{"id":674091,"date":"2025-10-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-23T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/10\/23\/govt-now-sees-the-economy-growing-almost-5-this-fiscal-year\/"},"modified":"2025-10-23T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-23T00:00:00","slug":"govt-now-sees-the-economy-growing-almost-5-this-fiscal-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/10\/23\/govt-now-sees-the-economy-growing-almost-5-this-fiscal-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Gov\u2019t now sees the economy growing almost 5% this fiscal year"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, all. <\/strong>We close out the week with another packed issue, diving into what went down during the EU-Egypt Summit, the Madbouly government\u2019s new growth target for the fiscal year, and the new trade policy framework. <\/p>\n

PSA- <\/p>\n

WEATHER- <\/strong>It\u2019s another sunny day in Cairo, with a high of 34\u00b0C and a low of 21\u00b0C, according to our favorite weather app.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s more or less the same in Alexandria<\/strong>, with a high of 32\u00b0C and a low of 20\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

WATCH THIS SPACE- <\/p>\n

<\/a> We will soon find out when the anticipated IMF mission will land in town for the <\/strong>fifth and sixth reviews of our USD 8 bn program<\/a><\/strong>, with the Fund making the announcement \u201cwithin days,\u201d Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said during his weekly presser<\/a>. \u201cWe hope the visit will be within the coming few weeks,\u201d Madbouly said. <\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Earlier this week, Director of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department Jihad Azour said<\/a> it is yet to be determined when the anticipated IMF mission will land in Egypt for the reviews, but said that discussions between the government and the Fund regarding the reviews are expected to conclude in Q4 2025.<\/p>\n

GDP WATCH- <\/p>\n

<\/a> The Madbouly government now sees the economy \u201cnearly\u201d growing at a 5.0% clip this fiscal year<\/strong>, up from previous estimates of 4.5%<\/a> and up from 4.4% last fiscal year, Planning Minister Rania Al Mashat said<\/a> yesterday. The upgraded growth forecast is supported by positive developments on the regional front with the Gaza peace agreement signed earlier this month and the government\u2019s commitment to continuing economic and structural reforms.<\/p>\n

More optimistic than most: <\/strong>The IMF sees the economy growing 4.5%<\/a> this fiscal year, the forecast is more optimistic than the World Bank\u2019s<\/a> 4.3% forecast and the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development\u2019s<\/a> 4.4% forecast.<\/p>\n

\n

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<\/p>\n

The EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum is over. The insights are just getting started.<\/strong><\/p>\n

This year's forum was packed with actionable intelligence on the future of Egyptian business. To make sure you don't miss a thing, we're launching the EnterpriseAM Forum Playback<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Every Thursday at 10am, you'll receive a special newsletter breaking down one key session <\/strong>\u2014 from the future of work to getting capital markets off life support. We'll also drop a companion podcast in our EnterpriseAM Egypt podcast feed so you can listen on the go.<\/p>\n

Want more?<\/strong> We're soft launching our YouTube<\/a> channel where we've dropped video highlights.<\/p>\n

\n

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DATA POINT- <\/p>\n

<\/a> Non-oil trade d<\/strong>eficit narrows in 9M 2025:<\/strong> Egypt\u2019s non-oil trade deficit narrowed by 18% y-o-y in the first nine months of 2025 to USD 22.8 bn, according to a statement<\/a> from the Investment Ministry. The drop came on the back of a surge in non-oil exports \u2014 which shot up 21% y-o-y to USD 36.6 bn between January and September.<\/p>\n

Exports to our top five destinations \u2014 UAE, Turkey, KSA, Italy, and the US \u2014 grew by <\/strong>42% y-o-y to hit USD 14.8 bn. <\/strong> The UAE stood out as the largest importer of our goods \u2014 with non-oil exports rising by 169% y-o-y to USD 5.9 bn.<\/p>\n

The breakdown:<\/strong> Building materials topped our list of exports for the nine-month period, coming in at USD 11.7 bn, climbing some 51% y-o-y last year. This was followed by the chemicals and fertilizers, food industries, and engineering and electronic goods.<\/p>\n

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Get Enterprise<\/b> daily <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

Subscribe here<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

FACT CHECK- <\/p>\n

The modest uptick in oil product imports has nothing to do with Egypt looking to free up <\/strong>gas for LNG exports<\/strong> \u2014 as reported by Bloomberg<\/a> \u2014 but is a reflection of normal seasonal demand fluctuations, a senior government source told EnterpriseAM. <\/p>\n

The data: <\/strong>The Madbouly government has contracted for eight shipments of diesel and butane for refinery operations worth a combined USD 1.2 mn \u2014 marking a 20k ton increase from the previous few months\u2019 average as the state forecasts a slight jump in demand during the winter months, our source said. <\/p>\n

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR- <\/p>\n

The government will unveil a comprehensive five-year economic \u201cpost-IMF\u201d program in December<\/strong>, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said<\/a> yesterday. The program will build on Egypt\u2019s 2030 Vision and extend targets to 2050. The Planning Ministry is working on the program, taking into consideration the new National Narrative for Economic Development<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Check out our full calendar on the web<\/a><\/strong> for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.<\/p>\n

\n

\n

** DID YOU KNOW that we cover <\/strong>Saudi Arabia<\/a><\/strong> and the <\/strong>UAE<\/a><\/strong>?<\/strong><\/p>\n

** Were you forwarded this email?<\/strong> Tap or click here<\/a> to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time \u2014 without charge.<\/p>\n

