{"id":672422,"date":"2025-09-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/24\/global-economy-cools-with-diverging-regional-outlooks\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T00:00:00","slug":"global-economy-cools-with-diverging-regional-outlooks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/24\/global-economy-cools-with-diverging-regional-outlooks\/","title":{"rendered":"Global economy cools with diverging regional outlooks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>The world economy is losing momentum heading into the final months of <\/strong><strong>2025<\/strong>, with major regions diverging in performance, according to Julius Bar\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.juliusbaer.com\/en\/spotlight\/market-outlook-year-end-2025-all-eyes-on-policy-responses\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">M<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.juliusbaer.com\/en\/spotlight\/market-outlook-year-end-2025-all-eyes-on-policy-responses\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">arket Outlook Year-End 2025 re<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.juliusbaer.com\/en\/spotlight\/market-outlook-year-end-2025-all-eyes-on-policy-responses\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">port<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">(<strong>Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The US is slowing under the weight of consumer fatigue, softer job creation, tariffs, and <\/strong><strong>persistent policy uncertainty<\/strong>. Household consumption \u2014 which typically drives some 70% of US GDP \u2014 has been noticeably weaker this year, though easing inflation has given the Federal Reserve scope to resume rate cuts. That monetary shift is expected to erode the USD\u2019s yield advantage and re-establish its long-term weakening trend.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>China is also contending with weak domestic demand, along with structural <\/strong><strong>vulnerabilities<\/strong>, leaving the economy heavily dependent on exports. That reliance is not only fueling global deflationary pressures but also keeping policymakers on alert for the need to roll out more stimulus measures. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>But not all countries are in the same boat, including many nations in Europe<\/strong>, as the region is benefiting from lower inflation, lower interest rates, and an incoming wave of fiscal stimulus, putting it in what the report describes as a rare \u201csweet spot\u201d for growth, inflation, and policy support.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Policy matters more than ever. <\/strong>With the US no longer acting as a reliable growth engine, investors are being urged to broaden their exposure to other regions. The report highlights Europe, Japan, China, and India as offering more compelling valuations and stronger policy backdrops. India, in particular, is facing headwinds from US tariffs, but retains a positive long-term equity story thanks to double-digit earnings growth, tax cuts, and monetary easing. Japan, for its part, is benefiting from corporate reforms, robust shareholder returns, and the gradual normalization of monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>On the commodities side, gold is forecast to reach new highs<\/strong> \u2014 potentially above USD 3.5k an ounce \u2014 as safe-haven demand rises on the back of geopolitical uncertainty, central bank buying, and a weaker USD. Oil, in contrast, is oversupplied, weighed down by both record US production and weaker Chinese consumption, keeping prices under pressure.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>investors should view volatility or weak macroeconomic data as times to buy, rather than <\/strong><strong>exit signals.<\/strong> In fixed income, they see a favorable backdrop as the Fed resumes rate cuts and credit markets stabilize. Corporate bonds \u2014 particularly in the five-to-seven-year maturity range \u2014 stand out, with investors able to benefit from both steady coupon income and potential capital gains by rolling down the yield curve. Low default rates, strong corporate fundamentals, and robust demand are reinforcing the case for investment-grade and BB-rated corporate debt, while emerging market corporates in USD or EUR offer additional diversification without exposing investors to emerging markets currency risk. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Momentum in global stock markets is still strong, though leadership is shifting away from <\/strong><strong>the US toward more attractively valued regions. <\/strong>European industrials and financials, German mid-caps, and select Japanese and Indian companies are worth taking note of. In Japan, reforms and buybacks are boosting shareholder value, while India\u2019s long-term growth story remains intact despite near-term tariff headwinds. China also remains constructive, with mainland-listed shares expected to recover relative to Hong-Kong-listed shares as domestic liquidity improves. Alternative assets such as private equity and hedge funds are also expected to play a larger role, providing diversification and access to high-growth themes in areas like AI, digital infrastructure, and the energy transition. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Beyond equities, alternative assets are expected to play a larger role in portfolio <\/strong><strong>construction. <\/strong>Private equity offers exposure to innovative firms still in their high-growth phase, while hedge funds \u2014 particularly those focused on relative value, credit, and event-driven strategies \u2014 provide diversification and resilience in volatile conditions. Sectors tied to transformative growth themes such as AI, digital infrastructure, healthcare, and the energy transition are highlighted as particularly attractive avenues for long-term investors.