{"id":676497,"date":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/01\/institutional-investors-are-doubling-down-on-gold-and-central-banks-are-keeping-the-rally-alive\/"},"modified":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T00:00:00","slug":"institutional-investors-are-doubling-down-on-gold-and-central-banks-are-keeping-the-rally-alive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/01\/institutional-investors-are-doubling-down-on-gold-and-central-banks-are-keeping-the-rally-alive\/","title":{"rendered":"Institutional investors are doubling down on gold \u2014 and central banks are keeping the rally alive"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gold is back in the spotlight as institutional investors turn increasingly <\/strong>bullish on the precious metal, driven by a rare alignment of macro forces <\/strong>\u2014 Fed rate-cut expectations, record central-bank accumulation, and deepening uncertainty across risk assets, according to a new Goldman Sachs poll conducted on its Marquee platform. Nearly 70% of respondents in the poll \u2014 which surveyed more than 900 institutional clients \u2014 expect gold prices to rise further by the end of 2026, with 36% betting on prices above USD 5k per ounce next year.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

Respondents identified central-bank purchases and fiscal concerns as the two biggest <\/strong>drivers of gold\u2019s 2026 outlook.<\/strong> The most common view: official-sector buying will keep gold supported even if US growth slows. In parallel, Goldman\u2019s co-head of global commodities research, Daan Struyven, told Bloomberg TV last week that the bank sees \u201cnearly 20% additional upside by the end of 2026,\u201d forecasting USD 4.9k per ounce by next year (watch, runtime: 2:10<\/a>). The key drivers, he said, are \u201cstructurally higher central bank purchases\u201d since 2022 and renewed \u201cinflows into gold ETFs once the Fed begins cutting rates.\u201d<\/p>\n

That doesn't seem to be just a speculative trade, as the surge in the precious metal <\/strong>prices is being underpinned by record official sector demand. <\/strong>The World Gold Council\u2019s (WGC) Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey 2025<\/a> shows the biggest official-sector buying spree in more than 70 years. Central banks bought 1.1k tons of gold in 2022 \u2014 the most since the WGC began tracking reserves in 1950 \u2014 and stayed above 1k tons in 2023. The momentum has continued, with around 450-500 tons of central lenders\u2019 gold purchases in the first half of 2024 alone.<\/p>\n

The shift is structural, not cyclical. <\/strong>Some 81% of central banks now expect global gold reserves to rise further, while nearly one-third expect the USD\u2019s reserve share to decline. The motivations are consistent \u2014 store-of-value appeal, crisis resilience, and de-dollarization \u2014 with China, India, Turkey, Singapore, and Poland among the most active buyers.<\/p>\n

Rate-cut expectations are adding fuel to the rally<\/strong>, with traders now seeing an 86.4% chance of a Fed cut in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool<\/a>. That matters because lower US rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold \u2014 a non-yielding asset \u2014 and typically pull new buyers into ETFs.<\/p>\n

Spot prices are already responding<\/strong>, with gold hitting a two-week high of USD 4.2k on Friday and is on track for a 3.6% weekly gain and a 5.2% rise this month. Futures also climbed, with the February contract settling at USD 4.2k per ounce.<\/p>\n

High prices have slowed physical buying in India and China<\/strong>, where demand is typically strongest heading into year-end. But analysts say macro drivers \u2014 rate expectations, central bank flows, geopolitical hedging \u2014 matter far more right now. As long as the Fed is moving toward an easing cycle and sovereign buyers stay active, institutional investors expect the gold rally to extend into next year.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed in early trading this morning <\/strong>\u2014 Japan\u2019s Nikkei and the Kospi are both down, while the Shanghai Composite and the Hang Seng are in the green. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

40,753<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8% (YTD: +37.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.51<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.55<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,591<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: -12.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,747<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +3.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,837<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +13.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,849<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +16.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,721<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +18.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,668<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +15.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 63.03<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4.82<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,267<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 88,564 <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.7% (YTD: -5.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

972.47<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +25.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

152.33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +8.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.35<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-5.0% (YTD: -5.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 1.8% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 6.9 bn (38.5% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 37.0% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Qalaa Holdings (+14.6%), TMG Holding (+6.2%), and ADIB (+5.8%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Misr Cement (-2.0%), Orascom Construction (-0.6%), and GB Corp (-0.5%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new Goldman Sachs survey shows nearly 70% of institutional investors expect gold prices to keep rising through 2026 \u2014 with more than a third betting on USD 5k per ounce<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":676498,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,7093,260,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-676497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-gold","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b2804206-a305-4e39-bcad-ba1cbe4ce718","order":"11","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/12\/2.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Gold 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