{"id":673016,"date":"2025-10-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/10\/05\/central-bank-resumes-rate-cuts-with-100-bps-move\/"},"modified":"2025-10-05T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-05T00:00:00","slug":"central-bank-resumes-rate-cuts-with-100-bps-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/10\/05\/central-bank-resumes-rate-cuts-with-100-bps-move\/","title":{"rendered":"Central bank resumes rate cuts with 100 bps move"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Central Bank of Egypt has now cut rates a whole 625 bps since <\/strong>kicking <\/strong>off its easing cycle in April<\/strong>, after its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to cut rates by a further 100 bps during its sixth meeting of the year on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf)<\/a>. The decision marks a continuation of the easing cycle that resumed in August<\/a> after a brief pause in July.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

Where rates currently stand:<\/strong> The overnight deposit rate now stands at 21.00%, the overnight lending rate at 22.00%, and the main operation and disc. rates at 21.50%.<\/p>\n

The why:<\/strong> The committee said its decision \u201creflects its updated assessment of inflation dynamics and outlook,\u201d pointing to decelerating annual headline and core inflation. The CBE attributed the deceleration to \u201cmild monthly dynamics \u2026 mainly driven by falling food prices and the relative stability of non-food prices.\u201d It added that the \u201cbroad-based easing in price dynamics over the past three months suggests an improvement in inflation expectations and a gradual dissipation of the lingering impact of previous shocks.\u201d<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong> Inflation slipped to its lowest level<\/a> since March 2022 in August, coming in at 12.0%, and a number of analysts we spoke to see it staying on its downward trajectory.<\/p>\n

The CBE now sees inflation averaging around 14% in 2025<\/strong>, an improvement on its commentary for the MPC\u2019s August meeting, which put headline inflation between 14-15%. In the medium term, the bank sees inflation \u201cmoderating, albeit at a slower pace, as the disinflation path remains constrained by the downward stickiness of non-food inflation and the impact of both planned and higher-than-expected fiscal measures.\u201d Looking further ahead, the committee still expects inflation to continue to make progress toward its 7% (\u00b1 2 percentage points) target for 4Q 2026.<\/p>\n

As always, disinflation is not set in stone<\/strong> \u2014 \u201cthe inflation outlook remains susceptible to both domestic and global upside risks.\u201d The MPC cited regional geopolitical tensions and larger than planned price hikes on certain products as the government reduces subsidies. <\/p>\n

The move came in the middle of expectations from analysts <\/strong>polled by EnterpriseAM last<\/a><\/strong>week<\/a><\/strong>, with eight out of the 12 economists and banking experts we spoke to pencilling a rate cut between 100-200 bps, while the other four participants saw the CBE holding rates unchanged.<\/p>\n

Analysts remain confident that this won\u2019t be the last cut we will see this year<\/strong>, with the central bank still having room for at least one more 100 bps cut in 2025, Thndr Securities Brokerage\u2019s Chief Equity Strategist Amr El Alfy told EnterpriseAM. \u201cThey will use their remaining rate cut room cautiously to balance supporting growth with maintaining price stability,\u201d he explained. Deutsche Bank similarly forecasts a 100 bps cut in the MPC\u2019s December meeting, but leaves the door open to further pauses if the effects of fiscal reforms \u201cwarrant an extended wait-and-see approach through December,\u201d according to a research note from the lender seen by EnterpriseAM. <\/p>\n

Others think the bank may make two separate 100 bps cuts before the year is out<\/strong>, including Capital Economics\u2019 James Swanston, who sees the overnight deposit rate being lowered to 19.00% , according to a note<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Some corners of the int\u2019l press also pick up the news:<\/strong> Bloomberg<\/a>, Reuters<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The committee said its decision \u201creflects its updated assessment of inflation dynamics and outlook\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":673017,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[271,104,72,182,349,724],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-673016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"da4c3c78-eb78-465c-82e3-ac8b105a4da5","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/2177.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Central Bank of Egypt resumes rate cuts with 100 bps move","related_issue":[673011],"teaser":"The committee said its decision \u201creflects its updated assessment of inflation dynamics and outlook\u201d","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/10\/.03d3984c-1327-4f60-94f7-5931e1f08fee.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nCentral bank resumes rate cuts with 100 bps move - 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The data vendor arm of the ratings agency said that easing inflation and the two consecutive rate cuts in the US will encourage the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":678960,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/28\/central-bank-sets-up-2026-nicely-with-100-bps-rate-cut\/","url_meta":{"origin":673016,"position":2},"title":"Central bank sets up 2026 nicely with 100 bps rate cut","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 December 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"725 bps sounds like a lot, but we\u2019re just at the \u201cbeginning or middle\u201d of a longer journey, Al Ahly Pharos\u2019 Hany Genana tells EnterpriseAM","rel":"","context":"In "The Big Story Today"","block_context":{"text":"The Big Story Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-big-story-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/828.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567288,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/01\/19\/against-analyst-expectations-central-bank-of-egypt-keeps-rates-on-hold\/","url_meta":{"origin":673016,"position":3},"title":"Against analyst expectations, Central Bank of Egypt keeps rates on hold","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 January 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE leaves rates on hold: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates unchanged when it met on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank cited domestic factors such as inflation accelerating in December on the back of the dissipating favorable base\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/632.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":671030,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/08\/31\/cbe-resumes-its-easing-cycle-with-200-bps-cut\/","url_meta":{"origin":673016,"position":4},"title":"CBE resumes its easing cycle with 200 bps cut","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 August 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Rates are now down a whole 525 bps since the bank began its easing cycle in April","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/178.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596299,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/25\/central-bank-of-egypt-cuts-interest-rates-for-the-first-time-since-february\/","url_meta":{"origin":673016,"position":5},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt cuts interest rates for the first time since February","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"25 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE cuts interest rates for the first time since February: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut interest rates by 150 bps on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank cited last month\u2019s \u201crelatively tame\u201d inflation figures, declining unemployment rates, and increasing GDP\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/8\/2941.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673016","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673016"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673016\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/673011"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673016"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=673016"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=673016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}