THE BIG STORY ABROAD- <\/p>\n

The US has sanctioned Russia\u2019s two biggest oil companies<\/strong>, Roseneft and Lukoil, in a bid to ramp up pressure on the Kremlin to end the war in Ukraine. The move comes a day after a planned summit between the US and Russia to discuss a potential ceasefire was shelved, and is the first time US President Donald Trump imposes Ukraine-related sanctions on Russia since his second term began. (Reuters<\/a> | Wall Street Journal<\/a> | Financial Times<\/a> | Guardian<\/a>)<\/p>\n

The EU also approved a package of sanctions<\/strong> that includes a ban on Russian liquefied natural gas imports from 2027, a year earlier than planned. (Bloomberg<\/a> | Reuters<\/a>) <\/p>\n

Market reax:<\/strong> Oil jumped USD 2 on the news, with Brent Crude futures rising to USD 64. <\/p>\n

ALSO GETTING ATTENTION- Tesla\u2019s<\/strong> net income in 3Q 2025 fell short of analysts\u2019 expectations<\/strong>, despite a boost in sales that drove revenues higher, as CEO Elon Musk cited tariffs and elevated research costs as challenges. Its shares fell 4% on the news. (Reuters<\/a> | Guardian<\/a> | WSJ<\/a>) <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good morning, all. We close out the week with another packed issue, diving into what went down during the EU-Egypt Summit, the Madbouly government\u2019s new growth target for the fiscal year, and the new trade policy framework. PSA- WEATHER- It\u2019s another sunny day in Cairo, with a high of 34\u00b0C and a low of 21\u00b0C, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":674092,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[104,72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-674091","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"fb9d2362-bb40-41ee-823b-c78d50ce8787","order":"2","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/10\/1195.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Egypt now sees the economy growing almost 5% this fiscal year","related_issue":[674089],"teaser":"","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/10\/.6fc7c2ff-fb33-4979-91d8-69b63875b08c.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nGov\u2019t now sees the economy growing almost 5% this fiscal year - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/10\/23\/govt-now-sees-the-economy-growing-almost-5-this-fiscal-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gov\u2019t now sees the economy growing almost 5% this fiscal year\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Good morning, all. 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We took the past two days as a gentle reminder of what work is like after a wonderful long Eid break. THE BIG STORY TODAY Egypt\u2019s economy will grow at a 4.5% clip in FY 2023-24,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/4\/921.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":585002,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/04\/09\/this-evening-govt-says-its-keeping-subsidized-loans-for-industry-agriculture-tensions-continue-to-rise-in-jerusalem\/","url_meta":{"origin":674091,"position":1},"title":"THIS EVENING: Gov\u2019t says it\u2019s keeping subsidized loans for industry, agriculture + Tensions continue to rise in Jerusalem","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 April 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, friends. We\u2019re still seeing telltale signs of that long-awaited Ramadan news slowdown today, with a relatively calm Sunday to start the week. ** SO, WHEN DO WE EAT? We\u2019ll be breaking our fasts at 6:18pm CLT today. You have until 4:05am tomorrow morning to hydrate and grab a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/4\/370.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":583579,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/03\/15\/this-evening-will-misr-ins-holding-sell-a-20-stake-plus-credit-suisse-shares-hit-a-new-low\/","url_meta":{"origin":674091,"position":2},"title":"THIS EVENING: Will Misr Ins. Holding sell a 20% stake? PLUS: Credit Suisse shares hit a new low","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 March 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Happy almost-THURSDAY, wonderful people. We\u2019re nearly at the end of what has shaped up to be a rather busy week. THE BIG STORIES TODAY #1- The EGX30 extended its slide today, closing 4.15% down to bring the index\u2019s year-to-date return to a slim 0.9%. Qalaa Holdings, Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals, and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/7\/EGX-1600px-1.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598465,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/08\/13\/this-evening-another-potential-sports-club-ipo\/","url_meta":{"origin":674091,"position":3},"title":"THIS EVENING: Another potential sports club IPO?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, friends. We\u2019re off to a slow-ish start to this new workweek, although we\u2019re not rushing to chalk it up to a (very) belated summer slowdown. THE BIG STORY TODAY The Club + Cairo Stadium heading to the EGX? Youth and Sports Minister Ashraf Sobhy and EGX boss Ramy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/9\/market-1600.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":551098,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/05\/25\/this-evening-egypts-gdp-growth-slows-in-3q-texas-mass-shooting-prompts-renewed-gun-law-reform-push\/","url_meta":{"origin":674091,"position":4},"title":"THIS EVENING: Egypt\u2019s GDP growth slows in 3Q + Texas mass shooting prompts renewed gun law reform push","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"25 May 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, wonderful people, and welcome to what we affectionately call almost-THURSDAY. The weekend is almost upon us \u2014 but it\u2019s a mad rush to the finish line.THE BIG STORY TODAY Egypt\u2019s economy grew at a 5.4% clip in 3Q2021-2022 \u2014 its slowest pace yet this fiscal year, as fallout\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":586840,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/05\/17\/this-evening-oc-divests-construction-chemicals-subsidiary-to-switzerlands-sika\/","url_meta":{"origin":674091,"position":5},"title":"THIS EVENING: OC divests construction chemicals subsidiary to Switzerland\u2019s Sika","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 May 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, friends. It\u2019s nearly the end of this very busy week, which we\u2019re looking forward to more than most other weeks. THE BIG STORY TODAY Orascom Construction has sold its entire stake in a construction chemicals subsidiary for EGP 1.8 bn to Swiss chemicals firm Sika, it said in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/357.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=674091"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674091\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/674089"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/674092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=674091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=674091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=674091"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=674091"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=674091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}