{"id":675461,"date":"2025-11-13T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/11\/13\/emerging-market-disinflation-momentum-outpaces-developed-nations-boosting-local-bonds\/"},"modified":"2025-11-13T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T00:00:00","slug":"emerging-market-disinflation-momentum-outpaces-developed-nations-boosting-local-bonds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/11\/13\/emerging-market-disinflation-momentum-outpaces-developed-nations-boosting-local-bonds\/","title":{"rendered":"Emerging market disinflation momentum outpaces developed nations, boosting local bonds"},"content":{"rendered":"

A reversal in <\/strong>global inflation trends is pushing investors to look toward <\/strong>emerging market bonds for better returns<\/strong>, and many \u2014 including Ninety One and Morgan Stanley Investment Management \u2014 see plenty of road ahead for the rally to continue, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. <\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

For the first time in 35 years \u2014 bar a small Covid-era blip \u2014 prices grew slower in <\/strong>emerging nations than<\/strong> their developed counterparts for two straight quarters<\/strong>, according to indexes tracked by the business news service\u2019s mighty terminal. During 3Q, inflation in EMs averaged 2.5%, while developed nations saw prices rise at an average of 3.3%<\/p>\n

Lower EM inflation has cranked up forecasts of interest rate cuts<\/strong>, with the list of emerging nations deciding to begin cutting rates growing and their central banks cutting at a faster speed than the US. But there\u2019s still plenty of wiggle room, according to Ninety One Emerging Market Sovereign and FX Co-Head Grant Webster, who estimates that real policy rates in EMs are their highest in 20+ years.<\/p>\n

In turn, this has helped push the average returns on EM local bonds in some countries <\/strong>like Egypt to over 20%. <\/strong>The average across all EMs comes out at around 7%, which is a decent peg above US Treasuries for the year so far. Good news for EM local bonds is also good news for EM currencies, with many strengthening against the greenback following investor appetite for their debt.<\/p>\n

EM disinflation outpacing developed nations is also helping increase interest in assets<\/strong> outside of Wall Street and Europe. <\/strong>The difference in risk between equities from EMs and developed countries is narrowing, and the \u201cemerging world looks relatively less risky than DM for the first time in a long time,\u201d Allspring Global Investments Senior Portfolio Manager Derrick Irwin told the outlet.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the green this morning<\/strong> as investors react to the US House passing a funding bill that will end the government shutdown. Japan\u2019s Nikkei is leading gains, up 0.3%, with the Shanghai Composite and Kopsi trailing behind. The Hang Seng is in the red, down 0.5%. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

40,229<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +35.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.16<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 47.19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 47.29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,255<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -6.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,994<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,042<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5% (YTD: +17.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,851<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +16.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,911<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +21.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,787<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +18.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 62.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4.54<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 4,205<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 101,605<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.2% (YTD: +8.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

961.57<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +23.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

151.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17.51<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3% (YTD: +0.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.1% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 6.0 bn (24.6% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 35.3% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Misr Cement (+17.4%), Arabian Cement (+13.4%), and Palm Hills Developments (+3.3%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Eastern Company (-3.5%), EFG Holding (-1.8%), and Telecom Egypt (-1.5%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Some emerging market local bonds have delivered 20%+ returns in Egypt, Brazil, and others<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":675462,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[836,115,72,119,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-675461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-bond-market","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b40c89de-f605-4d7a-8809-642f2b109a79","order":"15","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/3\/156.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Emerging market disinflation momentum outpaces developed nations, boosting local bonds","related_issue":[675436],"teaser":"Some emerging market local bonds have delivered 20%+ returns in Egypt, Brazil, and others","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/11\/.b5b1c935-0e7a-4d5f-bc12-150e04e14ae1.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEmerging market disinflation momentum outpaces developed nations, boosting local bonds - 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Morgan Stanley Investment Management last week said it is pulling money out of the US stock market and putting it into equities in developing economies. \u201cEvery decade, there is a new leader in the market. In the 2010s, it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/484.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547427,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/21\/em-corporate-bonds-are-holding-their-own-no-eurozone-debt-crisis-take-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":675461,"position":4},"title":"EM corporate bonds are holding their own + No eurozone debt crisis take 2?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"EM sovereign debt might not be doing so great right now. 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