{"id":669330,"date":"2025-07-31T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/07\/31\/the-fed-holds-rates-steady-defying-trumps-pressure\/"},"modified":"2025-07-31T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T00:00:00","slug":"the-fed-holds-rates-steady-defying-trumps-pressure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/07\/31\/the-fed-holds-rates-steady-defying-trumps-pressure\/","title":{"rendered":"The Fed holds rates steady, defying Trump's pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Federal Reserve decided to hold its benchmark rate steady at 4.25-4.50%<\/strong>, marking a fifth consecutive meeting with no change, according to a press release (pdf)<\/a>. Wobbling net exports did not hinder the Fed\u2019s decision, which left no hint on possible future rate cuts \u2014 at least until the trajectory of the Fed\u2019s dual mandates, jobs and inflation, are clearer.<\/p>\n

The rationale:<\/strong> Despite a low unemployment rate at 4.1%, a solid labor market, and moderate economic growth, inflation remained high in 1H this year, adding to the uncertainty of the economic prospect. Data provided limited justification to deviate from the cautious \u201cwait-and-see\u201d policy, which the Fed adopted since Trump took office.<\/p>\n

\"You have to think of this as still quite early days<\/strong>. There's quite a lot of data coming in before the next meeting. Will it be dispositive? [...] It is really hard to say.\" Chair Jerome Powell said in a press conference. Investors seem to have taken Powell\u2019s comments as a signal that rate cuts will wait a little bit more, reducing the probability of a rate cut in September to less than 50%, Reuters<\/a> reported.<\/p>\n

Patience over haste: <\/strong>\u201cWe believe that the current stance of monetary policy leaves us well positioned to respond in a timely way to potential economic developments,\u201d Powell said in June. Powell noted that trade policy uncertainty \u2014 especially around tariffs \u2014 continues to cloud the outlook and could fuel inflationary pressures if sustained.<\/p>\n

Not all governors were on board<\/strong>: Yesterday\u2019s meeting saw a rare dissent against the tight monetary policy from two governors \u2014 both appointed by President Trump. Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller \u2014 who are potential nominees to succeed Powell next May \u2014 were in favor of lowering the interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, according to the newswire.<\/p>\n

The last time a Fed\u2019s meeting saw an objection from two of its governors was over 30 <\/strong>years ago<\/strong>, reigniting fears of Trump\u2019s public pressure affecting the work of the independent institution. Trump has been vocal in attacking Powell at every turn, demanding interest rate cuts and mounting a campaign against the Fed for alleged corruption and spending bns on renovations.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING-<\/p>\n

Asian markets are trading mixed this morning<\/strong>, after the US cemented a 15% blanket tariff on South Korea. Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng is down 1.4% and the Shanghai Composite is down 0.8%, while Japan\u2019s Nikkei is going in the opposite direction with an 0.9% increase. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures are rising on positive earnings from Meta and Microsoft.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33,860<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: +13.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.78<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,914<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: -9.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,353<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +9.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,208<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +20.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,363<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +8.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,137<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +11.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,393<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 73.51<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.02<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,337<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 118,416<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +26.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

881.93<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +13.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

146.79<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +4.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.48<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.1% (YTD: -10.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.7% at yesterday\u2019s close <\/strong>on turnover of EGP 5.6 bn (9.8% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 13.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Orascom Construction (+3.1%), Eastern Company (+3.0%), and Edita (+2.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Beltone Holding (-9.0%), Fawry (-4.1%), and Ibnsina Pharma (-3.9%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yesterday\u2019s meeting saw a rare dissent from Trump appointees<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":669331,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[104,72,119,182,122,388],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-669330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b74e973b-2ab7-4bd0-8186-8c6a5ecb00a2","order":"13","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/5\/580.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"The 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