{"id":676558,"date":"2025-12-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/02\/budget-deficit-widens-to-3-2-of-gdp-in-first-four-months-of-fy-2025-26\/"},"modified":"2025-12-02T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T00:00:00","slug":"budget-deficit-widens-to-3-2-of-gdp-in-first-four-months-of-fy-2025-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/02\/budget-deficit-widens-to-3-2-of-gdp-in-first-four-months-of-fy-2025-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Budget deficit widens to 3.2% of GDP in first four months of FY 2025-26"},"content":{"rendered":"

The country\u2019s budget deficit widened to 3.2% of GDP during the first four months <\/strong>of<\/strong> the current fiscal year<\/strong>, up from 2.6% during the same period last fiscal year, according to a Finance Ministry report seen by EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The primary surplus surges: <\/strong>The primary surplus \u2014 which excludes interest payments \u2014 jumped over 81% y-o-y to record EGP 236.8 bn, equivalent to 1.1% of GDP. The ministry attributed the uptick to greater tax revenues alongside greater fiscal discipline.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>The FY 2025-26 budget<\/a> pencils in a 4.0% primary surplus, up from 3.5% last fiscal year. The budget also sees the overall deficit narrowing to 7.3% of GDP, from last year\u2019s 7.6%, before falling further to 5.5% in FY 2026-2027.<\/p>\n

However, some are a little more optimistic:<\/strong> Fitch Solutions\u2019 research unit BMI<\/a> expects the budget deficit to shrink to 6.6% of GDP during this fiscal year, and to 6.1% of GDP in the following fiscal year. The World Bank<\/a> sees the deficit reaching 6.7% in the current fiscal year, while BNP Paribas<\/a> expects the deficit to reach 6.0% of GDP in FY 2026-27.<\/p>\n

Total revenues rose to EGP 863.9 bn during the four-month period<\/strong>, marking a 33.3% y-o-y increase, supported by a 35% y-o-y increase in tax revenues, which came in at EGP 756.7 bn, amid improved relations with the business community and economic activity recovery, according to the report. The state budget penciled in a 23% y-o-y jump in public revenues to EGP 3.1 tn.<\/p>\n

In contrast, spending increased 37.3% y-o-y to EGP 1.5 tn during the four-month period<\/strong>, with interest payments accounting for the lion\u2019s share, coming in at EGP 899 bn. The Finance Ministry seeks to distribute the burden of interest payments over the entire fiscal year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The primary surplus rose to EGP 236.8 bn during the period<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":676559,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[279,104,72,276],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-676558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-budget-watch","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-finance-ministry","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"dfa6f65c-a9b0-4c76-94a5-bdaa3cf4aa38","order":"5","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/6\/1751.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Egypt\u2019s budget deficit widens to 3.2% of GDP in first four months of FY 2025-26","related_issue":[676550],"teaser":"The primary surplus rose to EGP 236.8 bn during the period","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/12\/.2b09e094-6a34-4e69-bbfe-2ef1d62f9bbd.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nBudget deficit widens to 3.2% of GDP in first four months of FY 2025-26 - 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The surplus came on the back of an increase in tax revenues, which rose 16% y-o-y, the minister said.The surplus is down on an annual basis, but it\u2019s still\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/1\/248.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":602001,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/03\/17\/egypt-records-budget-surplus-0-5-of-gdp-in-7m2018-19\/","url_meta":{"origin":676558,"position":2},"title":"Egypt records budget surplus 0.5% of GDP in 7M2018-19","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 March 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Primary budget surplus of 0.5% of GDP in 7M2018-19: Egypt recorded a primary budget surplus of EGP 24 bn (or 0.5% of GDP) during 7M2018-19, compared to a deficit of EGP 13 bn a year earlier, the Finance Ministry said in its February monthly bulletin. 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