{"id":670657,"date":"2025-08-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/08\/24\/us-tariffs-hit-indias-earnings-forecasts-as-foreign-investors-grow-wary\/"},"modified":"2025-08-24T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-24T00:00:00","slug":"us-tariffs-hit-indias-earnings-forecasts-as-foreign-investors-grow-wary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/08\/24\/us-tariffs-hit-indias-earnings-forecasts-as-foreign-investors-grow-wary\/","title":{"rendered":"US tariffs hit India's earnings forecasts as foreign investors grow wary"},"content":{"rendered":"

Forward 12-month earnings estimates for Indian large- and mid-cap firms <\/strong>dropped by 1.2% over the past two weeks<\/strong> \u2014 the sharpest fall in Asia, Reuters<\/a> reports, citing LSEG data. The cuts come as the US\u2019 50% tariff on India \u2014 set to take effect on 27 August \u2014 raises growth risks, even with proposed domestic tax cuts looking to soften the blow.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The downgrades follow another disappointing reporting season<\/strong>, extending a slowdown that began last year. Corporate earnings growth has been stuck in single digits for five straight quarters, down from 15-25% in 2020-2023. \u201cAfter disappointing earnings growth of only 6% in 2024, the pace of recovery remains sluggish in 2025,\u201d said Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale Asia Equity Strategist Rajat Agarwal. <\/p>\n

Automobiles, capital goods, F&Bs, and consumer durables all saw earnings forecasts cut <\/strong>by around 1% or more. <\/strong>This comes despite the fact that Nifty 50 firms derive just 9% of their revenues from the US. <\/p>\n

Analysts warn stretched valuations could leave Indian equities vulnerable if tariffs <\/strong>persist. <\/strong>\u201cWe could potentially see the tariff triggering a broad valuation re-rating downwards and make some of the domestic oriented stocks attractive,\u201d says JP Morgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist Raisah Rasid.<\/p>\n

To counter external pressures, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has unveiled <\/strong>sweeping consumption tax cuts<\/strong>, proposing a two-rate structure of 5% and 18% instead of the previous 12% and 28% tax that was imposed on some items. Economists at Standard Chartered expect the reforms to lift GDP growth by 0.35-0.45 percentage points by FY 2027. MUFG, however, expects sustained 50% tariffs to reduce India\u2019s GDP growth by one percentage point, with the textiles sector among the hardest hit.<\/p>\n

Despite the policy support, foreign investors are pulling back. <\/strong>Bank of America\u2019s latest fund manager survey shows that India has slid from the most-preferred to the least-preferred Asian equity market in just two months as doubts grow over valuations and the pace of earnings growth.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

35,622<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +19.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Down <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.57<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.55<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,867<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: -9.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,209<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +8.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,126<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0%% (YTD: +18.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,467<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.5% (YTD: +10.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,321<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +14.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,488<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +12.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,419<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 115,275<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: +23.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

899.17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +15.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

148.48<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +6.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14.22<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-14.3% (YTD: -18.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.3% at <\/strong>Thursday\u2019s<\/strong> close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.5 bn (32.9% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 19.8% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Egypt Kuwait Holding- EGP (+1.2%), GB Corp (+1.2%), and Ibnsina Pharma (+0.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Misr Cement (-3.5%), Arabian Cement (-2.5%), and Rameda (-1.9%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

India\u2019s large- and mid-cap earnings forecasts dropped 1.2% over the past two weeks<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":670658,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[302,72,119,1404,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-670657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-earnings","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-india","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"52f5a838-eeef-43a5-a62a-d7d2cea0ec52","order":"14","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/8\/1385.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"India faces the steepest earnings downgrade in Asia as US tariffs weigh on outlook","related_issue":[670632],"teaser":"India\u2019s large- and mid-cap earnings forecasts dropped 1.2% over the past two weeks","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/8\/.43d5d8d7-e54d-45dd-986c-efb4645a32b2.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nUS tariffs hit India's earnings forecasts as foreign investors grow wary - 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