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>But the outlook is tempered by several \u201cwild cards.\u201d<\/strong> Policy missteps, geopolitical escalations, systemic issues in shadow banking, potential credit crunches, and even infrastructure disruptions could all derail the fragile balance. Still, the report stresses that portfolios built around geographic diversification, corporate credit, safe-haven assets like gold, and selective exposure to alternatives are best placed to navigate year-end volatility and turn uncertainty into openings.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investors are looking beyond the US to Europe, Japan, China, and India for growth<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":672423,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7250],"tags":[116,104,72,164,297,7093,182,643,724,758,117,388],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-672422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-macro-picture","tag-china","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-equities","tag-europe","tag-gold","tag-inflation","tag-macro-picture","tag-monetary-policy","tag-private-equity","tag-us","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"1f5e25af-bb1b-4a16-a96a-02d6378b5d8f","order":"10","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/9\/1443.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Global economy cools with diverging regional outlooks","related_issue":[672406],"teaser":"Investors are looking beyond the US to Europe, Japan, China, and India for growth","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/9\/.42bdbba5-240e-483d-9c66-b99b3f9c0d40.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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Stimulus measures pushed out by the central bank and the Finance\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/12\/173.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598886,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/11\/etfs-a-magnet-for-em-investors-but-not-all-markets-are-equal\/","url_meta":{"origin":672422,"position":2},"title":"ETFs a magnet for EM investors \u2014 but not all markets are equal","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"EM ETFs attract USD 84 bn in inflows in 16 months \u2014 but not all markets are equal: ETFs that specialize in emerging markets drew some USD 84 bn in the 16 months leading up to mid-April. But statistics from financial data provider EPFR show that 80% of inflows went\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/6\/1232.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597733,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/02\/made-in-africa-could-be-the-new-made-in-china-in-50-years\/","url_meta":{"origin":672422,"position":3},"title":"\u201cMade in Africa\u201d could be the new \u201cMade in China\u201d in 50 years","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cMade in Africa\u201d could be the new \u201cMade in China\u201d in 50 years if enough focus is given to investing in manufacturing across the continent, our friend Carbon Holdings CEO Basil El-Baz writes for the Financial Times\u2019 Beyond Brics blog. Many economies in Africa have already been flourishing over the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":566201,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/02\/its-good-news-bad-news-from-the-oecd\/","url_meta":{"origin":672422,"position":4},"title":"It\u2019s good news \/ bad news from the OECD","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The OECD is out with its latest global economic outlook \u2014 and there\u2019s good news and bad news. The good news is that the world\u2019s most advanced economies look set to stage a stronger-than-anticipated recovery, returning to pre-covid levels by next year. The bad news? Most everyone else is going\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572005,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/06\/08\/how-does-the-egyptian-economy-achieve-escape-velocity-from-the-covid-19-downturn\/","url_meta":{"origin":672422,"position":5},"title":"How does the Egyptian economy achieve escape velocity from the covid-19 downturn?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 June 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"How does the Egyptian economy achieve escape velocity from the covid-19 downturn? The answer lies in the \u201cstrategic monetization\u201d of public infrastructure, reorienting supply chains and capitalizing on business process outsourcing, Ahmed Galal Ismail, CEO of Majid Al Futtaim Properties, writes for the World Economic Forum. The government should focus\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/6\/84.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/672422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=672422"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/672422\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/672406"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/672423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=672422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=672422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=672422"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=672422"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=672422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}