{"id":669172,"date":"2025-07-29T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/07\/29\/us-trade-policy-grinds-down-global-corporate-investment\/"},"modified":"2025-07-29T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T00:00:00","slug":"us-trade-policy-grinds-down-global-corporate-investment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/07\/29\/us-trade-policy-grinds-down-global-corporate-investment\/","title":{"rendered":"US trade policy grinds down global corporate investment"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cSands in the wheels\u201d of global trade and capital spending: <\/strong>While financial markets project an image of stability, the global economy is showing deepening scars from Washington\u2019s trade policies, with companies worldwide freezing investments and living with slimmer margins to absorb the fallout from the highest US tariff rates since the 1930s, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. The economic pressure is set to intensify as another one of President Donald Trump\u2019s tariff deadlines goes into effect this Friday.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

How bad are the tariffs, actually? The average US tariff has increased to almost 13.5%<\/strong> from 2.5% last year before Trump took office<\/strong>, with that number expected to rise further to 16% after the latest agreement with the EU is implemented, according to Bloomberg Economics estimates. Tariffs act like \u201ca tax that puts sand in the wheels of supply chains and global trade,\u201d even if they are not as high as previously feared, Daniel Harenberg of Oxford Economics said. <\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s \u201cAmerica First\u201d policies could cost the global economy USD 2 tn by 2027<\/strong>, according to projections by Bloomberg Economics. Business investment forecasts for 2026 have been lowered across all G7 nations and nearly halved for the US, Canada, Japan, and Italy specifically. Uncertainty from the trade war has led companies to delay major investments amid the highest US tariff rates in decades, and some investments that have been announced are mainly geared towards restructuring supply chains to work around tariffs, UNCTAD said in its annual World Investment Report<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Reality check:<\/strong> Despite Trump\u2019s claims of a \u201cbooming\u201d economy, tariffs continue to erode corporate net income. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent celebrated the investment rebound as \u201cCapEx Comeback;\u201d however, it is largely an artificial pre-tariff surge that has since stalled.<\/p>\n

The global macroeconomic picture stands in contrast with a rally on Wall Street pushing<\/strong> stock valuations to near-record highs<\/strong>, but the \u201ceuphoric\u201d conditions are sparking fears of a market bubble, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. The S&P 500 hit record peaks, Nvidia became the first USD 4 tn public company, \u201cmeme stocks\u201d reappeared, and BTC rose past USD 120k. This is a \u201cdangerous set up,\u201d showing parallels to the dot-com boom, as investors, relieved by recent trade agreements, drive markets higher despite underlying risks,\u201d Pimco CIO Dan Ivascyn warns.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

It\u2019s a sea of red in Asian markets<\/strong>, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei, South Korea\u2019s Kospi, China\u2019s Shanghai and the Hang Seng Index all down in early morning trading as investors are in wait-and-see mode with ongoing US-China trade talks. The picture is only slightly rosier over on Wall Street, where futures indicate the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq will all open just barely in the green later today. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

34,076<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.4% (YTD: +14.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.84<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.83<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,885<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -9.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10,362<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +10.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,168<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +19.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,390<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +8.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,081<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +11.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,338<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +9.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 70.18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.99<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,367<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 118,259<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8% (YTD: +26.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

881.9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +13.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

146.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +4.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.03<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: -13.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 1.4% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 4.8 bn (4.7% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 14.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>GB Corp (+2.1%), Egypt Kuwait Holding -USD (+0.5%), and Fawry (+0.3%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Palm Hills Developments (-3.8%), Edita (-3.6%), and Mopco (-3.5%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Meanwhile, Wall Street neared record highs due to \u201ceuphoric\u201d 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