{"id":671677,"date":"2025-09-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/11\/fitch-ups-global-growth-view\/"},"modified":"2025-09-11T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T00:00:00","slug":"fitch-ups-global-growth-view","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/11\/fitch-ups-global-growth-view\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch ups global growth view"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fitch Ratings revised upward its 2025 world growth forecasts to 2.4% from 2.2% in June<\/strong>, citing stronger 2Q data in China and the eurozone, according to its global economic output report (pdf)<\/a>. However, the agency warned that global activity is still set to slow sharply from 2.9% in 2024, with evidence of a US deceleration now emerging in hard data.<\/p>\n

China\u2019s growth projection was raised to 4.7% from 4.2%<\/strong>, helped by a weaker exchange rate, falling export prices, and fiscal easing that has cushioned exports from the US tariff shock. However, Fitch warned that domestic demand is softening and deflation is \u201cincreasingly entrenched.\u201d <\/p>\n

The eurozone outlook was also upgraded to 1.1% from 0.8% <\/strong>after better-than-expected 1H trade data, though Fitch cautioned that much of the strength reflected front-running US tariffs. With consumer momentum fading, the bloc is unlikely to expand in 2H, though German fiscal support should add some cushion in 2026.<\/p>\n

While the US\u2019 growth forecast was lifted slightly to 1.6% from 1.5%<\/strong>, this is still below trend and significantly below the 2.8% growth rate recorded last year. Fitch flagged weaker consumption and hiring as tariffs, rising inflation, and tighter immigration squeeze growth. Consumer spending has already slowed, job growth has decelerated, and more inflationary pressure is likely to kick in soon. Fitch expects the Fed to respond with two more cuts this year and three in 2026.<\/p>\n

Tariffs are set to weigh on near-term growth\u2026: <\/strong>Fitch estimates the average US effective tariff rate at 16% \u2014 among the highest in the world. While pass-through CPI has so far been modest, inflationary effects are expected to intensify later this year, further weighing on household incomes. \u201cGreater clarity about US tariff hikes does not alter the fact that they are huge and will reduce global growth,\u201d said Brian Coulton, Fitch\u2019s chief economist.<\/p>\n

\u2026 and into 2026: <\/strong>The agency sees global growth slowing to 2.3% in 2026, well below trend. Long-term bond yields in the US, UK, Germany, and Japan remain under upward pressure, reflecting concerns about supply and fiscal sustainability, while the European Central Bank is unlikely to cut rates further, limiting chances of a near-term USD rebound.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Early morning trading is mixed in Asia-Pacific markets today<\/strong>, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei hitting a fresh high on the back of tech investment group Softbank\u2019s shares rising nearly 10% since markets opened. South Korea\u2019s Kospi is also in the green, but Hong Kong\u2019s HSI and mainland China\u2019s CSI are both trading down. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures are trading mostly flat, after the S&P 500 hit another all-time high at market close yesterday, while the Dow Jones closed down. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,670<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +16.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.07<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.08<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,498<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -12.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,927<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +5.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,923<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +14.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,532<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +11.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,225<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +12.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,361<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +9.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.58<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.03<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,682<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 113,954<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.1% (YTD: +21.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

916.86<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +17.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

149.77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +7.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.35<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.1% (YTD: -11.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.8% at <\/strong>yesterday\u2019s<\/strong> close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.3 bn (25.5% below the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 16.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>EFG Holding (+2.8%), Raya Holding (+2.6%), and Ibnsina Pharma (+2.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Eastern Company (-1.3%), Oriental Weavers (-1.0%), and Orascom Development (-0.9%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The agency projects global growth at 2.4% this year, easing to 2.3% in 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":671678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[104,72,119,905,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-671677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-fitch-ratings","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"69883df5-5b47-4514-b1b1-de5d5d7f3c2e","order":"10","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/242.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Fitch lifts 2025 global growth forecast as China and eurozone improve, but warns of US slowdown","related_issue":[671660],"teaser":"The agency projects global growth at 2.4% this year, easing to 2.3% in 2026","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/9\/.7a8c5e22-6172-4ddf-9153-c6183681082a.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nFitch ups global growth view - 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The rating is supported by Egypt\u2019s \u201crecent track record of fiscal and economic reforms,\u201d coupled with its large economy, which has remained stable and resilient through the global health crisis, as \u201ccontinued\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/239.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564979,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/10\/fitch-gives-long-term-fx-debt-outlook-a-%f0%9f%91%8d\/","url_meta":{"origin":671677,"position":1},"title":"Fitch gives long-term FX debt outlook a ?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Ratings affirmed Egypt\u2019s long-term FX issuer default rating at \u2018B+\u2019 with a \u2018stable\u2019 outlook. The outlook is supported by the country\u2019s track record of fiscal and economic reforms, which authorities continued to enact, and a large economy, \u201cwhich has demonstrated stability and resilience through the global health crisis,\u201d the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: MACRO"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: MACRO","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-macro\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/3\/440.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570238,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/24\/strong-fx-reserves-fiscal-reform-to-mitigate-short-term-headwinds-on-egypts-external-account-fitch-ratings\/","url_meta":{"origin":671677,"position":2},"title":"Strong FX reserves, fiscal reform to mitigate short-term headwinds on Egypt\u2019s external account -Fitch Ratings","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Strong FX reserves, fiscal reform to mitigate short-term headwinds on Egypt\u2019s external account -Fitch Ratings: Strong international reserves and the government\u2019s fiscal reforms will help to mitigate the impact of the covid-19 shock on Egypt\u2019s credit position, but the fallout will nonetheless have a significant impact on the country\u2019s GDP\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/270.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573294,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/28\/fitch-affirms-egypts-long-term-fx-issuer-rating-at-b-outlook-stable\/","url_meta":{"origin":671677,"position":3},"title":"Fitch affirms Egypt\u2019s long-term FX issuer rating at B+; outlook stable","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Ratings affirmed yesterday Egypt\u2019s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at \u2018B+\u2019 with a \u2018stable\u2019 outlook. The ratings agency said that Egypt\u2019s \u201crecent track record of fiscal and economic reforms, policy commitment to furthering the reform program and ready availability of fiscal and external financing in the face of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/7\/224.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595516,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/29\/fitch-affirms-credit-ratings-of-credit-agricole-national-bank-of-egypt\/","url_meta":{"origin":671677,"position":4},"title":"Fitch affirms credit ratings of Credit Agricole, National Bank of Egypt","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Ratings has affirmed the long-term issuer default rating for Credit Agricole Egypt (CAE) at 'AA+\u2019 with a \u2018stable outlook,\u2019 the agency said in a press release. The agency has also affirmed its rating for the National Bank of Egypt (NBE) at 'B+' with a stable outlook. \u201cThe ratings of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banking + Finance"","block_context":{"text":"Banking + Finance","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/banking-finance\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":577097,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/11\/09\/fitch-cuts-outlook-on-egypt-to-negative-affirms-b-rating\/","url_meta":{"origin":671677,"position":5},"title":"Fitch cuts outlook on Egypt to negative, affirms B+ rating","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 November 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Ratings has cut its outlook on Egyptian debt from \u201cstable\u201d to \u201cnegative\u201d due to \u201cdeterioration\u201d in the country\u2019s external liquidity position, it said yesterday. The rating agency maintained Egypt\u2019s B+ rating on robust economic growth and \u201cstrong international support\u201d from Gulf allies and multilateral partners but warned that it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/11\/154.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671677"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671677\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/671660"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/671678"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671677"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=671677"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=671677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}