{"id":671125,"date":"2025-09-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/01\/domestic-money-powers-china-rally-as-overseas-investors-hold-back\/"},"modified":"2025-09-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-01T00:00:00","slug":"domestic-money-powers-china-rally-as-overseas-investors-hold-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/01\/domestic-money-powers-china-rally-as-overseas-investors-hold-back\/","title":{"rendered":"Domestic money powers China rally as overseas investors hold back"},"content":{"rendered":"

One of the many emerging markets benefiting from a global rally this year i<\/strong>s China<\/strong>, which is outpacing European, US, and Japanese peers in local currency terms, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. The CSI 300 benchmark has climbed 14.3% YTD after a sharp rebound since June, though doubts persist over the rally\u2019s staying power.<\/p>\n

Local investors are driving the surge<\/strong>, as they push into equities amid falling bond yields, lower deposit rates, and the collapse of property as a preferred asset class. Margin trading has jumped 19% in two months to RMB 2.2 tn (c. USD 308 bn) \u2014 the highest since 2015, though analysts say leverage is more contained than during the bubble that ended in a crash a decade ago.<\/p>\n

Policy has laid the groundwork: <\/strong>State-backed funds staged coordinated share purchases earlier this year to stabilize valuations, and more market support followed after Beijing ordered insurers to boost equity exposure. Analysts say this liquidity backdrop is the key driver of the rally, even as deflation weighs on earnings, with producer prices falling 3.6% y-o-y in July.<\/p>\n

But foreign investors remain on the sidelines<\/strong>, with Ping An Asset Management\u2019s Vincent Che saying there has been no significant impact from foreign flows. These investors have favored Japan and Europe where FX-adjusted gains have been stronger. \u201cI would much rather be focused on an earnings-driven market,\u201d Lombard Odier\u2019s Asia CIO John Woods said.<\/p>\n

Derivatives markets also signal caution: <\/strong>The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks mainland firms listed in Hong Kong, has rebounded 23% from its April low, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Yet implied volatility on ETFs tied to the gauge has dropped to a four-year low, showing little appetite to chase the rally.<\/p>\n

Options pricing underlines the divide: <\/strong>Upside calls remain expensive, while downside hedges on the FTSE China A50 are \u201crarely\u201d this cheap, according to Bank of America. Traders are also positioning for the expiry of the 90-day US-China trade truce, shifting to call spreads rather than taking an outright bullish approach.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed this morning<\/strong>, led by losses in Japan as the Nikkei fell 1.8%. On the flip side, Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng Index is up 1.9%, while mainland China\u2019s CSI 300 is flat, following a Shanghai Cooperation Organization regional security bloc meeting that saw China and India agree to become development partners. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

35,148<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.6% (YTD: +18.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.54<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

23.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,697<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -11.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,095<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2%(YTD: +7.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,064<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +17.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,460<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%% (YTD: +9.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,187<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -12.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,352<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8% (YTD: +9.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.48<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% <\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.00 <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,516<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 108,087<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.2% (YTD: +15.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

907.23<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +16.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

148.41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+6.4% (YTD: -11.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 1.6% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 4.4 bn (0.9% above the 90-day average). Regional investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 18.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Orascom Construction (+2.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Misr Cement (-5.4%), Ibnsina Pharma (-5.3%), and Palm Hills Development (-4.7%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The CSI 300 benchmark has climbed 14.3% YTD<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":671126,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-671125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"555ac57a-de24-4fce-a1d5-2e099be975dc","order":"13","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/9\/4.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Domestic money powers China rally as overseas investors hold back","related_issue":[671102],"teaser":"The CSI 300 benchmark has climbed 14.3% YTD","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/9\/.25536a36-45a0-4c51-a673-f9ff1cc3e58c.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nDomestic money powers China rally as overseas investors hold back - 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Musk will buy the shares at USD 54.20 each\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":614780,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/02\/07\/chinese-stocks-rally-after-hitting-five-year-lows\/","url_meta":{"origin":671125,"position":1},"title":"Chinese stocks rally after hitting five-year lows","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 February 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Chinese stocks rally on hopes of regulatory changes: After a turbulent few months that pushed China\u2019s main indices to five-year lows, the country\u2019s benchmark CSI 300 had its best day since late 2022, Bloomberg reports. The trigger? 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The recovery from the Great Covid Crash of 2020\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":558677,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/08\/22\/investors-flock-to-etfs-to-mitigate-china-risk-btc-headed-for-50k\/","url_meta":{"origin":671125,"position":3},"title":"Investors flock to ETFs to mitigate China risk + BTC headed for 50k?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 August 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Wary of Beijing\u2019s tech smackdown, some EM investors are trying to avoid China: Equity investors who prefer emerging markets yet fear Beijing's escalating regulatory crackdown are putting their money in an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks emerging market equities excluding China, Bloomberg reports. The USD 1.2 bn iShares MSCI Emerging\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547143,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/09\/the-only-way-is-up-for-oil-us-regulator-proposes-changes-to-retail-trading-and-draws-the-ire-of-wall-st\/","url_meta":{"origin":671125,"position":4},"title":"The only way is up for oil + US regulator proposes changes to retail trading \u2014 and draws the ire of Wall St","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"There\u2019s a growing consensus that oil is only headed in one direction: Oil prices could rise beyond USD 150 a barrel in the coming months as sanctions on Russia\u2019s oil exports roil the markets, the head of commodities trader Trafigura has warned. 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