676699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-pmi","tag-sp","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"5bcf90ac-b23b-4bf0-b466-3f494dbcf264","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/1034.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector activity sees fastest growth in five years","related_issue":[676694],"teaser":"Activity now sits comfortably above the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/12\/.a9ff8bc5-65bd-429a-9c30-ce6aa6695009.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nNon-oil private sector activity sees fastest growth in five years - 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The PMI index registered 47.7 last month, climbing just 0.1 points\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/11\/87.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":549909,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/05\/pmi-is-flat-month-on-month-with-private-sector-still-in-contraction-territory\/","url_meta":{"origin":676699,"position":1},"title":"PMI is flat month on month, with private sector still in contraction territory","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"5 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Activity in Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracted at the same pace in September as it did in August, according to S&P Global\u2019s latest purchasing managers\u2019 index (pdf). The PMI index was flat month-on-month at 47.6, remaining below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction for the twenty-second consecutive month.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/10\/136.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":589633,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/07\/06\/the-pmi-was-in-contraction-territory-again-in-june\/","url_meta":{"origin":676699,"position":2},"title":"The PMI was in contraction territory again in June","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 July 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The PMI rose to 49.1 from 47.8 in May","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/7\/129.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":581069,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/06\/egp-devaluation-pushes-private-sector-into-sharper-decline-in-january\/","url_meta":{"origin":676699,"position":3},"title":"EGP devaluation pushes private sector into sharper decline in January","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector contracts for the 26th consecutive month.","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/140.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559805,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/04\/private-sector-sentiment-still-in-contraction-territory\/","url_meta":{"origin":676699,"position":4},"title":"Private sector sentiment still in \u201ccontraction\u201d territory","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 February 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Non-oil private sector activity in Egypt continued to contract in January, albeit at a slower pace as falls in output and orders tempered, according to IHS Markit purchasing managers\u2019 index (PMI) figures (pdf). 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